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Why GPRK Stock slipped -0.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$10.33 -0.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.30

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $673.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GPRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Geopark Ltd (NYSE: GPRK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $10.33 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $673.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPRK ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GPRK compare to GRNT and OBE in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPRK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $691.2M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRK?
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For Geopark Ltd (GPRK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #115 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.30 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$14 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE GPRK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPRK SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$11.59-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$11.55-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$11.00-6.1% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$10.33-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GPRK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, GPRK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.19) or 200D SMA ($9.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.19) toward Bear Floor ($7.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GPRK Stock slipped -0.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) slipped -0.48% to $10.33, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($6.84 – $13.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($6.84 – $13.13) with RSI-14 at 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $10.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $18.9M annual free cash flow.
Live GPRK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
GeoPark Completes Strategic Venezuela Entry Transaction

BOGOTA, Colombia, November 02, 2026--GeoPark Limited ("GeoPark" or the "Company") (NYSE: GPRK), a leading independent energy company with more than 20 years of successful operations across Latin America, today announced

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPRK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GPRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GPRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.19%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $10.88H $10.88L $10.33C $10.33VOL 895.3K
RES: $13.96SUP: $9.34SMA50: $11.19SMA200: $9.83
$13.51$11.93$10.35$8.76$7.18RES $13.96SUP $9.34$10.332026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPRK Butterfly Map → + Track GPRK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPRK)

Energy Rank #115 of 211 ⚔️ GRNT vs GPRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GPRK vs. GRNT, OBE, VTS, EGY)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geopark Ltd (GPRK) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #147 by equity capitalization ($673.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while GRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with GPRK at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPRK ACTIVE
Geopark Ltd
D+ 55/100 — — — -0.48% $673.6M Benchmark Subject
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources Inc.
C- 60/100 31.3x — 3.8% -2.48% $691.2M /grnt-vs-gprk →
OBE
Obsidian Energy Ltd.
C- 60/100 — — — +0.77% $691.9M /obe-vs-gprk →
VTS
Vitesse Energy Inc.
C- 60/100 30.5x — 2.2% -10.38% $725.9M /vts-vs-gprk →
EGY
VAALCO Energy Inc.
D 46/100 — — -4.2% -3.28% $610.1M /egy-vs-gprk →

2. GPRK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $673.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GPRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Geopark Ltd (NYSE: GPRK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $10.33 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $673.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPRK ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPRK compare to GRNT and OBE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPRK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $691.2M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRK?

For Geopark Ltd (GPRK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #115 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPRK last traded at $10.33 (-0.48% on volume of 763,329 shares), positioning the stock -7.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.19) and +5.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.84 to $13.13, GPRK sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($9.61 to $11.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: GPRK RQD Cockpit GPRK 12M Forecast GPRK Earnings & Move GPRK Dividends & DRIP GPRK Insiders & 13F GPRK Whale Options GPRK Profit Sankey GPRK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GPRK — Geopark Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.33 (-0.48% 1D, market capitalization $673.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Production. Exchange: NYSE. Is a NYSE-listed Energy issuer operating in Oil & Gas Production with a market capitalization of $0.7B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.84 – $13.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not captured in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GPRK sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $13.13 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GPRK's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GPRK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Geopark Ltd (GPRK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GPRK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GPRK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPRK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GPRK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.38 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Argentina block may hold about 200 million barrels' worth of oil and gas, with two test wells planned.

The street is overcomplicating Geopark Ltd (GPRK). The Argentina block may hold about 200 million barrels' worth of oil and gas, with two test wells planned.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $11.75.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $10.88 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.70 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $10.88

The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar records ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, with the overall RQD grade at D+.

I respect the product at Geopark Ltd, but the stock at $10.88 is a different story. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar records ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, with the overall RQD grade at D+.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 55/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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