What is JBSS's 12-month stock price target?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $55.6 (+3.2% from $53.90), with a bull-case target of $96.68 and a bear-case floor of $43.37.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / JBSS / forecast

MAMA (52) JJSF (75) TR (56) WYHG (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates JBSS C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 65/100.

$53.90 -4.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.36

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $630.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.90 (-4.55% 1D, market cap $630.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $597.8M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

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Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.36 (-1.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JBSS SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$66.51-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$65.73+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$67.11-19.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$53.90+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, JBSS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.79) or 200D SMA ($76.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.60) toward Bear Floor ($43.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JBSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your JBSS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $53.90: 185.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $43.37

$8,046

$-1,954 (-19.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $55.60

$10,315

+$315 (+3.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $96.68

$17,937

+$7,937 (+79.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$58	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$91	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$49	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JBSS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $56.47H $56.47L $53.90C $53.90VOL 318.0K

RES: $77.89SUP: $52.94SMA50: $67.79SMA200: $76.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBSS Butterfly Map → + Track JBSS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBSS)

Consumer Staples Rank #32 of 147 ⚔️ MAMA vs JBSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JBSS vs. MAMA, JJSF, TR, WYHG)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #82 by equity capitalization ($630.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with JBSS at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JBSS ACTIVE John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.	C	65/100	10.7x	18.0%	19.2%	-4.55%	$630.3M	Benchmark Subject
MAMA Mama's Creations Inc.	D+	52/100	114.4x	25.1%	17.2%	-1.17%	$597.8M	/mama-vs-jbss →
JJSF J & J Snack Foods Corp.	B	75/100	23.9x	29.7%	7.9%	+1.87%	$1.60B	/jjsf-vs-jbss →
TR Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.	D+	56/100	27.4x	35.3%	9.8%	+0.85%	$2.77B	/tr-vs-jbss →
WYHG Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited	D-	37/100	13.3x	29.2%	4.6%	-7.12%	$97.5M	/wyhg-vs-jbss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-25 • CIK 0000880117 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.9M, operating cash flow of $123.8M, and free cash flow of $35.7M (+277.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBSS closed FY2025 with $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-25	$1.18B	$61.9M	$123.8M	$35.7M	$617.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-26	$1.11B	$58.9M	$30.5M	-$20.2M	$545.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-27	$1.07B	$60.2M	$101.7M	$101.7M	—	—

3. JBSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

Where is JBSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBSS last traded at $53.90 (-4.55% on volume of 317,997 shares), positioning the stock -20.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.79) and -29.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.87). Across its 52-week range of $53.64 to $92.08, JBSS sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($49.21 to $58.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: JBSS RQD Cockpit JBSS 12M Forecast JBSS Earnings & Move JBSS Dividends & DRIP JBSS Insiders & 13F JBSS Whale Options JBSS Profit Sankey JBSS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JBSS — John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-06-25

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $53.90 (-4.55% 1D, market capitalization $630.3M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.2%, gross margin of 18.0%, operating margin of 7.6%, and free cash flow yield of 5.41%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.87, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and the Specialty Foods industry..7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported $1.18B in annual revenue (up from $1.11B in FY2024, +6.2% YoY) and $61.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.07B revenue, $60.2M net income) through FY2025, JBSS scaled operating cash flow to $123.8M and free cash flow to $35.7M, backed by $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (18.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $53.64 – $92.08 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.7x trailing P/E and 4.0x EV/EBITDA against 7.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation data beyond the Beta of 1. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

Key Question #1: Can JBSS sustain or expand its 7.6% operating margin and 19.2% ROIC against Specialty Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.18B and free cash flow of $35.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is JBSS's 10.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JBSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBSS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

John B. Sanfilippo & Son: Turnaround To Take Time, But Worth Waiting For

Seeking Alpha report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. 1st Quarter Fiscal Year 2027 Operating Results Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

John B Sanfilippo & Son Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Benzinga report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Simply Wall St • 1d ago

John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) Stock Sinks As Q1 Earnings Margins Tighten

Simply Wall St report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

John B Sanfilippo & Son : 10-28-26 Earnings

www.marketscreener.com report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) - What Are Brokerages Saying About This Stock?

MarketBeat report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Reports Fiscal Q1 2027 Results; Diluted EPS Falls 30%

TradingView report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBSS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.61 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The rating's insider conviction (18/20) and forensic balance sheet (18/20) pillars, alongside a 19.2% ROIC and 5.41% FCF yield, point t

Don't sleep on JBSS's setup in Consumer Staples. The rating's insider conviction (18/20) and forensic balance sheet (18/20) pillars, alongside a 19.2% ROIC and 5.41% FCF yield, point to a cash-generative business trading at a 10.7 TTM P/E.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (65/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $53.90 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.58 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $53.90

The rating's whale 13F flow score of 3/20 and the RED-flagged reports of a Q1 earnings and revenue miss indicate weak institutional con

Fading this rally in JBSS at $53.90. The rating's whale 13F flow score of 3/20 and the RED-flagged reports of a Q1 earnings and revenue miss indicate weak institutional conviction and recent operating pressure.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $53.90 (52-wk range $53.64–$92.08), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.