Stock Ratings / Materials / HYMC / forecast

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Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$16.42 -4.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.24

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.53B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HYMC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HYMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: HYMC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $16.42 (-4.92% 1D, market cap $1.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HYMC ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HYMC compare to SVM and SSMR in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), HYMC carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.76B) and SSMR (Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HYMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYMC?

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Per HYMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718405), Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$40.7M in net income, and -$83.4M in free cash flow against $263.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.24 (-1.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HYMC SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$17.57-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$16.95-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$16.90-2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$16.42-9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYMC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HYMC currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.80) and Max Pain ($17.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $61.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYMC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HYMC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HYMC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.42: 609.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.14

$6,784

$-3,216 (-32.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.28

$8,697

$-1,303 (-13.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $61.67

$37,558

+$27,558 (+275.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$58	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$13	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYMC)

✓Walkthrough of HYMC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HYMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.50%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $17.27H $17.27L $16.42C $16.42VOL 2.30M

RES: $17.15SUP: $14.61SMA50: $19.80SMA200: $29.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HYMC Butterfly Map → + Track HYMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYMC)

Materials Rank #237 of 270 ⚔️ SVM vs HYMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HYMC vs. SVM, SSMR, SIND, IAUX)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #120 by equity capitalization ($1.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HYMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SVM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with HYMC at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HYMC ACTIVE Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.92%	$1.53B	Benchmark Subject
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-4.10%	$1.76B	/svm-vs-hymc →
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company	D-	42/100	—	—	—	-7.25%	$1.76B	/ssmr-vs-hymc →
SIND Sinda Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.91%	$1.86B	/sind-vs-hymc →
IAUX i-80 Gold Corp.	E	23/100	—	12.1%	-25.8%	-5.44%	$1.20B	/iaux-vs-hymc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718405

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$40.7M, operating cash flow of -$82.9M, and free cash flow of -$83.4M (-124.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYMC closed FY2025 with $263.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$40.7M	-$82.9M	-$83.4M	$263.0M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$60.9M	-$35.9M	-$37.1M	$140.1M	$124.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$55.0M	-$41.4M	-$41.4M	—	—

3. HYMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HYMC compare to SVM and SSMR in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYMC?

Where is HYMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYMC last traded at $16.42 (-4.92% on volume of 2,303,619 shares), positioning the stock -17.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.80) and -45.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.87). Across its 52-week range of $7.07 to $58.73, HYMC sits at the 18.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($14.40 to $18.44).

HYMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HYMC's 12-month stock price target?

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.28 (-13% from $16.42), with a bull-case target of $61.67 and a bear-case floor of $11.14.

Is HYMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates HYMC E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 29/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: HYMC RQD Cockpit HYMC 12M Forecast HYMC Earnings & Move HYMC Dividends & DRIP HYMC Insiders & 13F HYMC Whale Options HYMC Profit Sankey HYMC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HYMC — Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HYMC holds an RQD Score of 30, graded E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. The pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -5.18%. Investor implication: the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it, so there is no earnings-based cushion behind the share price.
Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are scored weakly. Investor implication: the source data does not show institutional sponsorship strong enough to offset the fundamental weakness.
Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored low. Investor implication: insider activity does not provide a supportive signal in this dataset.
Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. Investor implication: the stock is assessed as moving with the market and sector without a clear macro tailwind in the rating.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Investor implication: the balance sheet is the strongest pillar but still scores at half weight, indicating moderate rather than comfortable financial health.

Taken together, the low score reflects weak cash generation and weak signals from insiders and institutions. Upside drivers are not evident in the rating itself; the main valuation tradeoff is a share price that the rating treats as unsupported by current cash flow.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$-44.5M	$-40.7M	N/A	$-83.4M	$181.7M	$0.0M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$-43.8M	$-60.9M	N/A	$-37.1M	$49.6M	$124.9M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$-45.0M	$-55.0M	N/A	$-41.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, every reported period shows operating and net losses, with margins at 0% per the market data. Per the market data, ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash rose to $181.7M in FY 2025 from $49.6M in FY 2024 while debt was reported at $0.0M in FY 2025 versus $124.9M in FY 2024, per the SEC financials.

Open Questions

What are the company's actual products, mining operations, and revenue sources given that reported revenue is $0.0M in every period?
What explains the reduction in debt from $124.9M to $0.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the source of the cash increase to $181.7M?
What is the current P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA, given that these are unavailable in the source data?
What catalysts or operational milestones are expected, since no recent news or catalysts are recorded?
What is the source of the ownership and analyst data, given that holders and analyst coverage are recorded as NONE?

HYMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) (HYMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HYMC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 4d ago

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) Looks Pricey Following Wider Losses And Leadership Changes

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) just paired a wider quarterly loss with a reshuffle in senior leadership, a combination that puts both its recent financial performance and longer term execution plans under closer investor

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 6d ago

Shares of precious metals stocks are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago

Hycroft Reports Q3 2026 Results and Maintains Strong Balance Sheet

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: HYMC) ("Hycroft" or "the Company"), a U.S.-based silver and gold development company that owns the Hycroft Mine, announces its third quarter results and the filing of its Quart

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🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 7d ago

Hycroft Mining Holding Q3 EPS $(0.28) Misses $(0.22) Estimate

Hycroft Mining Holding (NASDAQ:HYMC) reported quarterly losses of $(0.28) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.22) by 27.27 percent. This is a 27.27 percent decrease over losses of $(0.22) per

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 19d ago

Hycroft Mining (HYMC) Stock Looks Above Fair Value On Its 494% Run

Hycroft Mining Holding has delivered a very large 3 year share price gain, yet the stock has recently pulled back and fresh drill results are reshaping expectations for the mine. With that kind of swing in market value i

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 19d ago

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) Hits Record Drill Results On Questions Over Whether Value Is Already Priced In

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) is back on radar after reporting the highest grade gold and silver drill intercept in its history from the 2025 to 2026 exploration program at the Hycroft Mine. The share price has cooled re

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 19d ago

Does Hycroft Mining’s Record HYMC Intercept Hint At A Deeper Shift In Its Resource Narrative?

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation recently reported drill results from its 2025–2026 exploration program at the Hycroft Mine, including the highest-grade gold and silver intercept in the company’s history, highlighted b

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 20d ago

Hycroft Drills New Best Hole Ever

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Nasdaq: HYMC) ("Hycroft" or "the Company"), a U.S.-based gold and silver exploration and development company that owns the Hycroft Mine, today announces additional drill results from t

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HYMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.42?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HYMC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.20 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HYMC (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $17.27?

Welcome to the HYMC (Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.33 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $17.27

Pump the brakes on HYMC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HYMC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.72 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $17.27

HYMC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HYMC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.27 (52-wk range $7.07 - $58.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.