MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
HMH Holding Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference CallYahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HMH Stock dropped -8.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.39 -8.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10
HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $835.1M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HMH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HMH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $17.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $835.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMH ranks #526 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), HMH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FET (Forum Energy Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.1%, cap $974.5M) and OIS (Oil States International Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $579.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?
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Per HMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021880), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $570.2M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10 (-1.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HMH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$18.98-7.1% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$17.63+8% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$19.04-8.7% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$17.39-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMH Turnaround Squeeze
While HMH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.81) and Max Pain ($18.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.73.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HMH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HMH Stock dropped -8.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) dropped -8.18% to $17.39, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($16.32 – $24.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($16.32 – $24.5) with RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $17.39 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $23.4M annual free cash flow.
Live HMH Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
HMH Holding Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $28.17, Implies 60% UpsideTradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Third-quarter results are set for release after the Nov. 4 market closeStock Titan report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
HMH Holding Inc (NASDAQ:HMH) Stock Now Rated "Buy" by Wall Street BrokeragesMarketBeat report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
H & M Hennes & Mauritz (OM:HM B) Could Be 2% Overvalued After Q3 Profit LiftYahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREIndyStar • 1d ago
Horses for Mental Health Releases New Video Celebrating the Horse-Human Connection During HORSETOBER™IndyStar report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
HMH Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 213.26M USDTradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingKey • 1d ago
High Dividend Yield Stocks for IncomeTradingKey report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMH)
- ✓Walkthrough of HMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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HMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.74%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.67H $18.94L $17.39C $17.39VOL 60.0K
RES: $19.99SUP: $16.45SMA50: $18.81SMA200: $19.77
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #526 of 1009
⚔️ FET vs HMH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HMH vs. FET, OIS, FLOC, INVX)
Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) ranks #526 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #531 by equity capitalization ($835.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. FLOC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HMH at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMH
ACTIVE
HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -8.18% | $835.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| FET Forum Energy Technologies Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 27.7% | 6.1% | -8.62% | $974.5M | /fet-vs-hmh → |
| OIS Oil States International Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 19.9% | -15.4% | -7.50% | $579.1M | /ois-vs-hmh → |
| FLOC Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A) | B | 74/100 | 43.8x | — | 30.0% | -4.05% | $1.81B | /floc-vs-hmh → |
| INVX Innovex International Inc. | B | 73/100 | 25.2x | 31.0% | 9.9% | -7.23% | $1.96B | /invx-vs-hmh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002021880 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) reported GAAP revenue of $570.2M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HMH closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $570.2M | $0 | — | — | $1.36B | — |
3. HMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HMH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $17.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $835.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMH ranks #526 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), HMH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FET (Forum Energy Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.1%, cap $974.5M) and OIS (Oil States International Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $579.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?
Per HMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021880), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $570.2M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HMH last traded at $17.39 (-8.18% on volume of 148,135 shares), positioning the stock -7.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.81) and -12.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.77). Across its 52-week range of $16.32 to $24.50, HMH sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($15.76 to $19.02).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
HMH — HMH Holding Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.39 (-8.18% 1D, market capitalization $835.1M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
— The source data identifies HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Oil and Gas Field Machinery industry, with a market capitalization of $0.8B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) reported $570.2M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.32 – $24.50 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Oil and Gas Field Machinery) is the only available context.
- Key Question #1: Can HMH sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil and Gas Field Machinery peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $570.2M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is HMH's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
HMH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
HMH Holding Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Yahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
HMH Holding Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $28.17, Implies 60% Upside TradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Third-quarter results are set for release after the Nov. 4 market close Stock Titan report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
HMH Holding Inc (NASDAQ:HMH) Stock Now Rated "Buy" by Wall Street Brokerages MarketBeat report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
H & M Hennes & Mauritz (OM:HM B) Could Be 2% Overvalued After Q3 Profit Lift Yahoo Finance report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE IndyStar • 1d ago
Horses for Mental Health Releases New Video Celebrating the Horse-Human Connection During HORSETOBER™ IndyStar report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
HMH Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 213.26M USD TradingView report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago
High Dividend Yield Stocks for Income TradingKey report covering HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
HMH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.39?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HMH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $24.43 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Balance-sheet pillars are comparatively sound, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and $96.6M in reported cash.
The street is overcomplicating HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH). Balance-sheet pillars are comparatively sound, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and $96.6M in reported cash.. With an RQD score of 51/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $20.46.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil and Gas Field Machinery. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $16.10 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $18.94 The stock carries a D grade with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the rating shows weak institutional and insider conviction.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HMH above $18.94. The stock carries a D grade with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the rating shows weak institutional and insider conviction.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $24.50.