Stock Ratings / Health Care / IRON / financials

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Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$80.84 -2.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.34

Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.59B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IRON Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IRON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Disc Medicine Inc. (NASDAQ: IRON) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $80.84 (-2.41% 1D, market cap $3.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IRON ranks #217 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IRON compare to AMLX and XENE in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IRON carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.5%. By comparison, AMLX (Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.62B) and XENE (Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACAD leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while OGN leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRON?

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Per IRON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816736), Disc Medicine Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$212.2M in net income, and -$181.3M in free cash flow against $806.9M in total assets and $30.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.34 (-0.62%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IRON SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$55.74+36.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$76.00+9.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$83.20-2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$80.84-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IRON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IRON currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($71.43) and Max Pain ($84.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $104.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IRON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How IRON Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $4.00B

FY24

Rev $4.00B

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	0%	-5.9%	-$212.2M	-$181.3M	-27.5%
FY 2024	$4.00B	0%	-3.2%	-$109.4M	-$94.4M	-37.3%
FY 2023	$4.00B	0%	-2.3%	-$76.4M	-$73.5M	-5.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IRON)

✓Walkthrough of IRON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IRON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $82.84H $82.84L $80.84C $80.84VOL 685.0K

RES: $85.12SUP: $51.21SMA50: $71.43SMA200: $70.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IRON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IRON Butterfly Map → + Track IRON →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRON)

Health Care Rank #217 of 1016 ⚔️ AMLX vs IRON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (IRON vs. AMLX, XENE, ACAD, OGN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #192 by equity capitalization ($3.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACAD leads on earnings valuation at 9.1x trailing P/E, while OGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 53.3% gross margin. OGN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IRON at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IRON ACTIVE Disc Medicine Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	-27.5%	-2.41%	$3.59B	Benchmark Subject
AMLX Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+0.63%	$3.62B	/amlx-vs-iron →
XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.35%	$3.62B	/xene-vs-iron →
ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.	D	49/100	9.1x	91.7%	7.9%	-0.82%	$3.55B	/acad-vs-iron →
OGN Organon & Co.	B-	70/100	19.4x	53.3%	24.9%	+0.22%	$3.63B	/ogn-vs-iron →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816736

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$212.2M, operating cash flow of -$180.4M, and free cash flow of -$181.3M (-92.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRON closed FY2025 with $806.9M in total assets against $30.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$212.2M	-$180.4M	-$181.3M	$806.9M	$30.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$109.4M	-$93.9M	-$94.4M	$496.8M	$23.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$76.4M	-$73.5M	-$73.5M	$2.02B	$473.3M

3. IRON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IRON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IRON compare to AMLX and XENE in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRON?

Where is IRON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IRON last traded at $80.84 (-2.41% on volume of 685,006 shares), positioning the stock +13.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.43) and +14.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.84). Across its 52-week range of $40.00 to $99.50, IRON sits at the 68.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($72.19 to $89.49).

IRON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), IRON converted $4.0B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: IRON RQD Cockpit IRON 12M Forecast IRON Earnings & Move IRON Dividends & DRIP IRON Insiders & 13F IRON Whale Options IRON Profit Sankey IRON News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IRON — Disc Medicine Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating assigns IRON a score of 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars, per the Roarable RQD rating:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of -27.5% and an FCF yield of -4.93%. For a prospective investor, this is the weakest area: the company is currently not generating a cash return on invested capital or positive free cash flow, so value must rest on future cash generation rather than present earnings.
Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a relative strength, suggesting larger institutional holders have been building or maintaining exposure, though the source data does not itemize those holdings.
Insider Conviction: 6 / 20. Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates limited insider-side buying conviction in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Cites Beta of 0.9 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 implies somewhat lower sensitivity to broad market moves than the market average, but the pillar score is only moderate.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Cites Altman Z of 26, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.04. The balance sheet is the strongest structural support: leverage is very low and the Altman Z is high, though the Piotroski score is mid-range.

Investor implications: upside depends largely on whether the pipeline and catalysts (see news section) translate into future cash generation, which the current cash-engine pillar does not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: the stock trades at a forward P/E of 20 against negative trailing EPS of -4.78, meaning the market is pricing in earnings that do not yet exist in reported results. Low leverage limits solvency risk, but the negative cash-flow trend and the recent equity raise described in the news wire are key considerations.

Business

Disc Medicine Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is $0.0M in each listed period, per the SEC financials, indicating no reported revenue in the source data. Market capitalization is $3.7B per the profile.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$-236.0M	$-212.2M	N/A	$-181.3M	$91.1M	$30.2M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$-129.7M	$-109.4M	N/A	$-94.4M	$192.4M	$23.9M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$-91.1M	$-76.4M	N/A	$-73.5M	N/A	$473.3M

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses widened from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and free cash flow was negative in every period. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -22.9%, and net margin is -20.6%, while ROIC is -27.5%. The Altman Z-Score of 26 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity of 0.04 per the RQD rating, and reported cash fell from $192.4M to $91.1M over FY 2024–FY 2025 while debt rose from $23.9M to $30.2M, per the SEC financials. Debt was $473.3M in FY 2023, per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Offering: A WilmerHale report describes advising underwriters on an upsized $450 Million public offering (YELLOW light, MARKET WIRE).
Phase 3 / regulatory: Reports describe a Phase 3 trial success and an FDA refiling plan (GREEN, CATALYST), and a Phase 3 APOLLO trial ahead of which shares surged 30% (GREEN, CATALYST).
Valuation commentary: Coverage describes the stock as still looking pricey with book value lagging expectations (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), and as "Second To Market, Priced Like It's First" (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
Trading commentary: A TradingView report asks whether to take profit or buy into strength after a sharp rise (GREEN, CATALYST).

Risk watch items: the $450 Million offering, negative operating cash flow, and valuation concerns raised in the news wire. Proprietary signals: none listed in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.

Open Questions

What specific products or pipeline assets drive the Phase 3 and FDA refiling catalysts, and what is their expected commercial timeline?
How will the $450 Million offering's proceeds be deployed relative to the negative free cash flow reported in FY 2025?
Why is revenue reported as $0.0M across all periods, and when is commercial revenue expected?
Who are the institutional holders behind the 13F accumulation cited in the RQD rating?
What explains the gap between the reported forward P/E of 20 and negative trailing EPS?

IRON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IRON Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 15h ago

Disc Medicine (IRON) Stock Still Looks Pricey As Book Value Lags Expectations

Yahoo Finance report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE WilmerHale • 18h ago

WilmerHale Advises Underwriters in Disc Medicine’s Upsized $450 Million Public Offering

WilmerHale report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 21h ago

Disc Medicine: Second To Market, Priced Like It's First (NASDAQ:IRON)

Seeking Alpha report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Disc Medicine stock soars: take profit or buy into strength?

TradingView report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Disc Medicine Stock Jumps After Phase 3 Trial Success And FDA Refiling Plan

Yahoo Finance report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

Disc Medicine (IRON) Shares Surge 30% Ahead of Phase 3 APOLLO Tr

GuruFocus report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Disc Medicine stock price target raised to $115 by Truist on drug outlook

Investing.com report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Disc Medicine (NASDAQ:IRON) Stock Gets Downgrade from Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IRON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $80.84?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IRON 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $89.47 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IRON (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $82.84?

Welcome to the IRON (Disc Medicine Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.10 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $82.84

Pump the brakes on IRON — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IRON, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Disc Medicine Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $101.06 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $82.84

IRON cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IRON, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $82.84 (52-wk range $40.00 - $99.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.