Simply Wall St report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why HMY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is HMY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE: HMY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.45 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $9.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HMY ranks #81 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does HMY compare to IAG and EGO in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), HMY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, IAG (Iamgold Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.56B) and EGO (Eldorado Gold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HMY leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HMY leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMY?
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For Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #81 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.5% FCF Margin ($220.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMY Turnaround Squeeze
While HMY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.21) and Max Pain ($15.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.36.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why HMY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) dropped -8.14% to $14.45, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($13.03 – $26.06). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($13.03 – $26.06) with RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $14.45 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $220.7M annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
This under-the-radar gold mining stock boasts a Superscore of 75 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMY)
- ✓Walkthrough of HMY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
HMY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMY)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HMY vs. IAG, EGO, EQX, AGI)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) ranks #81 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #44 by equity capitalization ($9.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HMY leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while HMY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IAG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with HMY at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMY
ACTIVE
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -8.14% | $9.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -7.71% | $9.56B | /iag-vs-hmy → |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -5.50% | $8.47B | /ego-vs-hmy → |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -4.71% | $11.88B | /eqx-vs-hmy → |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -4.79% | $12.07B | /agi-vs-hmy → |
2. HMY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $9.98B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. HMY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HMY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE: HMY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.45 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $9.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HMY ranks #81 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HMY compare to IAG and EGO in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), HMY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, IAG (Iamgold Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.56B) and EGO (Eldorado Gold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HMY leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HMY leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMY?
For Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #81 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HMY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HMY last traded at $14.45 (-8.14% on volume of 5,384,942 shares), positioning the stock -20.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.21) and -19.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.84). Across its 52-week range of $13.03 to $26.06, HMY sits at the 10.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($13.57 to $15.33).
HMY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HMY stock moving today?
Why HMY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
HMY — Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, HMY scores 53 out of 100, equating to a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which suggests financial solidity relative to the rating's other inputs. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, indicating limited measured accumulation support. The cash-engine score of 12/20 reflects a 2.21% FCF yield, which leaves limited cash return at the current price relative to the valuation multiples shown. Beta of 0.92 sits below market sensitivity, which the rating frames as a modest macro-regime fit (9/20). Taken together, the score points to a stock whose balance sheet is sound but whose valuation, cash yield, and flow signals do not offer a strong near-term case, which is the basis for the "Trim" verdict. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.
Snapshot
Business
Per the profile section, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. Per the profile, it carries a market capitalization of $10.0B. Not available in source data for the specific products sold, customer base, or revenue model.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines relate to HMY:
- A Simply Wall St forecast and analyst-predictions piece (YELLOW, market wire).
- A MarketBeat item reporting that U S Global Investors Inc. reduced its position (YELLOW, market wire).
- A Stock Titan item noting the annual report for the year ended June 30, 2026 is available (YELLOW, market wire).
- A Kalkine Media item questioning whether the stock can extend a rally after an upgrade (GREEN, catalyst).
- A Stock Traders Daily technical-signals piece (YELLOW, market wire).
- A MarketBeat item reporting that shares gapped down (YELLOW, market wire).
Key catalysts flagged: the one GREEN-tagged item references an upgrade. Risk watch items include the reported institutional position reduction and the gap-down report. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are HMY's period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures, which the source data does not provide?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price-target range, given that the analyst data section is empty?
- What is the size and direction of recent institutional and insider position changes beyond the single reported reduction?
- What specific products, commodities, or customers drive HMY's revenue, and how exposed is it to precious-metals price movements?
- What was the upgrade referenced in the GREEN-tagged news item, and who issued it?
HMY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Simply Wall St report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HMY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.45?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HMY (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $15.73?
Welcome to the HMY (Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on HMY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HMY, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
HMY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HMY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.73 (52-wk range $13.03 - $26.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.