Yahoo Finance report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why JOBY Stock dropped -3.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is JOBY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Joby Aviation Inc. (NYSE: JOBY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $4.90 (-3.54% 1D, market cap $4.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JOBY ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does JOBY compare to BETA and AIR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), JOBY carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.69B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOBY?
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Per JOBY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819848), Joby Aviation Inc. generated $53.4M in revenue (+39183.1% YoY), -$929.8M in net income, and -$563.8M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 5.32 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (39.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JOBY Turnaround Squeeze
While JOBY currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.79) and Max Pain ($5.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.96.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why JOBY Stock dropped -3.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) dropped -3.54% to $4.90, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($4.43 – $17.1). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($4.43 – $17.1) with RSI-14 at 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.2% around $4.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The future of air mobility is almost here.
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Cathie Wood just pulled millions out of two of this year's hottest AI chip winners and poured it into a battered broker and a pair of air taxi startups burning through cash. The trades raise a pointed question: does ARK
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOBY)
- ✓Walkthrough of JOBY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
JOBY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOBY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOBY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOBY)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JOBY vs. BETA, AIR, AVAV, ACHR)
Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) ranks #349 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #145 by equity capitalization ($4.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with JOBY at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY
ACTIVE
Joby Aviation Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.54% | $4.87B | Benchmark Subject |
| BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 72.2% | -35.0% | -2.53% | $4.69B | /beta-vs-joby → |
| AIR AAR Corp. | D | 46/100 | 22.4x | 18.8% | 12.0% | -4.08% | $4.03B | /air-vs-joby → |
| AVAV AeroVironment Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | 25.3% | -7.6% | -6.50% | $6.41B | /avav-vs-joby → |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 33.3% | -35.0% | -4.11% | $3.27B | /achr-vs-joby → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819848In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) reported GAAP revenue of $53.4M (+39183.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $136.0K , and +5076.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$929.8M, operating cash flow of -$509.9M, and free cash flow of -$563.8M (-18.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOBY closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.32, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $53.4M | -$929.8M | -$509.9M | -$563.8M | $1.80B | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $136.0K | -$608.0M | -$436.3M | -$476.9M | $1.20B | $131.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.0M | -$513.0M | -$313.8M | -$313.9M | $2.78B | $649.8M |
3. JOBY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JOBY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Joby Aviation Inc. (NYSE: JOBY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $4.90 (-3.54% 1D, market cap $4.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JOBY ranks #349 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JOBY compare to BETA and AIR in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), JOBY carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.69B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOBY?
Per JOBY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819848), Joby Aviation Inc. generated $53.4M in revenue (+39183.1% YoY), -$929.8M in net income, and -$563.8M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JOBY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JOBY last traded at $4.90 (-3.54% on volume of 16,258,667 shares), positioning the stock -15.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.79) and -42.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.48). Across its 52-week range of $4.43 to $17.10, JOBY sits at the 3.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($4.40 to $5.40).
JOBY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JOBY stock moving today?
Why JOBY Stock dropped -3.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
JOBY — Joby Aviation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, JOBY scores 38 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 9 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -11.17%; for a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating cash returns on capital. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 5 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), signaling weak institutional support in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating limited insider signal strength. The macro regime fit pillar scores 4 of 20, with beta of 0.88 and sector sensitivity noted as the drivers. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by Altman Z 5.32, Piotroski F 5/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5; this is the strongest pillar and the main offset to the weaker operating and flow readings. Taken together, the rating frames JOBY as a stock whose balance sheet is comparatively sturdier than its cash generation and flow profile. Upside drivers would need to come from improving cash returns; the data shows the current valuation rests on future execution rather than present earnings, and the wide 52-week range of $4.43 - $17.1 illustrates the volatility an investor should weigh.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $53.4M | $-719.6M | $-929.8M | N/A | $-563.8M | $240.8M | $0.0M |
| FY 2024 | $0.1M | $-596.8M | $-608.0M | N/A | $-476.9M | $199.6M | $131.0M |
| FY 2023 | $1.0M | $-472.1M | $-513.0M | N/A | $-313.9M | N/A | $649.8M |
Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating and net losses in every period shown, with operating margin and net margin both at -60% in the market data. Gross margin is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%. The forensic balance sheet readings are an Altman Z-Score of 5.32 and a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt fell from $649.8M (FY 2023) to $0.0M (FY 2025) while cash rose to $240.8M in FY 2025, a posture the forensic pillar scores as comparatively stable despite persistent losses.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six headlines cover JOBY, sourced from Yahoo Finance, The Motley Fool, and Trefis. Two items carry a "RISK WATCH" or RED light: a Trefis piece on how large the next decline could be, flagged RED, and the remaining items are YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" reports. Recurring headline themes include the stock hitting a 52-week low and investment-return framing. The feed's summaries are generic market-action descriptions and do not contain specific operational catalysts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded (supply_chain: NONE).
Open Questions
- What specific products, customers, and revenue sources generate the reported FY 2025 revenue of $53.4M?
- What drove the reduction in reported debt from $649.8M to $0.0M, and what is the company's funding runway given negative FCF of $-563.8M?
- What is the EPS trajectory, given the FY figures show EPS as N/A and TTM EPS of -0.94?
- What explains the gap between the forward P/E of 18 and the negative trailing earnings?
- How do the insider and institutional flow signals (pillar scores 6/20 and 5/20) reconcile with the forensic strength of the balance sheet?
JOBY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The future of air mobility is almost here.
JOBY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.90?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JOBY (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $5.08?
Welcome to the JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on JOBY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JOBY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Joby Aviation Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
JOBY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JOBY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.08 (52-wk range $4.43 - $17.10), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.