TradingView report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why JBIO Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is JBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Jade Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: JBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $905.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, JBIO ranks #802 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does JBIO compare to OBX and ALMS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), JBIO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OBX (Obsidian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $896.9M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $891.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBIO?
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Per JBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798749), Jade Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$127.4M in net income, and -$94.9M in free cash flow against $349.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JBIO Turnaround Squeeze
While JBIO currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.35) and Max Pain ($14.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.40.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why JBIO Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) slipped -1.26% to $14.06, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($8.36 – $28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($8.36 – $28) with RSI-14 at 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.4% around $14.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com UK report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BTIG analyst Julian Harrison reiterates Jade Biosciences (NASDAQ:JBIO) with a Buy and maintains $77 price target.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBIO)
- ✓Walkthrough of JBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
JBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBIO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBIO)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (JBIO vs. OBX, ALMS, ANRO, CYRX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) ranks #802 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($905.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYRX leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CYRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and 47.1% gross margin. CYRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with JBIO at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBIO
ACTIVE
Jade Biosciences Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.26% | $905.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| OBX Obsidian Therapeutics Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.86% | $896.9M | /obx-vs-jbio → |
| ALMS Alumis Inc. | E | 19/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.32% | $891.8M | /alms-vs-jbio → |
| ANRO Alto Neuroscience Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.71% | $921.0M | /anro-vs-jbio → |
| CYRX CryoPort Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 11.8x | 47.1% | -11.5% | -5.47% | $926.4M | /cyrx-vs-jbio → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001798749In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$127.4M, operating cash flow of -$94.7M, and free cash flow of -$94.9M (-33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBIO closed FY2025 with $349.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$127.4M | -$94.7M | -$94.9M | $349.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$69.6M | -$71.2M | -$71.2M | $72.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$75.5M | -$56.8M | -$56.8M | — | — |
3. JBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Jade Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: JBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $905.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, JBIO ranks #802 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JBIO compare to OBX and ALMS in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), JBIO carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OBX (Obsidian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $896.9M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $891.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBIO?
Per JBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798749), Jade Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$127.4M in net income, and -$94.9M in free cash flow against $349.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JBIO last traded at $14.06 (-1.26% on volume of 682,316 shares), positioning the stock -14.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.35) and -22.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.24). Across its 52-week range of $8.36 to $28.00, JBIO sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($12.32 to $15.80).
JBIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JBIO stock moving today?
Why JBIO Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
JBIO — Jade Biosciences Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, JBIO carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -10.48%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow, which together indicate limited evidence of informed-capital support in the source data. The Cash Engine pillar reflects negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield, meaning the business is currently consuming rather than generating cash on a per-dollar-invested basis. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the relative bright spot, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Debt/Equity of 0.5, though a Piotroski F of 2/9 signals weak financial-quality signals. Upside drivers in the source data are limited to the news flow described below; valuation cannot be assessed from the available P/E or EV/EBITDA figures, which are not available in source data. The rating is a quantitative screen and does not constitute a recommendation.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-113.5M | $-127.4M | N/A | $-94.9M | $88.4M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-74.6M | $-69.6M | N/A | $-71.2M | $69.4M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-81.4M | $-75.5M | N/A | $-56.8M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each period, with operating losses and net losses in all three years, and the FY 2025 net loss of $-127.4M is the largest of the periods shown. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Piotroski F-Score is 2/9 and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, both per the Roarable RQD rating. The balance sheet shows cash of $88.4M at FY 2025 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, while period-level debt is not available in source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tagged YELLOW with the MARKET WIRE impact label. The sources report that Jade Biosciences plans to highlight advancement of its JADE101 development program at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2026. A Stock Titan item states that about 169,000 Americans have IgA kidney disease and that Jade expects its trial to start this quarter. BTIG is reported to maintain a Buy rating with a $77 target price, reiterated in a separate item. A TradingView item and an Investing.com Canada item reference fair-value and decline analysis, including a 48% decline. Risk watch items include the negative operating and free-cash-flow trend, the absence of revenue, and the 52-week range of $8.36 to $28 against the current price of 14.24. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Per the analyst data section, no analyst data is available. The BTIG Buy rating and $77 target appear only in the news wire headlines and are not corroborated by a structured analyst dataset. Per the holders section, no 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trade data is available in the holders section. The Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillars in the RQD rating score 4/20 and 3/20 respectively, per the Roarable RQD rating.
Open Questions
- What are JADE101's clinical stage, trial design, and timeline, given the news wire reference to a trial start this quarter?
- What is the company's cash runway relative to the FY 2025 operating loss of $-113.5M and cash balance of $88.4M?
- Why are period-level debt and EPS values not available in source data, and what is the total debt obligation?
- What is the basis for the BTIG $77 price target relative to the current price of 14.24?
- What are the company's products, partnerships, or licensing arrangements, which are not described in source data?
JBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Canada report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com UK report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Jade Biosciences Inc. (JBIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
JBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.06?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JBIO (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $14.24?
Welcome to the JBIO (Jade Biosciences Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on JBIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JBIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Jade Biosciences Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
JBIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JBIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.24 (52-wk range $8.36 - $28.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.