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i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.39 -5.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.37

i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.20B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.39 (-5.44% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?
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Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.37 (-1.17%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE IAUX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IAUX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IAUX SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 37% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.54-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.51+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$1.53-9.2% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$1.39-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IAUX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IAUX currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.64) and Max Pain ($1.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IAUX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IAUX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (IAUX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for IAUX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IAUX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IAUX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IAUX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.47H $1.47L $1.39C $1.39VOL 8.95M
RES: $2.15SUP: $1.35SMA50: $1.64SMA200: $1.61
$1.99$1.79$1.58$1.38$1.18RES $2.15SUP $1.35$1.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IAUX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +89.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IAUX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IAUX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IAUX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IAUX)

Materials Rank #259 of 270 ⚔️ VZLA vs IAUX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IAUX vs. VZLA, ELE, HYMC, VMET)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #125 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IAUX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IAUX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. ELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with IAUX at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IAUX ACTIVE
i-80 Gold Corp.
E 23/100 — 12.1% -25.8% -5.44% $1.20B Benchmark Subject
VZLA
Vizsla Silver Corp.
D 44/100 — — — -6.99% $1.09B /vzla-vs-iaux →
ELE
Elemental Royalty Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -4.42% $1.05B /ele-vs-iaux →
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -4.92% $1.53B /hymc-vs-iaux →
VMET
Versamet Royalties Corporation
D- 43/100 — — — -5.26% $901.1M /vmet-vs-iaux →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853962 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) reported GAAP revenue of $95.2M (+89.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.3M , and +73.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$198.8M, operating cash flow of -$83.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.2M (-10.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IAUX closed FY2025 with $703.4M in total assets against $97.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.67, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $95.2M -$198.8M -$83.6M -$93.2M $703.4M $97.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $50.3M -$121.5M -$82.5M -$84.5M $655.6M $153.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $54.9M -$89.7M -$77.5M -$77.5M — —

3. IAUX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IAUX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, i-80 Gold Corp. (NYSE: IAUX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.39 (-5.44% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IAUX ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IAUX compare to VZLA and ELE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), IAUX carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -25.8%. By comparison, VZLA (Vizsla Silver Corp.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and ELE (Elemental Royalty Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IAUX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IAUX leads on capital efficiency (-25.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IAUX?

Per IAUX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853962), i-80 Gold Corp. generated $95.2M in revenue (+89.1% YoY), -$198.8M in net income, and -$93.2M in free cash flow against $703.4M in total assets and $97.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IAUX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IAUX last traded at $1.39 (-5.44% on volume of 8,945,933 shares), positioning the stock -15.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.64) and -13.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.89 to $2.24, IAUX sits at the 37.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($1.26 to $1.52).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IAUX — i-80 Gold Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 23/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.39 (-5.44% 1D, market capitalization $1.20B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -25.8%, gross margin of 12.1%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -7.32%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.67, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.28x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (IAUX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. The profile identifies the company as a precious metals business with a market capitalization of $1.3B. Gross margin is 12.1%, which indicates the cost of revenue absorbs most of the top line. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) reported $95.2M in annual revenue (up from $50.3M in FY2024, +89.1% YoY) and -$198.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($54.9M revenue, -$89.7M net income) through FY2025, IAUX scaled operating cash flow to -$83.6M and free cash flow to -$93.2M, backed by $703.4M in total assets against $97.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 23/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -7.32% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.89 – $2.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for IAUX.

  • Key Question #1: Can IAUX sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -25.8% ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $95.2M and free cash flow of -$93.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $97.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IAUX's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IAUX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IAUX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IAUX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.39?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IAUX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IAUX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.63 (+17.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $50.3M in FY 2024 to $95.2M in FY 2025 while total debt fell from $153.6M to $97.9M.

The street is overcomplicating i-80 Gold Corp. (IAUX). Revenue grew from $50.3M in FY 2024 to $95.2M in FY 2025 while total debt fell from $153.6M to $97.9M.. With an RQD score of 23/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.50.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Precious Metals. If gross margin (12.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.20 (-13.7%)
Spot @ $1.39

Net margin is -60% with ROIC at -25.8%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.67, and an RQD Strong Sell rating.

Net margin is -60% with ROIC at -25.8%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.67, and an RQD Strong Sell rating.. Look at the math on IAUX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -25.8% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Precious Metals demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.22 before getting long.

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