Stock Ratings / Materials / HMY / insiders

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Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$14.45 -8.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.21

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.98B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HMY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HMY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE: HMY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.45 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $9.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HMY ranks #81 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HMY compare to IAG and EGO in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), HMY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, IAG (Iamgold Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.56B) and EGO (Eldorado Gold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HMY leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HMY leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMY?

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For Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #81 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.21 (-1.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HMY SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.5% FCF Margin ($220.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$16.71+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$16.72-2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$16.29-11.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$14.45-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HMY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.21) and Max Pain ($15.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HMY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HMY Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HMY)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HMY. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMY)

✓Walkthrough of HMY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HMY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $16.16H $16.16L $14.45C $14.45VOL 2.03M

RES: $27.13SUP: $14.27SMA50: $18.21SMA200: $17.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HMY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HMY Butterfly Map → + Track HMY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMY)

Materials Rank #81 of 270 ⚔️ IAG vs HMY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HMY vs. IAG, EGO, EQX, AGI)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) ranks #81 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #44 by equity capitalization ($9.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HMY leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while HMY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IAG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with HMY at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HMY ACTIVE Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-8.14%	$9.98B	Benchmark Subject
IAG Iamgold Corporation	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-7.71%	$9.56B	/iag-vs-hmy →
EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-5.50%	$8.47B	/ego-vs-hmy →
EQX Equinox Gold Corp.	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-4.71%	$11.88B	/eqx-vs-hmy →
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-4.79%	$12.07B	/agi-vs-hmy →

2. HMY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $9.98B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. HMY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HMY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HMY compare to IAG and EGO in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMY?

Where is HMY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HMY last traded at $14.45 (-8.14% on volume of 5,384,942 shares), positioning the stock -20.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.21) and -19.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.84). Across its 52-week range of $13.03 to $26.06, HMY sits at the 10.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($13.57 to $15.33).

HMY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are HMY insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies HMY leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: HMY RQD Cockpit HMY 12M Forecast HMY Earnings & Move HMY Dividends & DRIP HMY Insiders & 13F HMY Whale Options HMY Profit Sankey HMY News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HMY — Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HMY scores 53 out of 100, equating to a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which suggests financial solidity relative to the rating's other inputs. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, indicating limited measured accumulation support. The cash-engine score of 12/20 reflects a 2.21% FCF yield, which leaves limited cash return at the current price relative to the valuation multiples shown. Beta of 0.92 sits below market sensitivity, which the rating frames as a modest macro-regime fit (9/20). Taken together, the score points to a stock whose balance sheet is sound but whose valuation, cash yield, and flow signals do not offer a strong near-term case, which is the basis for the "Trim" verdict. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
15.73	$9.98B	32.8	27.6	21	0.48	0%	0.92	$13.03 - $26.06	9.9%

Business

Per the profile section, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. Per the profile, it carries a market capitalization of $10.0B. Not available in source data for the specific products sold, customer base, or revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines relate to HMY:

A Simply Wall St forecast and analyst-predictions piece (YELLOW, market wire).
A MarketBeat item reporting that U S Global Investors Inc. reduced its position (YELLOW, market wire).
A Stock Titan item noting the annual report for the year ended June 30, 2026 is available (YELLOW, market wire).
A Kalkine Media item questioning whether the stock can extend a rally after an upgrade (GREEN, catalyst).
A Stock Traders Daily technical-signals piece (YELLOW, market wire).
A MarketBeat item reporting that shares gapped down (YELLOW, market wire).

Key catalysts flagged: the one GREEN-tagged item references an upgrade. Risk watch items include the reported institutional position reduction and the gap-down report. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are HMY's period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures, which the source data does not provide?
What is the consensus analyst rating and price-target range, given that the analyst data section is empty?
What is the size and direction of recent institutional and insider position changes beyond the single reported reduction?
What specific products, commodities, or customers drive HMY's revenue, and how exposed is it to precious-metals price movements?
What was the upgrade referenced in the GREEN-tagged news item, and who issued it?

HMY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HMY Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 16h ago

Harmony Gold Mining (NYSE:HMY) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 19h ago

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited $HMY Stock: U S Global Investors Inc. Reduces Position

MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 22h ago

Annual report for the year ended June 30, 2026 is available from Harmony Gold (HMY).

Stock Titan report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Kalkine Media • 1d ago

Can Harmony Gold Mining (NYSE:HMY) Extend Its Rally After Upgrade?

Kalkine Media report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

The Technical Signals Behind (HMY) That Institutions Follow

Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Harmony Gold Mining (NYSE:HMY) Shares Gap Down - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Three analysts give Harmony Gold stock a USD 22.19 target

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in HMY Response

Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HMY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.45?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HMY 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.99 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HMY (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $15.73?

Welcome to the HMY (Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.43 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $15.73

Pump the brakes on HMY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HMY, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.93 (+14.0%)

Spot @ $15.73

HMY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HMY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.73 (52-wk range $13.03 - $26.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.