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Stock Ratings / Financials / INVH / earnings
JLL (64) CSGP (47) BEKE (44) TRNO (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.5% Move

$26.86 +1.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.86

Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $15.30B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on INVH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is INVH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Invitation Homes Inc. (NYSE: INVH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $26.86 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $15.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, INVH ranks #354 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does INVH compare to JLL and CSGP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), INVH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B) and CSGP (CoStar Group Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $12.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRNO leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while TRNO leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INVH?
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Per INVH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001687229), Invitation Homes Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $587.9M in net income, and $1.08B in free cash flow against $18.68B in total assets and $4.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.86 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 39.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$32 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE INVH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INVH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY INVH SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$26.54+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$26.81-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$26.75+0.4% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$26.86+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the INVH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, INVH faces multiple-compression risk if 26.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.24) or 200D SMA ($27.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.22) toward Bear Floor ($21.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INVH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “INVH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.5% Swing Band

±$0.94 Expected Swing
$25.92 (-3.5%)Spot $26.86$27.80 (+3.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

INVH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $1.00 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.2%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.73B$587.9M$1.08B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.62B$453.9M$964.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.43B$519.5M$997.6M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating INVH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on INVH
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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INVH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.92%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $26.64H $26.86L $26.56C $26.86VOL 8.87M
RES: $30.32SUP: $25.20SMA50: $27.24SMA200: $27.80
$31.24$29.77$28.30$26.83$25.36RES $30.32SUP $25.20$26.862026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INVH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 INVH Butterfly Map → + Track INVH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INVH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INVH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INVH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INVH)

Financials Rank #354 of 1097 ⚔️ JLL vs INVH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (INVH vs. JLL, CSGP, BEKE, TRNO)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) ranks #354 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #137 by equity capitalization ($15.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRNO leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while TRNO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and — gross margin. JLL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with INVH at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
INVH ACTIVE
Invitation Homes Inc.
C- 61/100 26.8x — 4.3% +1.13% $15.30B Benchmark Subject
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
C 64/100 20.4x — 7.8% +5.42% $16.43B /jll-vs-invh →
CSGP
CoStar Group Inc.
D 47/100 — — -0.7% +5.47% $12.14B /csgp-vs-invh →
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc American
D 44/100 46.0x — 2.1% +1.13% $20.01B /beke-vs-invh →
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corporation
D+ 58/100 17.8x — 8.4% +1.83% $7.14B /trno-vs-invh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001687229 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+4.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.62B , and +12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $587.9M, operating cash flow of $1.21B, and free cash flow of $1.08B (+12.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, INVH closed FY2025 with $18.68B in total assets against $4.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.73B $587.9M $1.21B $1.08B $18.68B $4.10B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.62B $453.9M $1.08B $964.0M $18.70B $4.01B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.43B $519.5M $1.11B $997.6M $8.65B $2.02B

3. INVH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INVH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Invitation Homes Inc. (NYSE: INVH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $26.86 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $15.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, INVH ranks #354 in composite RQD confidence.

How does INVH compare to JLL and CSGP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), INVH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B) and CSGP (CoStar Group Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $12.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRNO leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while TRNO leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INVH?

Per INVH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001687229), Invitation Homes Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $587.9M in net income, and $1.08B in free cash flow against $18.68B in total assets and $4.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is INVH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INVH last traded at $26.86 (+1.13% on volume of 6,451,906 shares), positioning the stock -1.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.24) and -3.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.80). Across its 52-week range of $24.25 to $30.89, INVH sits at the 39.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($25.92 to $27.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: INVH RQD Cockpit INVH 12M Forecast INVH Earnings & Move INVH Dividends & DRIP INVH Insiders & 13F INVH Whale Options INVH Profit Sankey INVH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

INVH — Invitation Homes Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $26.86 (+1.13% 1D, market capitalization $15.30B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 26.3%, and free cash flow yield of 6.89%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.93x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Invitation Homes Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry. Source data provided does not detail its specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond the reported financial figures. Revenue of $2.73B in FY 2025 and an operating margin of 26.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) reported $2.73B in annual revenue (up from $2.62B in FY2024, +4.2% YoY) and $587.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.43B revenue, $519.5M net income) through FY2025, INVH scaled operating cash flow to $1.21B and free cash flow to $1.08B, backed by $18.68B in total assets against $4.10B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.25 – $30.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 26.8x trailing P/E and 23.6x EV/EBITDA against 26.3% operating margins and a 0.93x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation metrics beyond the beta of 0. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be traced from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can INVH sustain or expand its 26.3% operating margin and 4.3% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.73B and free cash flow of $1.08B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.10B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is INVH's 24.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.93x)?

INVH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to INVH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

INVH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $26.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON INVH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on INVH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.79 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 6.89% FCF yield alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 points to cash generation and balance-sheet quality that

Don't sleep on INVH's setup in Financials. A 6.89% FCF yield alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 points to cash generation and balance-sheet quality that support the stock.. Beta of 0.93 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $26.56 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.92 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $26.56

A 4.3% ROIC against a 26.8 trailing P/E and debt rising from $2.02B to $4.10B leaves the valuation resting on thin returns on capit

I respect the product at Invitation Homes Inc., but the stock at $26.56 is a different story. A 4.3% ROIC against a 26.8 trailing P/E and debt rising from $2.02B to $4.10B leaves the valuation resting on thin returns on capital.. FCF yield is 6.89% and RQD sits at 61/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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