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Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.60 -2.94% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.55

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $442.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ILPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: ILPT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.60 (-2.94% 1D, market cap $442.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ILPT ranks #675 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ILPT compare to TCI and BRSP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ILPT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -13.5%. By comparison, TCI (Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC -0.6%, cap $439.4M) and BRSP (BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.3%, cap $445.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCI leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ILPT?
β–Ό

Per ILPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717307), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of generated $2.18B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), -$66.2M in net income, and $60.7M in free cash flow against $5.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.55 (-0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$10 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ILPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ILPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ILPT SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$6.86+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$6.92+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$7.34-10.1% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$6.60-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ILPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ILPT currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.41) and Max Pain ($6.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.90.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ILPTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œILPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.51% Total Yield
1.71% Cash ($0.11/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $22,610

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $794/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.8K
Yr 2
$12.8K
Yr 3
$13.9K
Yr 4
$15.0K
Yr 5
$16.3K
Yr 6
$17.7K
Yr 7
$19.2K
Yr 8
$20.8K
Yr 9
$22.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ILPT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ILPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ILPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.41%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $6.80H $6.80L $6.60C $6.60VOL 709.3K
RES: $9.17SUP: $6.21SMA50: $7.41SMA200: $7.39
$9.68$8.64$7.59$6.55$5.51RES $9.17SUP $6.21$6.602026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ILPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ILPT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ILPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ILPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ILPT)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ILPT vs. TCI, BRSP, FVR, NXRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) ranks #675 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #731 by equity capitalization ($442.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCI leads on earnings valuation at 31.6x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ILPT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ILPT ACTIVE
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of
D 49/100 β€” β€” -13.5% -2.94% $442.1M Benchmark Subject
TCI
Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.
D- 39/100 31.6x β€” -0.6% +1.86% $439.4M /tci-vs-ilpt β†’
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -3.3% +4.39% $445.1M /brsp-vs-ilpt β†’
FVR
FrontView REIT Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” -1.2% +1.40% $459.8M /fvr-vs-ilpt β†’
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” β€” 7.8% +0.06% $460.9M /nxrt-vs-ilpt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001717307 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.18B (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +348.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$66.2M, operating cash flow of $60.7M, and free cash flow of $60.7M (+2990.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ILPT closed FY2025 with $5.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.18B -$66.2M $60.7M $60.7M $5.19B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.27B -$95.7M $2.0M $2.0M $5.41B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $486.0M -$108.0M $6.1M $6.1M β€” β€”

3. ILPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ILPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: ILPT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.60 (-2.94% 1D, market cap $442.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ILPT ranks #675 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ILPT compare to TCI and BRSP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ILPT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -13.5%. By comparison, TCI (Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC -0.6%, cap $439.4M) and BRSP (BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.3%, cap $445.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCI leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ILPT?

Per ILPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717307), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of generated $2.18B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), -$66.2M in net income, and $60.7M in free cash flow against $5.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ILPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ILPT last traded at $6.60 (-2.94% on volume of 709,337 shares), positioning the stock -10.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.41) and -10.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.39). Across its 52-week range of $5.01 to $9.43, ILPT sits at the 36.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.8% ($6.09 to $7.11).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ILPT β€” Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.60 (-2.94% 1D, market capitalization $442.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -13.5%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 12.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $455.5M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -13.5% (free cash flow yield of 12.98%). Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) reported $2.18B in annual revenue (up from $2.27B in FY2024, -4.0% YoY) and -$66.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($486.0M revenue, -$108.0M net income) through FY2025, ILPT scaled operating cash flow to $60.7M and free cash flow to $60.7M, backed by $5.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.98% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.01 – $9.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), ILPT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can ILPT sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -13.5% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.18B and free cash flow of $60.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ILPT's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ILPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ILPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ILPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.60?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ILPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ILPT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.98 (+32.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 12.98% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of $60.7M show cash generation well above the prior year's $2.0M.

Long ILPT at $6.80 targeting $8.98. Per the RQD rating, a 12.98% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of $60.7M show cash generation well above the prior year's $2.0M.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $5.01 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” ILPT's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.24 (-22.9%)
Spot @ $6.80

Per the RQD rating and SEC financials, ROIC of -13.5% and net losses in every reported year point to weak capital efficiency and an uns

Fading this rally in ILPT at $6.80. Per the RQD rating and SEC financials, ROIC of -13.5% and net losses in every reported year point to weak capital efficiency and an unsustainable distribution.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $6.80 (52-wk range $5.01–$9.43), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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