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Why IDAI Stock dropped -8.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.58 -8.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.54

T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IDAI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IDAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IDAI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.58 (-8.51% 1D, market cap $16.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, IDAI ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IDAI compare to AIFF and CHOW in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), IDAI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIFF (Firefly Neuroscience Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.7M) and CHOW (ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDAI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BMR leads on capital efficiency (-32.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IDAI?
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Per IDAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718939), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) generated $3.1M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), -$8.3M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $11.2M in total assets and $1.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.54 (-1.72%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE IDAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IDAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IDAI SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$2.91-5.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$2.74-12.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$2.40+7.5% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$2.58-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IDAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IDAI currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.01) and Max Pain ($2.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IDAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IDAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why IDAI Stock dropped -8.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) dropped -8.51% to $2.58, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($1.17 – $5.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($1.17 – $5.28) with RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live IDAI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IDAI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IDAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IDAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $2.86H $2.86L $2.58C $2.58VOL 59.9K
RES: $3.71SUP: $2.30SMA50: $3.01SMA200: $2.64
$3.80$3.09$2.38$1.66$0.95RES $3.71SUP $2.30$2.582026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IDAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IDAI Butterfly Map → + Track IDAI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IDAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IDAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IDAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IDAI)

Technology Rank #405 of 715 ⚔️ AIFF vs IDAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IDAI vs. AIFF, CHOW, BMR, VIDA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) ranks #405 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #618 by equity capitalization ($16.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDAI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BMR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -32.3% ROIC and 89.7% gross margin. CHOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with IDAI at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IDAI ACTIVE
T Stamp Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — -35.0% -8.51% $16.0M Benchmark Subject
AIFF
Firefly Neuroscience Inc.
E 34/100 — 56.5% -35.0% -0.81% $15.7M /aiff-vs-idai →
CHOW
ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited
D 48/100 — 12.9% -35.0% -5.45% $15.6M /chow-vs-idai →
BMR
Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
E 22/100 — 89.7% -32.3% -6.55% $17.8M /bmr-vs-idai →
VIDA
VIDA Global Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — — -5.75% $14.4M /vida-vs-idai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718939 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) reported GAAP revenue of $3.1M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and -31.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.3M, operating cash flow of -$5.7M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (+35.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IDAI closed FY2025 with $11.2M in total assets against $1.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.1M -$8.3M -$5.7M -$5.7M $11.2M $1.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.1M -$12.5M -$8.9M -$8.9M $8.6M $951.7K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.6M -$7.6M -$7.9M -$7.9M — —

3. IDAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IDAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IDAI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.58 (-8.51% 1D, market cap $16.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, IDAI ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IDAI compare to AIFF and CHOW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), IDAI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIFF (Firefly Neuroscience Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.7M) and CHOW (ChowChow Cloud International Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDAI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BMR leads on capital efficiency (-32.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IDAI?

Per IDAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718939), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) generated $3.1M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), -$8.3M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $11.2M in total assets and $1.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IDAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IDAI last traded at $2.58 (-8.51% on volume of 35,490 shares), positioning the stock -14.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.01) and -2.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.64). Across its 52-week range of $1.17 to $5.28, IDAI sits at the 34.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.26 to $2.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: IDAI RQD Cockpit IDAI 12M Forecast IDAI Earnings & Move IDAI Dividends & DRIP IDAI Insiders & 13F IDAI Whale Options IDAI Profit Sankey IDAI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IDAI — T Stamp Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.58 (-8.51% 1D, market capitalization $16.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.13x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, T Stamp Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Recent news describes a three-year Nigeria identity technology agreement, indicating identity-technology offerings. Customer segments and detailed revenue mix are — Revenue of $3.1M in FY 2025 is reported .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) reported $3.1M in annual revenue (up from $3.1M in FY2024, +1.9% YoY) and -$8.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.6M revenue, -$7.6M net income) through FY2025, IDAI scaled operating cash flow to -$5.7M and free cash flow to -$5.7M, backed by $11.2M in total assets against $1.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.17 – $5.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlation data is — beyond the Technology / Prepackaged Software classification. Investors should watch whether the Nigeria agreement's projected year-three revenue materializes, since it would be a material revenue contributor relative to the FY 2025 base of $3.1M, and whether that revenue is accompanied by improved cash burn.

  • Key Question #1: Can IDAI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.1M and free cash flow of -$5.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IDAI's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IDAI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for T Stamp Inc. (Class A) (IDAI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IDAI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IDAI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IDAI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IDAI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.69 (+30.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet carries low leverage with Debt/Equity of 0.13 and cash of $6.0M against debt of $1.1M in FY 2025.

Don't sleep on IDAI's setup in Technology. Balance sheet carries low leverage with Debt/Equity of 0.13 and cash of $6.0M against debt of $1.1M in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.82 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.14 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $2.82

Cash flow is deeply negative with FCF of -$5.7M in FY 2025, ROIC of -35%, and an RQD verdict flagging distribution risk.

Fading this rally in IDAI at $2.82. Cash flow is deeply negative with FCF of -$5.7M in FY 2025, ROIC of -35%, and an RQD verdict flagging distribution risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.82 (52-wk range $1.17–$5.28), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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