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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HTHT / insiders
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H World Group Limited (HTHT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$48.44 +1.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.70

H World Group Limited (HTHT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 67% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $14.66B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HTHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $48.44 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $14.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HTHT ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HTHT compare to H and LTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HTHT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 66.8%. By comparison, H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $16.86B) and LTH (Life Time Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $10.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTHT?
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Per HTHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001483994), H World Group Limited generated $3.62B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $726.0M in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $9.26B in total assets and $68.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.70 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 28.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$61 Bull$52 Base$40 Bear
📬 FREE HTHT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HTHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HTHT SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$44.20+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$45.77-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$45.10+7.4% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$48.44+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HTHT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, HTHT faces multiple-compression risk if 19.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.77) or 200D SMA ($46.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.93) toward Bear Floor ($39.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HTHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HTHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HTHT Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HTHT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HTHT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HTHT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HTHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $46.89H $48.44L $46.89C $48.44VOL 2.02M
RES: $48.43SUP: $41.92SMA50: $44.77SMA200: $46.94
$52.91$49.38$45.84$42.30$38.76RES $48.43SUP $41.92$48.442026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HTHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HTHT Butterfly Map → + Track HTHT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HTHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HTHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HTHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HTHT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #71 of 1009 ⚔️ H vs HTHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HTHT vs. H, LTH, LVS, IHG)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, H World Group Limited (HTHT) ranks #71 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #127 by equity capitalization ($14.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while HTHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 66.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HTHT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HTHT ACTIVE
H World Group Limited
B 74/100 19.9x — 66.8% +1.62% $14.66B Benchmark Subject
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
D 47/100 — — -0.7% +2.99% $16.86B /h-vs-htht →
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 27.1x 47.6% 8.6% -2.84% $10.13B /lth-vs-htht →
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
D+ 56/100 14.3x — 36.2% +3.33% $23.18B /lvs-vs-htht →
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group American
C+ 66/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.27% $24.70B /ihg-vs-htht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001483994 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), H World Group Limited (HTHT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.62B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.27B , and +17.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $726.0M, operating cash flow of $1.20B, and free cash flow of $1.04B (+17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, HTHT closed FY2025 with $9.26B in total assets against $68.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.62B $726.0M $1.20B $1.04B $9.26B $68.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.27B $418.0M $1.03B $882.7M $8.57B $623.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.08B $575.0M $1.08B $941.3M $7.93B $1.86B

3. HTHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HTHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $48.44 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $14.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HTHT ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HTHT compare to H and LTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HTHT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 66.8%. By comparison, H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $16.86B) and LTH (Life Time Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $10.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HTHT?

Per HTHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001483994), H World Group Limited generated $3.62B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $726.0M in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $9.26B in total assets and $68.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HTHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HTHT last traded at $48.44 (+1.62% on volume of 1,667,153 shares), positioning the stock +8.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.77) and +3.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.94). Across its 52-week range of $38.47 to $56.64, HTHT sits at the 54.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($45.63 to $51.25).

Direct Sub-Reports: HTHT RQD Cockpit HTHT 12M Forecast HTHT Earnings & Move HTHT Dividends & DRIP HTHT Insiders & 13F HTHT Whale Options HTHT Profit Sankey HTHT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HTHT — H World Group Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

H World Group Limited (HTHT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $48.44 (+1.62% 1D, market capitalization $14.66B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 66.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 26.9%, and free cash flow yield of 7.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.95, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.04x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

H World Group Limited (NASDAQ: HTHT) is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry,. Revenue is reported in the SEC financials.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), H World Group Limited (HTHT) reported $3.62B in annual revenue (up from $3.27B in FY2024, +10.5% YoY) and $726.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.08B revenue, $575.0M net income) through FY2025, HTHT scaled operating cash flow to $1.20B and free cash flow to $1.04B, backed by $9.26B in total assets against $68.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.18% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $38.47 – $56.64 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 19.9x trailing P/E and 11.7x EV/EBITDA against 26.9% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), HTHT carries a macro regime beta of 1.08 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can HTHT sustain or expand its 26.9% operating margin and 66.8% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.62B and free cash flow of $1.04B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $68.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HTHT's 18.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

HTHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for H World Group Limited (HTHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HTHT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HTHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HTHT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HTHT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $61.97 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, insider conviction scores 19 / 20 and ROIC is 66.8%, indicating strong insider flow and capital efficiency.

Here is why I am bullish on HTHT here at $47.67: Per the RQD rating, insider conviction scores 19 / 20 and ROIC is 66.8%, indicating strong insider flow and capital efficiency.. Compare HTHT's 26.9% operating margin and 66.8% ROIC against the rest of Hotels/Resorts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $45.29 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $47.67 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.04 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $47.67

Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 1.95 sits in a range that warrants scrutiny despite low leverage.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HTHT above $47.67. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 1.95 sits in a range that warrants scrutiny despite low leverage.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (7.18%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $56.64.

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