Yahoo Finance report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GRNT Stock dropped -2.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GRNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $5.11 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $691.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GRNT ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GRNT compare to OBE and GPRK in the Energy sector?
▼
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GRNT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.9M) and GPRK (Geopark Ltd) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRNT?
▼
Per GRNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001928446), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. generated $450.3M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $296.4M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $367.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 10.3% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRNT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, GRNT faces multiple-compression risk if 31.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.07) or 200D SMA ($5.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.16) toward Bear Floor ($4.02).
Why GRNT Stock dropped -2.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) dropped -2.48% to $5.11, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($4.18 – $6.14). Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 31x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($4.18 – $6.14) with RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $5.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $296.4M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Investors can certainly boost their returns by concentrating on stocks trading between $1 and $10. However, a disciplined approach is necessary because many of these businesses are speculative and lack the underlying fun
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GRNT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
GRNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRNT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRNT)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GRNT vs. OBE, GPRK, VTS, WHK)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) ranks #94 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #146 by equity capitalization ($691.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT
ACTIVE
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.8% | -2.48% | $691.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +0.77% | $691.9M | /obe-vs-grnt → |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | -0.48% | $673.6M | /gprk-vs-grnt → |
| VTS Vitesse Energy Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 30.5x | — | 2.2% | -10.38% | $725.9M | /vts-vs-grnt → |
| WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | 7.4% | -0.16% | $762.9M | /whk-vs-grnt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001928446 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) reported GAAP revenue of $450.3M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $380.0M , and +14.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of $296.4M, and free cash flow of $296.4M (+7.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRNT closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $367.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.34, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $450.3M | $24.4M | $296.4M | $296.4M | $1.17B | $367.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $380.0M | $18.8M | $275.7M | $275.7M | $1.04B | $205.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $394.1M | $81.1M | $302.9M | $302.9M | — | — |
3. GRNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GRNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $5.11 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $691.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GRNT ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GRNT compare to OBE and GPRK in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GRNT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.9M) and GPRK (Geopark Ltd) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRNT?
Per GRNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001928446), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. generated $450.3M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $296.4M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $367.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GRNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GRNT last traded at $5.11 (-2.48% on volume of 1,711,284 shares), positioning the stock +0.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.07) and +0.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.09). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $6.14, GRNT sits at the 47.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($4.70 to $5.52).
GRNT — Granite Ridge Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $5.11 (-2.48% 1D, market capitalization $691.2M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 10.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.34, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.61x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Oil & Gas Production industry (Energy sector) with an equity market capitalization of $755.8M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 10.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.8% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Oil & Gas Production peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) reported $450.3M in annual revenue (up from $380.0M in FY2024, +18.5% YoY) and $24.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($394.1M revenue, $81.1M net income) through FY2025, GRNT scaled operating cash flow to $296.4M and free cash flow to $296.4M, backed by $1.17B in total assets against $367.8M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.18 – $6.14 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 31.3x trailing P/E and 24.4x EV/EBITDA against 10.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), GRNT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can GRNT sustain or expand its 10.3% operating margin and 3.8% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $450.3M and free cash flow of $296.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $367.8M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GRNT's 26.3x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GRNT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Granite Ridge Resources Inc. (GRNT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GRNT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.11?
Positive news momentum, a green catalyst headline, and a 12/20 forensic balance sheet with Piotroski 8/9 support a constructive case de
Don't sleep on GRNT's setup in Energy. Positive news momentum, a green catalyst headline, and a 12/20 forensic balance sheet with Piotroski 8/9 support a constructive case despite weak cash returns.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (60/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@ForensicBear Fair point on 31.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
A 0% FCF yield, 3.8% ROIC, and an Altman Z of 1.34 leave the stock with thin cash generation and elevated valuation multiples.
Fading this rally in GRNT at $5.73. A 0% FCF yield, 3.8% ROIC, and an Altman Z of 1.34 leave the stock with thin cash generation and elevated valuation multiples.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $5.73 (52-wk range $4.18–$6.14), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.