ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account β†’
β–Ύ
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚑ My $100K Trading Account β†’ β˜… My Saved Watchlist β†’
🟒 My $100K Account β†’ Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record πŸ’° $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions πŸ›οΈ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JOUT / options
JAKK (40) FNKO (36) BBW (68) ESCA (74) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$47.83 +4.73% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.15

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $478.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JOUT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $47.83 (+4.73% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?
β–Ό

Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.15 (+0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$56 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE JOUT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY JOUT SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$42.71+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$43.67+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$45.18+5.9% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$47.83-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JOUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While JOUT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.57) and Max Pain ($50.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.22.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JOUTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œJOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JOUT)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JOUT.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOUT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of JOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.78%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $46.22H $47.83L $45.67C $47.83VOL 24.6K
RES: $50.47SUP: $41.67SMA50: $44.57SMA200: $46.47
$54.63$50.12$45.62$41.12$36.61RES $50.47SUP $41.67$47.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ JOUT Butterfly Map β†’ + Track JOUT β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #548 of 1009 βš”οΈ JAKK vs JOUT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. JAKK, FNKO, BBW, ESCA)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #548 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #586 by equity capitalization ($478.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with JOUT at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JOUT ACTIVE
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 β€” 35.1% -4.5% +4.73% $478.6M Benchmark Subject
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 96.0% 5.7% +0.67% $361.6M /jakk-vs-jout β†’
FNKO
Funko Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -10.4% +0.63% $356.7M /fnko-vs-jout β†’
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.
C+ 68/100 6.5x 55.8% 33.7% +6.99% $340.1M /bbw-vs-jout β†’
ESCA
Escalade Incorporated
B 74/100 20.2x 26.9% 8.0% +6.29% $271.0M /esca-vs-jout β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-10-03 β€’ CIK 0000788329 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $592.4M -$34.3M $56.2M $56.2M $600.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $592.8M -$26.5M $41.0M $41.0M $612.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $663.8M $19.5M $41.7M $41.7M β€” β€”

3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $47.83 (+4.73% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?

Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JOUT last traded at $47.83 (+4.73% on volume of 29,558 shares), positioning the stock +7.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.57) and +2.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.47). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 68.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.4% ($45.25 to $50.41).

Direct Sub-Reports: JOUT RQD Cockpit JOUT 12M Forecast JOUT Earnings & Move JOUT Dividends & DRIP JOUT Insiders & 13F JOUT Whale Options JOUT Profit Sankey JOUT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JOUT β€” Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.83 (+4.73% 1D, market capitalization $478.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.5%, gross margin of 35.1%, operating margin of -2.7%, and free cash flow yield of 11.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.79, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) is listed on NASDAQ and operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry..5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported $592.4M in annual revenue (up from $592.8M in FY2024, -0.1% YoY) and -$34.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($663.8M revenue, $19.5M net income) through FY2025, JOUT scaled operating cash flow to $56.2M and free cash flow to $56.2M, backed by $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 11.60% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.65 – $53.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Recreational Games/Products/Toys (Consumer Discretionary), JOUT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 35.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can JOUT sustain or expand its -2.7% operating margin and -4.5% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $592.4M and free cash flow of $56.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JOUT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JOUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to JOUT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JOUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $47.83?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JOUT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JOUT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.00 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 11.6% FCF yield and a 3.79 Altman Z-Score point to cash generation and solvency that the negative earnings profile does not fully ref

A 11.6% FCF yield and a 3.79 Altman Z-Score point to cash generation and solvency that the negative earnings profile does not fully reflect.. When you look under the hood at JOUT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 35.1% gross margins and -4.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $53.54. My 12M target is $58.00.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $45.67 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.54 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $45.67

Negative operating margin, -4.5% ROIC, and a 6/20 macro-regime score show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.

Careful chasing JOUT at $45.67. Negative operating margin, -4.5% ROIC, and a 6/20 macro-regime score show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.. Gross margin is 35.1%, but operating margin is -2.7%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $36.54 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE