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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / JBSS / news
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Why JBSS Stock slipped -0.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$53.87 -0.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.76

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $630.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.87 (-0.06% 1D, market cap $630.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $597.8M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?
▼

Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.76 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (16)Whales (3)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$97 Bull$56 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE JBSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBSS SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$66.51-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$65.73+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$67.11-19.7% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$53.87+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, JBSS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.79) or 200D SMA ($76.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.57) toward Bear Floor ($43.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why JBSS Stock slipped -0.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) slipped -0.06% to $53.87, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($53.64 – $92.08). Solid 18.0% gross margin (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($53.64 – $92.08) with RSI-14 at 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.7% around $53.87 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 18% gross margin and $35.7M annual free cash flow.
Live JBSS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREwww.marketscreener.com • 1d ago
John B Sanfilippo & Son : 10-28-26 Earnings

www.marketscreener.com report covering John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

John B. Sanfilippo & Son (NASDAQ:JBSS) reported lower first-quarter fiscal 2027 sales and earnings as pricing pressures, a less favorable product mix and higher operating costs weighed on results, while management pointe

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JBSS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $56.47H $56.47L $53.87C $53.87VOL 318.0K
RES: $77.89SUP: $52.94SMA50: $67.79SMA200: $76.87
$94.77$83.62$72.48$61.33$50.18RES $77.89SUP $52.94$53.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBSS Butterfly Map → + Track JBSS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBSS)

Consumer Staples Rank #32 of 147 ⚔️ MAMA vs JBSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JBSS vs. MAMA, JJSF, TR, WYHG)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #82 by equity capitalization ($630.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with JBSS at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBSS ACTIVE
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C 65/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -0.06% $630.3M Benchmark Subject
MAMA
Mama's Creations Inc.
D+ 52/100 114.4x 25.1% 17.2% +1.50% $597.8M /mama-vs-jbss →
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 75/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +4.44% $1.60B /jjsf-vs-jbss →
TR
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +3.66% $2.77B /tr-vs-jbss →
WYHG
Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited
D- 37/100 13.3x 29.2% 4.6% -0.36% $97.5M /wyhg-vs-jbss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-25 • CIK 0000880117 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.9M, operating cash flow of $123.8M, and free cash flow of $35.7M (+277.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBSS closed FY2025 with $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-25 $1.18B $61.9M $123.8M $35.7M $617.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-26 $1.11B $58.9M $30.5M -$20.2M $545.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-06-27 $1.07B $60.2M $101.7M $101.7M — —

3. JBSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.87 (-0.06% 1D, market cap $630.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $597.8M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBSS last traded at $53.87 (-0.06% on volume of 315,327 shares), positioning the stock -20.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.79) and -29.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.87). Across its 52-week range of $53.64 to $92.08, JBSS sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($49.18 to $58.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: JBSS RQD Cockpit JBSS 12M Forecast JBSS Earnings & Move JBSS Dividends & DRIP JBSS Insiders & 13F JBSS Whale Options JBSS Profit Sankey JBSS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JBSS — John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-25

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $53.87 (-0.06% 1D, market capitalization $630.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.2%, gross margin of 18.0%, operating margin of 7.6%, and free cash flow yield of 5.41%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.87, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and the Specialty Foods industry..7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported $1.18B in annual revenue (up from $1.11B in FY2024, +6.2% YoY) and $61.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.07B revenue, $60.2M net income) through FY2025, JBSS scaled operating cash flow to $123.8M and free cash flow to $35.7M, backed by $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (18.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $53.64 – $92.08 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.7x trailing P/E and 4.0x EV/EBITDA against 7.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation data beyond the Beta of 1. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can JBSS sustain or expand its 7.6% operating margin and 19.2% ROIC against Specialty Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.18B and free cash flow of $35.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JBSS's 10.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JBSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBSS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBSS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBSS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.61 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The rating's insider conviction (18/20) and forensic balance sheet (18/20) pillars, alongside a 19.2% ROIC and 5.41% FCF yield, point t

Don't sleep on JBSS's setup in Consumer Staples. The rating's insider conviction (18/20) and forensic balance sheet (18/20) pillars, alongside a 19.2% ROIC and 5.41% FCF yield, point to a cash-generative business trading at a 10.7 TTM P/E.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (65/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $53.90 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.58 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $53.90

The rating's whale 13F flow score of 3/20 and the RED-flagged reports of a Q1 earnings and revenue miss indicate weak institutional con

Fading this rally in JBSS at $53.90. The rating's whale 13F flow score of 3/20 and the RED-flagged reports of a Q1 earnings and revenue miss indicate weak institutional conviction and recent operating pressure.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $53.90 (52-wk range $53.64–$92.08), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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