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Why GTES Stock advanced +0.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$24.01 +0.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.00

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.03B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GTES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: GTES) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $24.01 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $6.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GTES ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GTES compare to ST and ENS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GTES carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of 39.8%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ST (Sensata Technologies Holding plc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $5.86B) and ENS (EnerSys) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $5.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENS leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTES?
▼

Per GTES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718512), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. generated $3.44B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $251.4M in net income, and $404.9M in free cash flow against $7.15B in total assets and $2.20B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.00 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$32 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE GTES RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GTES SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.8% FCF Margin ($404.9M FCF) & 39.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$25.85+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$26.71-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$25.92-7.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$24.01-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GTES Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GTES faces multiple-compression risk if 26.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.02) or 200D SMA ($25.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.90) toward Bear Floor ($18.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTES• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GTES Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GTES Stock advanced +0.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) advanced +0.76% to $24.01, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($20.88 – $30.34). Stretched risk/reward at 26x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($20.88 – $30.34) with RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.3% around $24.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 39.8% gross margin and $404.9M annual free cash flow.
Live GTES Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GTES)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GTES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GTES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $26.25H $26.25L $23.83C $24.01VOL 4.98M
RES: $27.68SUP: $23.19SMA50: $26.02SMA200: $25.81
$30.86$28.69$26.53$24.36$22.19RES $27.68SUP $23.19$24.012026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GTES Butterfly Map → + Track GTES →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTES)

Industrials Rank #151 of 486 ⚔️ ST vs GTES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GTES vs. ST, ENS, JBTM, AAON)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) ranks #151 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #127 by equity capitalization ($6.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENS leads on earnings valuation at 21.0x trailing P/E, while ENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and 63.4% gross margin. ENS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with GTES at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GTES ACTIVE
Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.
D+ 57/100 26.4x 39.8% 7.8% +0.76% $6.03B Benchmark Subject
ST
Sensata Technologies Holding plc
D 50/100 — 29.3% 3.7% +2.38% $5.86B /st-vs-gtes →
ENS
EnerSys
C 64/100 21.0x 63.4% 13.0% +0.02% $5.77B /ens-vs-gtes →
JBTM
JBT Marel Corporation
E 26/100 — 35.1% 2.6% +5.14% $5.66B /jbtm-vs-gtes →
AAON
AAON Inc.
D- 36/100 57.7x 26.7% 9.5% +0.88% $5.56B /aaon-vs-gtes →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718512 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) reported GAAP revenue of $3.44B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.41B , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $251.4M, operating cash flow of $478.1M, and free cash flow of $404.9M (+36.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTES closed FY2025 with $7.15B in total assets against $2.20B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.44B $251.4M $478.1M $404.9M $7.15B $2.20B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $3.41B $194.9M $379.6M $296.5M $6.79B $2.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $3.57B $232.9M $481.0M $320.3M $4.28B $1.00B

3. GTES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: GTES) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $24.01 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $6.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GTES ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTES compare to ST and ENS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GTES carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of 39.8%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ST (Sensata Technologies Holding plc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $5.86B) and ENS (EnerSys) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $5.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENS leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTES?

Per GTES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718512), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. generated $3.44B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $251.4M in net income, and $404.9M in free cash flow against $7.15B in total assets and $2.20B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTES last traded at $24.01 (+0.76% on volume of 4,082,225 shares), positioning the stock -7.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.02) and -6.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.81). Across its 52-week range of $20.88 to $30.34, GTES sits at the 33.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($22.02 to $26.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: GTES RQD Cockpit GTES 12M Forecast GTES Earnings & Move GTES Dividends & DRIP GTES Insiders & 13F GTES Whale Options GTES Profit Sankey GTES News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GTES — Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.01 (+0.76% 1D, market capitalization $6.03B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.8%, gross margin of 39.8%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 6.09%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.46, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry,. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. The source data reports gross margin of 39.8%, operating margin of 13.5%, and net margin of 7.3%, indicating how the company converts sales into profit, but the specific mechanics of its revenue generation are not described in the source.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) reported $3.44B in annual revenue (up from $3.41B in FY2024, +1.0% YoY) and $251.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.57B revenue, $232.9M net income) through FY2025, GTES scaled operating cash flow to $478.1M and free cash flow to $404.9M, backed by $7.15B in total assets against $2.20B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 6.09% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.88 – $30.34 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.4x trailing P/E and 15.2x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations, customer concentration, and supplier dependencies cannot be assessed from the source. A prospective investor should note that the broader Industrials and Industrial Machinery/Components exposure is recorded only at the classification level.

  • Key Question #1: Can GTES sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 7.8% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.44B and free cash flow of $404.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.20B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GTES's 24.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

GTES Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GTES Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GTES Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GTES 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GTES:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.22 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.46) and a 6.09% FCF yield support downside resilience, with Q3 adjusted EP

Don't sleep on GTES's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.46) and a 6.09% FCF yield support downside resilience, with Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.47 beating the $0.44 FactSet estimate.. Beta of 0.99 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GTES's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.49 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $23.83

At 26.4x trailing and 24.6x forward earnings against a 7.8% ROIC and 0.99 beta, the valuation appears to price in much of the expected

I respect the product at Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd., but the stock at $23.83 is a different story. At 26.4x trailing and 24.6x forward earnings against a 7.8% ROIC and 0.99 beta, the valuation appears to price in much of the expected improvement, while debt rose from $1.00B to $2.20B between FY 2023 and FY 2025.. FCF yield is 6.09% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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