Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HMH / dividends

FET (59) OIS (46) FLOC (74) INVX (78) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$18.94 +1.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.95

HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $823.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HMH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HMH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $18.94 (+1.45% 1D, market cap $823.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMH ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), HMH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FET (Forum Energy Technologies Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.1%, cap $1.02B) and OIS (Oil States International Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $547.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?

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Per HMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021880), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.95 (+0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HMH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 32% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$18.83-7.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$17.38+5.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$18.41+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$18.94-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HMH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.82) and Max Pain ($19.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HMH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMH)

✓Walkthrough of HMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.76%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $18.96H $18.96L $18.67C $18.94VOL 61.7K

RES: $20.03SUP: $16.46SMA50: $18.82SMA200: $19.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HMH Butterfly Map → + Track HMH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #544 of 1011 ⚔️ FET vs HMH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HMH vs. FET, OIS, FLOC, INVX)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #533 by equity capitalization ($823.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. INVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with HMH at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HMH ACTIVE HMH Holding Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	—	+1.45%	$823.2M	Benchmark Subject
FET Forum Energy Technologies Inc.	C-	59/100	—	27.7%	6.1%	-4.30%	$1.02B	/fet-vs-hmh →
OIS Oil States International Inc.	D	46/100	—	19.9%	-15.4%	+5.73%	$547.7M	/ois-vs-hmh →
FLOC Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)	B	74/100	43.8x	—	30.0%	-0.20%	$1.81B	/floc-vs-hmh →
INVX Innovex International Inc.	B+	78/100	25.2x	31.0%	9.9%	-6.40%	$2.10B	/invx-vs-hmh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002021880

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HMH closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$1.36B	—

3. HMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?

Where is HMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HMH last traded at $18.94 (+1.45% on volume of 59,983 shares), positioning the stock +0.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.82) and -4.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.77). Across its 52-week range of $16.32 to $24.50, HMH sits at the 32.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($17.12 to $20.76).

HMH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does HMH pay a dividend and is it safe?

HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: HMH RQD Cockpit HMH 12M Forecast HMH Earnings & Move HMH Dividends & DRIP HMH Insiders & 13F HMH Whale Options HMH Profit Sankey HMH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HMH — HMH Holding Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HMH scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 12 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash-generation engine and insider/institutional conviction, which together indicate that the rating does not see strong evidence of current cash returns or committed buying. The balance sheet and macro-fit pillars are comparatively stronger, which means the rating's downgrade is driven mainly by the absence of demonstrated returns rather than by acute balance-sheet stress. Any upside case would need to come from improvement in cash generation or from a change in the flow signals that the rating currently scores low.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	N/A	$96.6M	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are each $0.0M, and EPS and FCF are not reported; cash is $96.6M and debt is not reported. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Taken together, the reported figures show no revenue or profit in the period, with the balance sheet metrics as the only quantified strength in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Earnings timing (MARKET WIRE, Stock Titan): Third-quarter results are set for release after the Nov. 4 market close.
Earnings call announcement (MARKET WIRE, Yahoo Finance): HMH Holding Inc. announced a third quarter 2026 earnings conference call.
Price target cut (RISK WATCH, TradingView): A 12-month price target was cut to $28.17, which the headline describes as implying 60% upside.
Analyst rating (MARKET WIRE, MarketBeat): The stock is reported as "Buy" rated by Wall Street brokerages.
Other items: A Yahoo Finance item referencing H & M Hennes & Mauritz (OM:HM B) and an IndyStar item about Horses for Mental Health are headlines associated with the feed and are not attributable to HMH's business; the source does not establish a link.
Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Sector is Consumer Discretionary, industry is Oil and Gas Field Machinery, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data is listed as NONE. The only price target reference is in the news feed: a 12-month target cut to $28.17 (TradingView headline) and a "Buy" rating characterization (MarketBeat headline). Holders data is listed as NONE, so no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trades can be reported from the source.

Open Questions

What products or services generate HMH's revenue, and who are its customers?
Why were FY 2025 revenue and operating income reported as $0.0M, and what is the path to positive cash generation?
What drove the cut to the 12-month price target, and what assumptions underlie the remaining analyst view?
What is the size and composition of the debt load behind the 0.5 Debt/Equity figure, given that debt is not reported in the financials?
Who holds the Class A shares, and how have institutional and insider positions changed?

HMH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HMH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

HMH Holding Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 15h ago

HMH Holding Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $28.17, Implies 60% Upside

TradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 18h ago

Third-quarter results are set for release after the Nov. 4 market close

Stock Titan report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 21h ago

HMH Holding Inc (NASDAQ:HMH) Stock Now Rated "Buy" by Wall Street Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

H & M Hennes & Mauritz (OM:HM B) Could Be 2% Overvalued After Q3 Profit Lift

Yahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE IndyStar • 1d ago

Horses for Mental Health Releases New Video Celebrating the Horse-Human Connection During HORSETOBER™

IndyStar report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

HMH Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 213.26M USD

TradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

High Dividend Yield Stocks for Income

TradingKey report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HMH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.94?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HMH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $20.16 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HMH (D • RQD 51/100) a Buy at $18.67?

Welcome to the HMH (HMH Holding Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Oil and Gas Field Machinery. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.31 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $18.67

Pump the brakes on HMH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HMH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.52 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $18.67

HMH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HMH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil and Gas Field Machinery and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.67 (52-wk range $16.32 - $24.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.