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Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.23 -1.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.21

Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $181.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HDSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hudson Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: HDSN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.23 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $181.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HDSN ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HDSN compare to ASLE and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), HDSN carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.2x, gross margin of 25.2%, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, ASLE (AerSale Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $230.5M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $97.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HDSN?
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Per HDSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000925528), Hudson Technologies Inc. generated $246.6M in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $16.7M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $318.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.21 (-0.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (9)Macro (4)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE HDSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HDSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HDSN SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 25.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (26.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.16+2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$5.31-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$5.26-19.6% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$4.23-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HDSN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HDSN currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.17) and Max Pain ($4.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HDSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HDSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HDSN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.23: 2364.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.89
$6,832
$-3,168 (-31.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.70
$8,747
$-1,253 (-12.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.55
$22,577
+$12,577 (+125.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HDSN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HDSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HDSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.55%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.42H $4.42L $4.23C $4.23VOL 1.46M
RES: $6.52SUP: $4.07SMA50: $5.17SMA200: $5.89
$8.09$7.01$5.93$4.85$3.76RES $6.52SUP $4.07$4.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HDSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HDSN Butterfly Map → + Track HDSN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HDSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HDSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HDSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HDSN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #877 of 1009 ⚔️ ASLE vs HDSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HDSN vs. ASLE, VIRC, WBX, YDDL)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) ranks #877 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #700 by equity capitalization ($181.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YDDL leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while YDDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with HDSN at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HDSN ACTIVE
Hudson Technologies Inc.
E 30/100 11.2x 25.2% 7.2% -1.86% $181.4M Benchmark Subject
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
E 30/100 26.1x 31.5% 2.3% +0.62% $230.5M /asle-vs-hdsn →
VIRC
Virco Manufacturing Corporation
D- 42/100 38.2x 40.7% 3.0% +0.16% $97.7M /virc-vs-hdsn →
WBX
Wallbox N.V. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — -2.91% $65.7M /wbx-vs-hdsn →
YDDL
One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)
D 46/100 5.2x 23.9% 22.9% +9.93% $53.5M /yddl-vs-hdsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000925528 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) reported GAAP revenue of $246.6M (+4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.1M , and -14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.7M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$8.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HDSN closed FY2025 with $318.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.66, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $246.6M $16.7M -$3.2M -$8.2M $318.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $237.1M $24.4M $91.8M $86.5M $302.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $289.0M $52.2M $58.5M $58.5M — —

3. HDSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HDSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hudson Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: HDSN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.23 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $181.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HDSN ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HDSN compare to ASLE and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), HDSN carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.2x, gross margin of 25.2%, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, ASLE (AerSale Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $230.5M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $97.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HDSN?

Per HDSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000925528), Hudson Technologies Inc. generated $246.6M in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $16.7M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $318.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HDSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HDSN last traded at $4.23 (-1.86% on volume of 710,247 shares), positioning the stock -18.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.17) and -28.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.89). Across its 52-week range of $4.10 to $9.10, HDSN sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($3.88 to $4.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: HDSN RQD Cockpit HDSN 12M Forecast HDSN Earnings & Move HDSN Dividends & DRIP HDSN Insiders & 13F HDSN Whale Options HDSN Profit Sankey HDSN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HDSN — Hudson Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.23 (-1.86% 1D, market capitalization $181.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.2%, gross margin of 25.2%, operating margin of 7.5%, and free cash flow yield of -4.42%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.66, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Industrial Specialties industry (per the company profile). Reported revenue, gross margin of 25.2%, and operating margin of 7.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) reported $246.6M in annual revenue (up from $237.1M in FY2024, +4.0% YoY) and $16.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($289.0M revenue, $52.2M net income) through FY2025, HDSN scaled operating cash flow to -$3.2M and free cash flow to -$8.2M, backed by $318.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.42% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.10 – $9.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 11.2x trailing P/E and 6.4x EV/EBITDA against 7.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Consumer Discretionary), HDSN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 25.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can HDSN sustain or expand its 7.5% operating margin and 7.2% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $246.6M and free cash flow of -$8.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HDSN's 10.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HDSN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hudson Technologies Inc. (HDSN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HDSN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HDSN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HDSN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HDSN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.65 (+31.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at 11.2x trailing earnings and 6.4x EV/EBITDA while the Altman Z-Score of 3.66 sits in a range the rating treats as le

Don't sleep on HDSN's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The stock trades at 11.2x trailing earnings and 6.4x EV/EBITDA while the Altman Z-Score of 3.66 sits in a range the rating treats as less distressed.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (30/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 11.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Specialties. If gross margin (25.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.71 (-13.9%)
Spot @ $4.31

Negative FCF yield of -4.42% and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$8.2M, against a Quiver Quantitative RED risk-watch flag on the Q3 2026 ear

I respect the product at Hudson Technologies Inc., but the stock at $4.31 is a different story. Negative FCF yield of -4.42% and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$8.2M, against a Quiver Quantitative RED risk-watch flag on the Q3 2026 earnings decline, drive the Roarable 'Strong Sell — Avoid' verdict.. FCF yield is -4.42% and RQD sits at 30/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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