Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$138.00 -0.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.09

Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $9.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Houlihan Lokey Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $138.00 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $9.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HLI ranks #122 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HLI compare to AMG and EVR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), HLI carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, AMG (Affiliated Managers Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $10.32B) and EVR (Evercore Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 30.3%, cap $11.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMG leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while EVR leads on capital efficiency (30.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLI?
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Per HLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001302215), Houlihan Lokey Inc. generated $2.62B in revenue (+9.5% YoY), $424.0M in net income, and $681.8M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $739.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.10 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 26% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$205 Bull$145 Base$113 Bear
📬 FREE HLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HLI SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26% FCF Margin ($681.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.3) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$129.53+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$130.33+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$132.35+4.3% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$138.00+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HLI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, HLI faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.57) or 200D SMA ($144.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($145.45) toward Bear Floor ($113.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE31% OF RANGE
L: $113$138.00H: $195
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on HLI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

21.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HLI
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HLI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.28%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $137.4H $139.3L $137.4C $138.0VOL 1.65M
RES: $145.7SUP: $125.5SMA50: $131.6SMA200: $144.1
$182.6$163.7$144.8$125.9$107.0RES $145.7SUP $125.5$138.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLI)

Financials Rank #122 of 1096 ⚔️ AMG vs HLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HLI vs. AMG, EVR, MORN, IVZ)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) ranks #122 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #190 by equity capitalization ($9.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMG leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while EVR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.3% ROIC and — gross margin. MORN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with HLI at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HLI ACTIVE
Houlihan Lokey Inc.
B- 70/100 23.0x — 21.6% -0.96% $9.74B Benchmark Subject
AMG
Affiliated Managers Group Inc.
B+ 77/100 14.4x — 14.8% -4.37% $10.32B /amg-vs-hli →
EVR
Evercore Inc.
B 73/100 19.3x — 30.3% -2.38% $11.44B /evr-vs-hli →
MORN
Morningstar Inc.
B+ 79/100 20.1x — 22.9% +1.64% $8.26B /morn-vs-hli →
IVZ
Invesco Ltd
D+ 58/100 — — -3.2% -4.34% $12.81B /ivz-vs-hli →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001302215

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.62B (+9.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.39B , and +36.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $424.0M, operating cash flow of $704.1M, and free cash flow of $681.8M (-15.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLI closed FY2025 with $3.94B in total assets against $739.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.62B $424.0M $704.1M $681.8M $3.94B $739.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.39B $400.0M $848.6M $808.9M $3.48B $627.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.91B $280.0M $328.5M $242.3M $5.36B $1.25B

3. HLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Houlihan Lokey Inc. (NYSE: HLI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $138.00 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $9.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HLI ranks #122 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HLI compare to AMG and EVR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), HLI carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, AMG (Affiliated Managers Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $10.32B) and EVR (Evercore Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 30.3%, cap $11.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMG leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while EVR leads on capital efficiency (30.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLI?

Per HLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001302215), Houlihan Lokey Inc. generated $2.62B in revenue (+9.5% YoY), $424.0M in net income, and $681.8M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $739.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLI last traded at $138.00 (-0.96% on volume of 797,020 shares), positioning the stock +4.89% above its 50-day simple moving average ($131.57) and -4.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($144.11). Across its 52-week range of $112.83 to $195.06, HLI sits at the 30.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($129.03 to $146.97).

HLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HLI stock right now?

Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is HLI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HLI's 12-month base price target is $145.45 (range $113.16 to $204.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HLI — Houlihan Lokey Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HLI scores 70 out of 100, a B- grade labeled "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 21.6%; FCF yield 7%); Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 19/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 7/20 (Beta 0.91; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the strongest support comes from the cash engine and insider-flow pillars, which together account for the bulk of the score. The lowest pillar, macro regime fit, indicates the stock's sensitivity to sector and market conditions is a comparative weak point. The balance-sheet pillar supports the view that financial stress is not the primary concern. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the Snapshot: a trailing P/E of 23 and EV/EBITDA of 17.2 indicate the stock is not priced cheaply on these measures, so upside depends on continued earnings growth and cash generation rather than multiple expansion.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$139.34$9.74B2321.417.26.071.79%0.91$112.83 - $195.0621.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2617.5M$527.0M$424.0MN/A$681.8M$1056.5M$739.3M
FY 2024$2389.4M$502.6M$400.0MN/A$808.9M$799.3M$627.8M
FY 2023$1914.4M$373.2M$280.0MN/A$242.3MN/A$1253.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1914.4M in FY 2023 to $2617.5M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $280.0M to $424.0M over the same period. Per the market data, operating margin is 20.1%, net margin is 16.2%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 21.6% per the RQD cash-engine input. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z is 2.5 and Piotroski F is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported debt fell from $1253.3M in FY 2023 to $739.3M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $1056.5M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, six headlines reference HLI across Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and Yahoo! Finance Canada. Two items are tagged CATALYST (green): a Yahoo Finance item noting an earnings beat "might change the case" for the stock, and a Yahoo Finance item stating the company is "expected to beat earnings estimates." Four items are tagged MARKET WIRE (yellow) and describe the stock as "up" or cover market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts without specific detail. One TradingView headline references a Q3 report and earnings preview. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Financials sector and Investment Managers industry classification, combined with the RQD macro-regime pillar's note on sector sensitivity (Beta 0.91).

Open Questions

  • What specific business lines, client segments, and revenue mix drive the reported $2617.5M in FY 2025 revenue?
  • The FY 2025 EPS and FY 2024 and FY 2023 EPS fields are N/A; what is the reported diluted EPS for each period?
  • What drove the change in FY 2023 cash (listed as N/A) and what is the current debt maturity profile behind the $739.3M debt figure?
  • What do the 13F, Form 4, and Congressional trade records show by holder and date, given the insider pillar score?
  • What are the forward earnings expectations behind the 21.4 forward P/E, given that no analyst data is provided?

HLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HLI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $138.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HLI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HLI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $164.42 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HLI (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $139.34?

Welcome to the HLI (Houlihan Lokey Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $112.87 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $139.34

Pump the brakes on HLI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HLI, but look at what you are paying: 23.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Houlihan Lokey Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $163.03 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $139.34

HLI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HLI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $139.34 (52-wk range $112.83 - $195.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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