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CBL (71) DEI (45) FRMI (31) ARR (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$6.92 -0.57% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.90

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.61B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Global Net Lease Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $6.92 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GNL ranks #820 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GNL compare to CBL and DEI in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GNL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.56B) and DEI (Douglas Emmett Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 105.1x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GNL?
β–Ό

Per GNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526113), Global Net Lease Inc. generated $495.3M in revenue (-13.1% YoY), $0 in net income, and $222.8M in free cash flow against $4.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.90 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 45% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.4% Base Target
$11 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GNL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GNL SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$7.52-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$7.12-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$6.98-0.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$6.92-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GNL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.19) and Max Pain ($7.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.53.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GNLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How GNL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$222.8M (45% FCF Margin)
Revenue$495.3MGross Profit $257.5M (52%)Cost of Sales $237.7MOp Profit $111.0M (22.4%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $146.6MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $111.0M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $445.8M
FY24
Rev $569.8M
FY25
Rev $495.3M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$495.3M52%22.4%$0$222.8M5.9%
FY 2024$569.8M52%33%$0$299.5M7.3%
FY 2023$445.8M52%-3.4%$0$143.7M5.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GNL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.37%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $6.97H $6.97L $6.92C $6.92VOL 2.98M
RES: $9.05SUP: $6.74SMA50: $8.19SMA200: $9.03
$9.87$9.05$8.23$7.41$6.60RES $9.05SUP $6.74$6.922026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ GNL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track GNL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GNL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GNL)

Financials Rank #820 of 1097 βš”οΈ CBL vs GNL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GNL vs. CBL, DEI, FRMI, ARR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) ranks #820 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #468 by equity capitalization ($1.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while CBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GNL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GNL ACTIVE
Global Net Lease Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” 5.9% -0.57% $1.61B Benchmark Subject
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties Inc.
B- 71/100 11.6x β€” 36.3% -2.36% $1.56B /cbl-vs-gnl β†’
DEI
Douglas Emmett Inc.
D 45/100 105.1x β€” 0.9% -2.76% $1.70B /dei-vs-gnl β†’
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -20.4% -7.71% $1.41B /frmi-vs-gnl β†’
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.
D 49/100 5.9x β€” 14.3% -2.26% $1.84B /arr-vs-gnl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001526113 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) reported GAAP revenue of $495.3M (-13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $569.8M , and +11.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $222.8M, and free cash flow of $222.8M (-25.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GNL closed FY2025 with $4.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $495.3M $0 $222.8M $222.8M $4.35B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $569.8M $0 $299.5M $299.5M $6.96B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.8M $0 $143.7M $143.7M β€” β€”

3. GNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Global Net Lease Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $6.92 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GNL ranks #820 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GNL compare to CBL and DEI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GNL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.56B) and DEI (Douglas Emmett Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 105.1x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GNL?

Per GNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526113), Global Net Lease Inc. generated $495.3M in revenue (-13.1% YoY), $0 in net income, and $222.8M in free cash flow against $4.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GNL last traded at $6.92 (-0.57% on volume of 2,834,535 shares), positioning the stock -15.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.19) and -23.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.03). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $10.03, GNL sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.2% ($6.49 to $7.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: GNL RQD Cockpit GNL 12M Forecast GNL Earnings & Move GNL Dividends & DRIP GNL Insiders & 13F GNL Whale Options GNL Profit Sankey GNL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GNL β€” Global Net Lease Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.92 (-0.57% 1D, market capitalization $1.61B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 22.4%, and free cash flow yield of 13.34%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Per the financials section, the company reports annual revenue (see Financial Trend).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) reported $495.3M in annual revenue (up from $569.8M in FY2024, -13.1% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($445.8M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, GNL scaled operating cash flow to $222.8M and free cash flow to $222.8M, backed by $4.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 13.34% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.85 – $10.03 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 13.4x EV/EBITDA against 22.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), GNL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can GNL sustain or expand its 22.4% operating margin and 5.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $495.3M and free cash flow of $222.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GNL's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GNL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.92?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GNL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GNL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.85 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 13.34% FCF yield and 11.5% dividend yield offer a high cash-return profile per the market data.

A 13.34% FCF yield and 11.5% dividend yield offer a high cash-return profile per the market data.. When you look under the hood at GNL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 5.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $10.03. My 12M target is $8.85.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” GNL's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.99 (-14.1%)
Spot @ $6.97

A 4/20 whale-flow pillar and 2/9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak institutional support and fundamental quality.

Careful chasing GNL at $6.97. A 4/20 whale-flow pillar and 2/9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak institutional support and fundamental quality.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 22.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $5.99 on multiple compression.

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