Graham Holdings Company (GHC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1,168.51 +0.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,167.47

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.92B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,168.51 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $4.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHC compare to LAUR and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.96B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?
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Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,167.46 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$1410 Bull$1195 Base$932 Bear
📬 FREE GHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$1,177.21+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$1,210.21-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$1,197.20-2.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$1,168.51+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, GHC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,161.31) or 200D SMA ($1,136.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,194.80) toward Bear Floor ($931.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.05>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE
L: $990$1,168.51H: $1,262
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GHC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

3.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.59% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 3.05 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GHC
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GHC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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GHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.34%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1,170.1H $1,170.1L $1,162.0C $1,168.5VOL 28.6K
RES: $1,244.8SUP: $1,145.7SMA50: $1,161.3SMA200: $1,136.6
$1,277.8$1,213.7$1,149.5$1,085.3$1,021.1RES $1,244.8SUP $1,145.7$1,168.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHC)

Real Estate Rank #16 of 51 ⚔️ LAUR vs GHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (GHC vs. LAUR, CVSA, TAL, LOPE)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Holdings Company (GHC) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #6 by equity capitalization ($4.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while LOPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with GHC at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHC ACTIVE
Graham Holdings Company
C 63/100 16.8x — 3.5% +0.56% $4.92B Benchmark Subject
LAUR
Laureate Education Inc.
B+ 76/100 17.6x 28.3% 30.6% -7.75% $4.96B /laur-vs-ghc →
CVSA
Covista Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.4x 56.9% 14.8% -3.44% $4.36B /cvsa-vs-ghc →
TAL
TAL Education Group
C 63/100 10.6x 55.4% 12.4% -2.66% $5.62B /tal-vs-ghc →
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education Inc.
B+ 76/100 — — 33.1% -4.08% $4.02B /lope-vs-ghc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000104889

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Graham Holdings Company (GHC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.91B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.79B , and +11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $292.3M, operating cash flow of $347.2M, and free cash flow of $275.3M (-15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHC closed FY2025 with $8.40B in total assets against $705.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.91B $292.3M $347.2M $275.3M $8.40B $705.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.79B $724.6M $407.0M $324.1M $7.68B $721.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.41B $205.3M $259.9M $259.9M — —

3. GHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,168.51 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $4.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHC compare to LAUR and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.96B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?

Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHC last traded at $1,168.51 (+0.56% on volume of 32,107 shares), positioning the stock +0.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,161.31) and +2.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,136.62). Across its 52-week range of $990.09 to $1,262.35, GHC sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($1,114.76 to $1,222.26).

GHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GHC stock right now?

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is GHC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GHC's 12-month base price target is $1194.8 (range $931.94 to $1409.86), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GHC — Graham Holdings Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GHC scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 3.5% and an FCF yield of 5.59%. Both sit toward the lower end of what the pillar rewards, so the cash-generation case is present but not strong. An investor would be paying for cash flow that is modest relative to the business's invested capital.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar describes institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating that institutional conviction is weaker than the other signals. For a prospective investor, this means large-holder demand is not providing a clear tailwind.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, suggesting insider or disclosed-trade activity is comparatively supportive, though the rating does not specify the direction or size of those trades in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector-sensitivity read. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock moves in line with the broader market, so it offers neither a defensive cushion nor amplified upside relative to the market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z 3.05, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.15. These point to a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage, a meaningful strength.

Taken together, the investor takeaway is a balanced setup: a sound balance sheet and insider-activity signal offset weak institutional flow and a thin ROIC/FCF-yield profile. The price relative to earnings (P/E TTM 16.8) and EV/EBITDA (18.1) must be weighed against that modest cash return. The rating is a structured summary, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$1162.04$4.92B16.815.618.169.020%1.0$990.09 - $1262.353.5%

Business

GHC is classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry, per the SEC financials profile and market data. It trades on the NYSE. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for additional business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4911.6M$234.9M$292.3MN/A$275.3M$267.0M$705.6M
FY 2024$4790.9M$215.5M$724.6MN/A$324.1M$260.9M$721.6M
FY 2023$4414.9M$69.4M$205.3MN/A$259.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $4414.9M (FY 2023) to $4911.6M (FY 2025). Operating margin is reported at 4.8% and net margin at 6% in the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 3.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.05 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.15, and reported debt declined from $721.6M (FY 2024) to $705.6M (FY 2025) while cash rose to $267.0M. Net income in FY 2024 ($724.6M) materially exceeded its operating income ($215.5M), a gap the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • RISK WATCH (RED): "Graham (NYSE:GHC) Stock Gets Downgrade from Wall Street Zen," reported by MarketBeat, 1h ago.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): "Graham (NYSE:GHC) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.41 EPS," reported by MarketBeat, 3h ago.

Per the recent news wire, the two items carry opposing signals: an earnings beat and a downgrade. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links for GHC.

Open Questions

  • What is the business composition behind the Real Estate / Other Consumer Services classification, and which segments drive the $4911.6M FY 2025 revenue?
  • Why did FY 2024 net income ($724.6M) so greatly exceed operating income ($215.5M), and is that gap recurring?
  • What is the content and basis of the Wall Street Zen downgrade, and does it reflect fundamentals or valuation?
  • What are the direction, size, and timing of the insider and Congressional trades underlying the Insider Conviction pillar score?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods, and how does it reconcile with the EPS (TTM) of 69.02?

GHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Graham Holdings Company (GHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,168.51?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1,255.00 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GHC (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $1162.04?

Welcome to the GHC (Graham Holdings Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $964.49 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $1,162.04

Pump the brakes on GHC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GHC, but look at what you are paying: 16.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Graham Holdings Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,336.35 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $1,162.04

GHC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GHC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1162.04 (52-wk range $990.09 - $1262.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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