Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$14.06 -1.26% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.00

Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $905.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Jade Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: JBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $905.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, JBIO ranks #802 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBIO compare to OBX and ALMS in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), JBIO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OBX (Obsidian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $896.9M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $891.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBIO?
β–Ό

Per JBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798749), Jade Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$127.4M in net income, and -$94.9M in free cash flow against $349.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.00 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$29 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE JBIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY JBIO SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$14.00-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$13.83+4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$14.50-3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$14.06-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (23) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JBIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While JBIO currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.35) and Max Pain ($14.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.40.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBIOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œJBIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBIO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of JBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JBIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.66%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $14.59H $14.59L $14.06C $14.06VOL 896.1K
RES: $23.48SUP: $12.64SMA50: $16.35SMA200: $18.24
$27.82$23.71$19.59$15.47$11.35RES $23.48SUP $12.64$14.062026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBIO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBIO)

Health Care Rank #802 of 1016 βš”οΈ OBX vs JBIO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (JBIO vs. OBX, ALMS, ANRO, CYRX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) ranks #802 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($905.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYRX leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CYRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and 47.1% gross margin. CYRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with JBIO at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBIO ACTIVE
Jade Biosciences Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.26% $905.6M Benchmark Subject
OBX
Obsidian Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.86% $896.9M /obx-vs-jbio β†’
ALMS
Alumis Inc.
E 19/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.32% $891.8M /alms-vs-jbio β†’
ANRO
Alto Neuroscience Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.71% $921.0M /anro-vs-jbio β†’
CYRX
CryoPort Inc.
D- 43/100 11.8x 47.1% -11.5% -5.47% $926.4M /cyrx-vs-jbio β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001798749

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$127.4M, operating cash flow of -$94.7M, and free cash flow of -$94.9M (-33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBIO closed FY2025 with $349.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$127.4M -$94.7M -$94.9M $349.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$69.6M -$71.2M -$71.2M $72.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$75.5M -$56.8M -$56.8M β€” β€”

3. JBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Jade Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: JBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $905.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, JBIO ranks #802 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBIO compare to OBX and ALMS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), JBIO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OBX (Obsidian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $896.9M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $891.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBIO?

Per JBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798749), Jade Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$127.4M in net income, and -$94.9M in free cash flow against $349.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBIO last traded at $14.06 (-1.26% on volume of 682,316 shares), positioning the stock -14.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.35) and -22.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.24). Across its 52-week range of $8.36 to $28.00, JBIO sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($12.32 to $15.80).

JBIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does JBIO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JBIO β€” Jade Biosciences Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JBIO carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -10.48%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow, which together indicate limited evidence of informed-capital support in the source data. The Cash Engine pillar reflects negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield, meaning the business is currently consuming rather than generating cash on a per-dollar-invested basis. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the relative bright spot, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Debt/Equity of 0.5, though a Piotroski F of 2/9 signals weak financial-quality signals. Upside drivers in the source data are limited to the news flow described below; valuation cannot be assessed from the available P/E or EV/EBITDA figures, which are not available in source data. The rating is a quantitative screen and does not constitute a recommendation.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-113.5M$-127.4MN/A$-94.9M$88.4MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-74.6M$-69.6MN/A$-71.2M$69.4MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-81.4M$-75.5MN/A$-56.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each period, with operating losses and net losses in all three years, and the FY 2025 net loss of $-127.4M is the largest of the periods shown. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Piotroski F-Score is 2/9 and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, both per the Roarable RQD rating. The balance sheet shows cash of $88.4M at FY 2025 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, while period-level debt is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged YELLOW with the MARKET WIRE impact label. The sources report that Jade Biosciences plans to highlight advancement of its JADE101 development program at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2026. A Stock Titan item states that about 169,000 Americans have IgA kidney disease and that Jade expects its trial to start this quarter. BTIG is reported to maintain a Buy rating with a $77 target price, reiterated in a separate item. A TradingView item and an Investing.com Canada item reference fair-value and decline analysis, including a 48% decline. Risk watch items include the negative operating and free-cash-flow trend, the absence of revenue, and the 52-week range of $8.36 to $28 against the current price of 14.24. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, no analyst data is available. The BTIG Buy rating and $77 target appear only in the news wire headlines and are not corroborated by a structured analyst dataset. Per the holders section, no 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trade data is available in the holders section. The Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillars in the RQD rating score 4/20 and 3/20 respectively, per the Roarable RQD rating.

Open Questions

  • What are JADE101's clinical stage, trial design, and timeline, given the news wire reference to a trial start this quarter?
  • What is the company's cash runway relative to the FY 2025 operating loss of $-113.5M and cash balance of $88.4M?
  • Why are period-level debt and EPS values not available in source data, and what is the total debt obligation?
  • What is the basis for the BTIG $77 price target relative to the current price of 14.24?
  • What are the company's products, partnerships, or licensing arrangements, which are not described in source data?

JBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to JBIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.06?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBIO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBIO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.53 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JBIO (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $14.24?

Welcome to the JBIO (Jade Biosciences Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.96 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $14.24

Pump the brakes on JBIO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JBIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Jade Biosciences Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.66 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $14.24

JBIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JBIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.24 (52-wk range $8.36 - $28.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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