Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE: HGV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $41.00 (+6.66% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HGV ranks #525 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HGV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.03B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGV leads on earnings multiple (34.3x) while OSW leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
Per HGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674168), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. generated $4.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $81.0M in net income, and $230.0M in free cash flow against $11.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind
While HGV currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.42) and Max Pain ($43.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.17.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) surged +6.66% to $41.00, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($33.99 – $55.4). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Finviz report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading higher after a rough week in which sellers moved hard against the big tech companies, which reported mostly solid results. Still, massive spending on AI, free cash flow that
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HGV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HGV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) ranks #525 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #362 by equity capitalization ($2.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGV leads on earnings valuation at 34.3x trailing P/E, while OSW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. OSW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with HGV at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HGV
ACTIVE
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D | 51/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +6.66% | $2.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | C+ | 69/100 | 42.7x | — | 10.6% | -0.66% | $3.03B | /osw-vs-hgv → |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -0.9% | +1.45% | $3.34B | /pk-vs-hgv → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | — | — | +0.55% | $2.38B | /sho-vs-hgv → |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +7.11% | $2.13B | /penn-vs-hgv → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) reported GAAP revenue of $4.51B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +25.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $81.0M, operating cash flow of $300.0M, and free cash flow of $230.0M (-13.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HGV closed FY2025 with $11.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.51B | $81.0M | $300.0M | $230.0M | $11.54B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.46B | $47.0M | $309.0M | $267.0M | $11.44B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.59B | $313.0M | $312.0M | $312.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE: HGV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $41.00 (+6.66% 1D, market cap $2.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HGV ranks #525 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HGV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.03B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGV leads on earnings multiple (34.3x) while OSW leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
Per HGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674168), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. generated $4.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $81.0M in net income, and $230.0M in free cash flow against $11.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
HGV last traded at $41.00 (+6.66% on volume of 3,001,807 shares), positioning the stock +9.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.42) and -7.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.49). Across its 52-week range of $33.99 to $55.40, HGV sits at the 32.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($37.76 to $44.24).
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $41.00 (+6.66% 1D, market capitalization $2.91B).
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry, .78B market capitalization and reported revenue of $4.51B for FY 2025, .
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) reported $4.51B in annual revenue (up from $4.46B in FY2024, +1.1% YoY) and $81.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.59B revenue, $313.0M net income) through FY2025, HGV scaled operating cash flow to $300.0M and free cash flow to $230.0M, backed by $11.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
The source data therefore does not map upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector correlations for HGV. Sector and industry placement (Consumer Discretionary, Hotels/Resorts) is the only contextual classification available. Investors should watch the sales-reset narrative noted in the news wire, since a change in sales trends would be a first-order signal that the source data cannot otherwise quantify.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Finviz report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Here is why I am bullish on HGV here at $38.44: Insider-conviction and cash-flow signals (FCF yield 8.29%, insider pillar 14/20) sit alongside a positive rating-upgrade catalyst.. Compare HGV's 0.0% operating margin and 6.3% ROIC against the rest of Hotels/Resorts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $36.52 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — HGV's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HGV above $38.44. A 34.3 P/E on a 1.8% net margin and 6.3% ROIC, with a 5/20 macro-fit score and a goldman price-target cut, leaves the stock priced for more than current earnings show.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (8.29%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $55.40.
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