Stock Ratings / Materials / IAUX / forecast

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i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.39 -5.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.37

i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.20B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IAUX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.39 (-5.44% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?

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Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.37 (-1.17%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IAUX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IAUX SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 37% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.54-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.51+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.53-9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.39-11.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IAUX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IAUX currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.64) and Max Pain ($1.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IAUX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IAUX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IAUX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.39: 7194.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.91

$6,547

$-3,453 (-34.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.17

$8,417

$-1,583 (-15.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.35

$16,906

+$6,906 (+69.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$2	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IAUX)

✓Walkthrough of IAUX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IAUX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $1.47H $1.47L $1.39C $1.39VOL 8.95M

RES: $2.15SUP: $1.35SMA50: $1.64SMA200: $1.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IAUX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IAUX Butterfly Map → + Track IAUX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +89.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IAUX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IAUX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IAUX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IAUX)

Materials Rank #259 of 270 ⚔️ VZLA vs IAUX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IAUX vs. VZLA, ELE, HYMC, VMET)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #125 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IAUX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. ELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with IAUX at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IAUX ACTIVE i-80 Gold Corp.	E	23/100	—	12.1%	-25.8%	-5.44%	$1.20B	Benchmark Subject
VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-6.99%	$1.09B	/vzla-vs-iaux →
ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	—	-4.42%	$1.05B	/ele-vs-iaux →
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.92%	$1.53B	/hymc-vs-iaux →
VMET Versamet Royalties Corporation	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-5.26%	$901.1M	/vmet-vs-iaux →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853962

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) reported GAAP revenue of $95.2M (+89.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.3M , and +73.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.8M, operating cash flow of -$83.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.2M (-10.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IAUX closed FY2025 with $703.4M in total assets against $97.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$95.2M	-$198.8M	-$83.6M	-$93.2M	$703.4M	$97.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$50.3M	-$121.5M	-$82.5M	-$84.5M	$655.6M	$153.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$54.9M	-$89.7M	-$77.5M	-$77.5M	—	—

3. IAUX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?

Where is IAUX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IAUX last traded at $1.39 (-5.44% on volume of 8,945,933 shares), positioning the stock -15.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.64) and -13.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.89 to $2.24, IAUX sits at the 37.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($1.26 to $1.52).

IAUX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IAUX's 12-month stock price target?

i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.17 (-15.8% from $1.39), with a bull-case target of $2.35 and a bear-case floor of $0.91.

Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IAUX E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 23/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IAUX RQD Cockpit IAUX 12M Forecast IAUX Earnings & Move IAUX Dividends & DRIP IAUX Insiders & 13F IAUX Whale Options IAUX Profit Sankey IAUX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IAUX — i-80 Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IAUX scores 24 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Each of the five pillars scores 5 to 6 out of 20, with the Macro Regime Fit pillar the highest at 6 and the Insider Conviction pillar the lowest at 3. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (5/20) reflects an ROIC of -25.8% and an FCF yield of -7.32%, meaning the business is currently consuming cash relative to its capital base. The Whale/13F Flow pillar (5/20) reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the source does not provide the underlying 13F or options detail, so the score cannot be traced to specific holders. The Insider Conviction pillar (3/20) reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; the source does not itemize those transactions. The Macro Regime Fit pillar (6/20) reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (5/20) reflects an Altman Z-Score of 0.67, a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. For a prospective investor, the rating points to weak cash generation, a balance sheet flagged for forensic risk, and limited insider or institutional conviction in the source data. The upside case rests on the Macro Regime Fit and institutional-flow signals, but the rating itself treats the stock as a material avoid.

Business

Per the source profile, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. The profile identifies the company as a precious metals business with a market capitalization of $1.3B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data section, gross margin is 12.1%, which indicates the cost of revenue absorbs most of the top line. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$95.2M	$-124.4M	$-198.8M	N/A	$-93.2M	$63.2M	$97.9M
FY 2024	$50.3M	$-89.1M	$-121.5M	N/A	$-84.5M	$19.0M	$153.6M
FY 2023	$54.9M	$-101.0M	$-89.7M	N/A	$-77.5M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $50.3M in FY 2024 to $95.2M in FY 2025, while operating losses widened from $-89.1M to $-124.4M and net losses from $-121.5M to $-198.8M. Operating margin and net margin are both -60% per the market data section. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -25.8%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.67, and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9. Debt/Equity is 0.28 per the same rating. Debt fell from $153.6M in FY 2024 to $97.9M in FY 2025 while cash rose from $19.0M to $63.2M, though the source does not give FY 2023 cash or debt values.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, five items cover IAUX. Two items are tagged GREEN or YELLOW as catalysts or market wire items: a Yahoo Finance piece on the Nevada plan and a TradingView notice announcing Q3 2026 results and a conference call. A Stock Titan notice states an updated investor presentation will reach the investor website on October 15. Three Seeking Alpha and Yahoo Finance items discuss the Nevada plan and whether the stock is undervalued. The most recent Seeking Alpha item carries a RED "RISK WATCH" tag, the only risk-flagged item in the feed. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What drives the revenue increase from $50.3M to $95.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and is it recurring?
What are the cash balance and debt figures for FY 2023, and how do they affect the balance sheet trend?
What does the RED risk-watch item in the news feed flag, and does it affect the Nevada plan timeline?
What are the underlying 13F holders and insider Form 4 transactions behind the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and how would they change the valuation read?

IAUX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IAUX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) Reshapes Its Nevada Plan, Is It Still 46% Undervalued?

Yahoo Finance report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 20h ago

i-80 Gold: A Real Nevada Plan, But The Price Already Pays For It (NYSE:IAUX)

Seeking Alpha report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

i-80 Gold Announces Details for Q3 2026 Results Release and Conference Call

TradingView report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) Stock May Be A Bargain Following Nevada Plan Progress

Yahoo Finance report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

An updated presentation will reach i-80 Gold (IAUX)'s investor website on October 15.

Stock Titan report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

i-80 Gold: An Executable Nevada Plan Trading At A Fraction Of Its Worth (NYSE:IAUX)

Seeking Alpha report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

i-80 Gold Provides a Development Update; Archimedes Underground and Lone Tree Plant Refurbishment Remain on Track and Mineral Point Open Pit Prioritized in Updated Development Plan

TradingView report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Pluang • 1d ago

IAUX Stock Technical Analysis

Pluang report covering i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IAUX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.39?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IAUX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.29 (-12.2%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IAUX (E • RQD 24/100) a Buy at $1.47?

Welcome to the IAUX (i-80 Gold Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.19 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $1.47

Pump the brakes on IAUX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IAUX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 12.1% gross margins. Unless i-80 Gold Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.87 (+27.2%)

Spot @ $1.47

IAUX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IAUX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.47 (52-wk range $0.89 - $2.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.