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Stock Ratings / Industrials / GFF / options
BW (23) JBI (57) MTEN (22) BRNX (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Griffon Corporation (GFF) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$101.09 -1.78% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.57

Griffon Corporation (GFF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.58B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GFF Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GFF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $101.09 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $4.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GFF ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GFF compare to BW and JBI in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), GFF carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.2x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $636.1M) and JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $633.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFF?
β–Ό

Per GFF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000050725), Griffon Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.57 (-0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (14)Whales (15)SEC (9)Macro (6)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$115 Bull$97 Base$76 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GFF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GFF SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.3% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($128.2M FCF) & 42% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$92.23+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$94.99+5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$100.26+0.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$101.09-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GFF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GFF currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($96.00) and Max Pain ($106.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $114.99.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGFF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GFF)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GFF.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GFF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GFF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GFF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.90%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $102.9H $102.9L $101.1C $101.1VOL 323.4K
RES: $104.4SUP: $89.99SMA50: $96.00SMA200: $89.52
$110.7$101.8$92.98$84.11$75.25RES $104.4SUP $89.99$101.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ GFF Butterfly Map β†’ + Track GFF β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFF)

Industrials Rank #223 of 485 βš”οΈ BW vs GFF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GFF vs. BW, JBI, MTEN, BRNX)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Griffon Corporation (GFF) ranks #223 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #152 by equity capitalization ($4.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with GFF at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GFF ACTIVE
Griffon Corporation
D 50/100 91.2x 42.0% 12.0% -1.78% $4.58B Benchmark Subject
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 24.5% 48.2% -6.36% $636.1M /bw-vs-gff β†’
JBI
Janus International Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 11.6x 38.8% 7.9% +1.75% $633.1M /jbi-vs-gff β†’
MTEN
Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 β€” 22.5% -1.6% +1.50% $6.5M /mten-vs-gff β†’
BRNX
BrenX Ltd.
E 29/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -21.03% $891.9K /brnx-vs-gff β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0000050725

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Griffon Corporation (GFF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.62B , and -6.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.1M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, GFF closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.52B $51.1M β€” β€” $2.05B $1.35B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.62B $209.9M β€” β€” $2.33B $1.47B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.69B $77.6M β€” β€” β€” β€”

3. GFF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $101.09 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $4.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GFF ranks #223 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFF compare to BW and JBI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), GFF carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.2x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $636.1M) and JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $633.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFF?

Per GFF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000050725), Griffon Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFF last traded at $101.09 (-1.78% on volume of 323,363 shares), positioning the stock +5.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.00) and +12.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($89.52). Across its 52-week range of $65.01 to $108.57, GFF sits at the 82.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.3% ($94.72 to $107.46).

GFF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is GFF's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GFF.

Direct Sub-Reports: GFF RQD Cockpit GFF 12M Forecast GFF Earnings & Move GFF Dividends & DRIP GFF Insiders & 13F GFF Whale Options GFF Profit Sankey GFF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GFF β€” Griffon Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GFF scores 51 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 12% and an FCF yield of 0%. The ROIC figure is a positive signal on capital efficiency, but a 0% FCF yield means the rating does not credit the stock with free cash generation relative to its price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar, indicating some institutional support, though the source data does not itemize the underlying 13F holdings.
  • Insider Conviction: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score signals weak insider conviction in the stock.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A low score indicates limited macro tailwind fit under the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites an Altman Z of 3.31, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 8.5. The Piotroski score is weak, and the leverage figure is high.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the combined picture is one of moderate institutional interest offset by weak insider conviction, a zero FCF yield, weak Piotroski reading, and high leverage. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 91.2 and an EV/EBITDA of 23.6, which means valuation is demanding relative to the cash and earnings the rating credits. The rating's verdict therefore frames the stock as a distribution-risk name rather than a value or income candidate. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
102.92$4.66B91.284.823.61.130.85%1.0$65.01 - $108.5712%

Business

Griffon Corporation (GFF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Building Products industry, per the profile. Per the profile, the company's market capitalization is $4.7B. Per the market data, gross margin is 42%, operating margin is 8.2%, and net margin is 2%. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2519.9M$206.3M$51.1MN/AN/A$95.3M$1346.1M
FY 2024$2623.5M$398.3M$209.9MN/AN/A$152.0M$1466.9M
FY 2023$2685.2M$196.9M$77.6MN/AN/AN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $2685.2M in FY 2023 to $2519.9M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $77.6M to $209.9M in FY 2024 before falling to $51.1M in FY 2025. Per the market data, net margin is 2% and operating margin is 8.2%, with ROIC at 12%. Per the RQD pillars, the Altman Z-Score is 3.31 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9. Per the SEC financials, cash fell from $152.0M to $95.3M and debt fell from $1466.9M to $1346.1M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, with a Debt/Equity of 8.5 per the RQD pillars.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six headlines, all referencing GFF, from Yahoo Finance, TradingView, Seeking Alpha, MarketBeat, Simply Wall St, and Yahoo! Finance Canada. Per the news wire, the Seeking Alpha item is marked GREEN as a CATALYST, with the headline "Griffon: Solid Dividend Growth, But Overvalued With Soft End Markets." The remaining five items are marked YELLOW as MARKET WIRE. One MarketBeat headline reports shares breaking above the two-hundred-day moving average. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded, supply chain is listed as NONE, and the links array is empty.

Open Questions

  • What are GFF's free cash flow and EPS figures for each reported period, given that the source lists them as N/A?
  • What product lines and end markets drive revenue, and how much exposure is tied to the soft end markets referenced in the news wire?
  • What is the composition and trend of institutional and insider holdings, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What drove the FY 2025 decline in net income from $209.9M to $51.1M, and how does this reconcile with the stated Piotroski F-Score?
  • What is the analyst consensus, and how do price targets compare to the current price of 102.92?

GFF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Griffon Corporation (GFF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GFF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GFF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $101.09?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GFF 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GFF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $111.15 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GFF (D β€’ RQD 51/100) a Buy at $102.92?

Welcome to the GFF (Griffon Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Building Products. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (91.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $86.45 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $102.92

Pump the brakes on GFF β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GFF, but look at what you are paying: 91.2x trailing P/E with 42.0% gross margins. Unless Griffon Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $117.33 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $102.92

GFF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GFF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Building Products and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $102.92 (52-wk range $65.01 - $108.57), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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