MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Global Payments (GPN) Stock Looks Fully Priced On Current EarningsYahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GPN Stock surged +2.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$99.63 +2.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.96
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $25.63B
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Is GPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Global Payments Inc. (NYSE: GPN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $99.63 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $25.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GPN ranks #163 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GPN compare to CPAY and TCOM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), GPN carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 72.6%, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, CPAY (Corpay Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $26.33B) and TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $24.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPN?
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Per GPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001123360), Global Payments Inc. generated $7.71B in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $1.40B in net income, and $2.31B in free cash flow against $53.34B in total assets and $13.30B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $99.96 (+0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 30% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPN SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+20/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 22.8% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$80.89+3.3% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$83.53+0% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$83.55+19.2% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C+$99.63+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GPN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, GPN faces multiple-compression risk if 16.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 70.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.03) or 200D SMA ($77.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($104.56) toward Bear Floor ($81.56).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GPN Stock surged +2.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) surged +2.88% to $99.63, trading at 96% of its 52-week range ($61.16 – $101.32). Solid 72.6% gross margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 96% of its 52-week range ($61.16 – $101.32) with RSI-14 at 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $99.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 72.6% gross margin and $2.3B annual free cash flow.
Live GPN Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTInvesting.com • 1d ago
Global Payments jumps 12% on report of potential $40 billion buyoutInvesting.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTMarketWatch • 1d ago
Global Payments Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading dayMarketWatch report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTCassandra Unchained | Michael Burry • 1d ago
Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once AgainCassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Global Payments surges on report CD&R pursuing takeover (GPN:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Global Payments (GPN) Upgrade Puts Fair Value Back In FocusYahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTInvesting.com • 1d ago
KeyBanc upgrades Global Payments stock rating on capital return outlookInvesting.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Will Global Payments (GPN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 19h ago
Global Payments deal could reach your checkoutA potential private-equity takeover could reshape trillions of dollars worldwide.
CATALYSTYahoo • 23h ago
Global Payments (GPN) Surges 13.0%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?Global Payments (GPN) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GPN Tape Review)
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- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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GPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $85.72H $99.63L $85.72C $99.63VOL 16.73M
RES: $101.6SUP: $81.88SMA50: $86.03SMA200: $77.16
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #163 of 1009
⚔️ CPAY vs GPN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GPN vs. CPAY, TCOM, FISV, BR)
Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Payments Inc. (GPN) ranks #163 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #77 by equity capitalization ($25.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCOM leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CPAY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with GPN at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPN
ACTIVE
Global Payments Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 16.2x | 72.6% | 5.1% | +2.88% | $25.63B | Benchmark Subject |
| CPAY Corpay Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 24.4x | — | 23.2% | +2.08% | $26.33B | /cpay-vs-gpn → |
| TCOM Trip.com Group Limited | D+ | 56/100 | 5.1x | 80.6% | 8.8% | +3.52% | $24.93B | /tcom-vs-gpn → |
| FISV Fiserv Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 7.4x | — | 9.6% | +3.82% | $26.60B | /fisv-vs-gpn → |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc. | B+ | 77/100 | 24.0x | 31.0% | 18.1% | +3.02% | $20.19B | /br-vs-gpn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001123360 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Payments Inc. (GPN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.71B (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.74B , and +4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.40B, operating cash flow of $2.66B, and free cash flow of $2.31B (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPN closed FY2025 with $53.34B in total assets against $13.30B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $7.71B | $1.40B | $2.66B | $2.31B | $53.34B | $13.30B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.74B | $1.57B | $3.06B | $2.71B | $46.89B | $10.74B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.38B | $986.2M | $2.55B | $2.22B | $12.48B | $2.92B |
3. GPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Global Payments Inc. (NYSE: GPN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $99.63 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $25.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GPN ranks #163 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GPN compare to CPAY and TCOM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), GPN carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 72.6%, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, CPAY (Corpay Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $26.33B) and TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $24.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPN?
Per GPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001123360), Global Payments Inc. generated $7.71B in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $1.40B in net income, and $2.31B in free cash flow against $53.34B in total assets and $13.30B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GPN last traded at $99.63 (+2.88% on volume of 5,752,772 shares), positioning the stock +15.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($86.03) and +29.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.16). Across its 52-week range of $61.16 to $101.32, GPN sits at the 95.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($90.66 to $108.60).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
GPN — Global Payments Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $99.63 (+2.88% 1D, market capitalization $25.63B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.1%, gross margin of 72.6%, operating margin of 22.8%, and free cash flow yield of 10.18%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (20/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.99, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.54x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. Revenue and margin figures are reported in the financial and market sections below.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Global Payments Inc. (GPN) reported $7.71B in annual revenue (up from $7.74B in FY2024, -0.4% YoY) and $1.40B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.38B revenue, $986.2M net income) through FY2025, GPN scaled operating cash flow to $2.66B and free cash flow to $2.31B, backed by $53.34B in total assets against $13.30B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 20/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $61.16 – $101.32 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 16.2x trailing P/E and 13.1x EV/EBITDA against 22.8% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can GPN sustain or expand its 22.8% operating margin and 5.1% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.71B and free cash flow of $2.31B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $13.30B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GPN's 15.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?
GPN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Global Payments Inc. (GPN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Global Payments (GPN) Stock Looks Fully Priced On Current Earnings Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago
Global Payments jumps 12% on report of potential $40 billion buyout Investing.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST MarketWatch • 1d ago
Global Payments Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day MarketWatch report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry • 1d ago
Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Global Payments surges on report CD&R pursuing takeover (GPN:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Global Payments (GPN) Upgrade Puts Fair Value Back In Focus Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago
KeyBanc upgrades Global Payments stock rating on capital return outlook Investing.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Will Global Payments (GPN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report? Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GPN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $99.63?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $118.14 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Insider Conviction pillar scores 17/20 and FCF yield is 10.18%, pointing to strong cash generation and insider support.
Picked up a starter position in GPN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $96.84. Insider Conviction pillar scores 17/20 and FCF yield is 10.18%, pointing to strong cash generation and insider support.. Trading inside a $61.16–$101.32 52-week range with 10.18% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Business Services multiples expand this quarter.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — GPN's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $78.44 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $96.84 Altman Z-Score of 0.99 and total debt rising from $2.92B to $13.30B raise balance-sheet distress concerns.
Careful chasing GPN at $96.84. Altman Z-Score of 0.99 and total debt rising from $2.92B to $13.30B raise balance-sheet distress concerns.. Gross margin is 72.6%, but operating margin is 22.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $78.44 on multiple compression.