Seeking Alpha report covering Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why JOUT Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $45.67 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?
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Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JOUT Turnaround Squeeze
While JOUT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.57) and Max Pain ($47.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.22.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why JOUT Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) slipped -1.19% to $45.67, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($35.65 – $53.54). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($35.65 – $53.54) with RSI-14 at 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $45.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 35.1% gross margin and $56.2M annual free cash flow.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOUT)
- ✓Walkthrough of JOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. JAKK, FNKO, BBW, ESCA)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #550 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #588 by equity capitalization ($478.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with JOUT at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOUT
ACTIVE
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | 35.1% | -4.5% | -1.19% | $478.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -2.79% | $361.6M | /jakk-vs-jout → |
| FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -10.4% | -4.78% | $356.7M | /fnko-vs-jout → |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +0.47% | $340.1M | /bbw-vs-jout → |
| ESCA Escalade Incorporated | B | 74/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | -2.18% | $271.0M | /esca-vs-jout → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0000788329In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-03 | $592.4M | -$34.3M | $56.2M | $56.2M | $600.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-27 | $592.8M | -$26.5M | $41.0M | $41.0M | $612.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-29 | $663.8M | $19.5M | $41.7M | $41.7M | — | — |
3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $45.67 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?
Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JOUT last traded at $45.67 (-1.19% on volume of 24,638 shares), positioning the stock +2.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.57) and -1.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.47). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 56.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($43.20 to $48.14).
JOUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JOUT stock moving today?
Why JOUT Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
JOUT — Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, JOUT scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -4.5% and an FCF yield of 11.6%. The two measures point in opposite directions: the business is currently destroying capital on a return basis, yet the reported free cash flow yield is high relative to the market value. For an investor, the implication is that cash generation may be more durable than accounting earnings suggest, but the negative ROIC means invested capital is not yet earning its cost.
- Whale / 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. A mid-range score indicates neither a clear institutional bid nor a clear exit.
- Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the second-weakest pillar, suggesting limited insider signaling of confidence.
- Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, indicating the stock's exposure to the prevailing macro regime is not a supportive factor in the rating.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.79, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Solvency metrics are the relatively stronger part of the profile.
Investor takeaway: The composite reflects a company with a serviceable balance sheet and a high free cash flow yield, offset by negative operating and net margins, negative ROIC, weak insider signaling, and a weak macro-fit score. Upside drivers would need to come from an operating turnaround that converts the cash flow profile into positive returns on capital. Valuation tradeoffs are unclear because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $592.4M | $-16.2M | $-34.3M | N/A | $56.2M | $130.7M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $592.8M | $-43.5M | $-26.5M | N/A | $41.0M | $95.3M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $663.8M | $11.7M | $19.5M | N/A | $41.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 and declined from FY 2023. Operating and net losses appear in FY 2024 and FY 2025 after a profitable FY 2023. Per the market data, gross margin is 35.1%, operating margin is -2.7%, and net margin is -5.8%. ROIC is -4.5%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5, while reported debt values are N/A in the financials, and reported cash increased from $95.3M in FY 2024 to $130.7M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the news wire, recent headlines describe JOUT as having a stable dividend and a debt-free balance sheet, a note that buying ahead of the next dividend may not be advisable, a reported BlackRock position of 450,378 Class A shares, and a Wall Street Zen upgrade to "Buy." The upgrade is the only item marked as a catalyst (GREEN); the remaining items are marked YELLOW market-wire coverage. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items include the negative operating and net margins and the negative ROIC reported in the financials.
Open Questions
- What are the company's specific products, customer base, and revenue model, given that the business description is absent from the source data?
- What are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA, and how do they compare to the current price of 46.22?
- What is the reported debt balance, given that the financials list debt as N/A while the RQD rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
- What is the path from negative operating margin (-2.7%) to positive ROIC, and what drove the swing from FY 2023 profitability to FY 2024–2025 losses?
- What is the full institutional and insider holder roster behind the 13F and Form 4 pillar scores?
JOUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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JOUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.67?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JOUT (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $46.22?
Welcome to the JOUT (Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Recreational Games/Products/Toys. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on JOUT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JOUT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 35.1% gross margins. Unless Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
JOUT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JOUT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Recreational Games/Products/Toys and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $46.22 (52-wk range $35.65 - $53.54), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.