Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KMB / earnings

PKG (75) SW (56) AVY (74) WMS (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.8% Move

$107.94 -1.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.83

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 44% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $35.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KMB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NASDAQ: KMB) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $107.94 (-1.89% 1D, market cap $35.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KMB ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KMB compare to PKG and SW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), KMB carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.1x, gross margin of 36.0%, and ROIC of 43.6%. By comparison, PKG (Packaging Corporation of America) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $22.88B) and SW (Smurfit WestRock plc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $22.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMB leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while KMB leads on capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMB?

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Per KMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000055785), Kimberly-Clark Corporation generated $16.45B in revenue (-2.1% YoY), $2.02B in net income, and $2.04B in free cash flow against $17.10B in total assets and $4.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.83 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 12.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KMB SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.4% FCF Margin ($2.04B FCF) & 36% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.1) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$99.41+7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$106.64+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$108.40-0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B$107.94+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KMB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, KMB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($102.74) or 200D SMA ($103.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($114.74) toward Bear Floor ($88.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KMB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.8% Swing Band

±$5.18 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KMB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $6.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.1%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$16.45B	$2.02B	$2.04B	36%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$16.80B	$2.54B	$2.48B	37.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$17.15B	$1.76B	$2.77B	36%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KMB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KMB
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KMB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $110.0H $110.0L $107.9C $107.9VOL 9.80M

RES: $112.7SUP: $89.30SMA50: $102.7SMA200: $103.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KMB Butterfly Map → + Track KMB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #103 of 1011 ⚔️ PKG vs KMB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KMB vs. PKG, SW, AVY, WMS)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) ranks #103 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #60 by equity capitalization ($35.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMB leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while KMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.6% ROIC and 36.0% gross margin. PKG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with KMB at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KMB ACTIVE Kimberly-Clark Corporation	B	72/100	18.1x	36.0%	43.6%	-1.89%	$35.90B	Benchmark Subject
PKG Packaging Corporation of America	B	75/100	29.3x	21.0%	10.9%	+0.90%	$22.88B	/pkg-vs-kmb →
SW Smurfit WestRock plc	D+	56/100	31.9x	19.4%	4.7%	+1.32%	$22.60B	/sw-vs-kmb →
AVY Avery Dennison Corporation	B	74/100	20.1x	28.8%	17.4%	+0.09%	$13.81B	/avy-vs-kmb →
WMS Advanced Drainage Systems Inc.	B-	71/100	24.0x	38.3%	22.3%	-0.80%	$10.21B	/wms-vs-kmb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000055785

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) reported GAAP revenue of $16.45B (-2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.80B , and -4.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.02B, operating cash flow of $2.78B, and free cash flow of $2.04B (-17.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMB closed FY2025 with $17.10B in total assets against $4.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.75, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$16.45B	$2.02B	$2.78B	$2.04B	$17.10B	$4.00B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$16.80B	$2.54B	$3.23B	$2.48B	$16.55B	$3.87B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.15B	$1.76B	$3.54B	$2.77B	$20.58B	$4.81B

3. KMB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KMB compare to PKG and SW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMB?

Where is KMB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMB last traded at $107.94 (-1.89% on volume of 9,803,327 shares), positioning the stock +5.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($102.74) and +4.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($103.13). Across its 52-week range of $92.42 to $116.82, KMB sits at the 63.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($102.76 to $113.12).

KMB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KMB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is KMB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.8% event move for KMB, spanning a range between $102.76 and $113.12.

Direct Sub-Reports: KMB RQD Cockpit KMB 12M Forecast KMB Earnings & Move KMB Dividends & DRIP KMB Insiders & 13F KMB Whale Options KMB Profit Sankey KMB News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KMB — Kimberly-Clark Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KMB scores 72 out of 100, a letter grade of B, labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 43.6% and an FCF yield of 5.57%. This is the strongest pillar and the main upside driver in the framework: high capital efficiency combined with a meaningful cash yield relative to market value.
Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning. Source detail behind this score is not itemized in the provided holders data (see Analyst View section).
Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the rating, beta is 0.94 with sector sensitivity noted. This is the weakest pillar and the main valuation/regime tradeoff: the stock has historically moved roughly in line with the market, so it offers less defensive differentiation in this framework than the other pillars suggest.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 4.75, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.29. A Z-score in this range is generally read as financially strong, but the elevated leverage ratio and middling Piotroski score temper the reading. Investors should weigh balance-sheet resilience against the debt load.

Taken together, the rating points to strong cash generation and capital efficiency offset by macro-regime fit and leverage considerations. For a prospective investor, the thesis rests on whether cash-flow durability persists while leverage is managed. This is an educational reading of the framework, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
110.02	$36.59B	18.1	16.8	13.2	6.08	4.54%	0.94	$92.42 - $116.82	43.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include:

A Yahoo Finance item referencing the Kenvue (KVUE) deal (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
A TradingView item reporting a 12-month price target cut to $114.14, implying 17% upside (RED, RISK WATCH).
A Seeking Alpha item describing preliminary Q3 results that topped expectations (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
A Benzinga item on the stock gaining on a Thursday (GREEN, CATALYST).
A PR Newswire item announcing pricing of a $4.9 billion private offering of senior notes (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
A MarketBeat item on a stake purchase by Viking Fund Management LLC (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The debt offering and the price-target cut are the two items most relevant to the balance-sheet and valuation discussion above.

Open Questions

What is the use of proceeds and resulting interest-expense impact of the $4.9 billion senior notes offering?
What drove the decline in revenue and free cash flow from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and is the trend expected to persist?
What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlying the 15/20 and 16/20 pillar scores?
What are the analyst consensus rating and price-target distribution beyond the single cited cut?
What is the Kenvue (KVUE) transaction's status and financial terms, and how would it affect leverage?

KMB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KMB Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Kimberly-Clark’s (KMB) Kenvue (KVUE) Deal Has Jim Cramer Looking Years Ahead

Yahoo Finance report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 20h ago

Kimberly-Clark Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $114.14, Implies 17% Upside

TradingView report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 23h ago

Kimberly-Clark's preliminary Q3 results top expectations (KMB:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 1d ago

Why Is Kimberly-Clark Stock Gaining Thursday? - Kimberly-Clark (NASDAQ:KMB)

Benzinga report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 1d ago

Kimberly-Clark Corporation Announces Pricing of $4.9 Billion Private Offering of Senior Notes

PR Newswire report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Kimberly-Clark Corporation $KMB Stock Bought by Viking Fund Management LLC

MarketBeat report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Investors Are Overlooking this Boring Dividend Stock

Yahoo Finance report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 1d ago

Kimberly-Clark Announces Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Results and Provides Full Year 2026 Outlook Consistent with Previous Expectations

PR Newswire report covering Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KMB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $107.94?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KMB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.82 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KMB (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $110.02?

Welcome to the KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Containers/Packaging. Bulls point to capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $84.72 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $110.02

Pump the brakes on KMB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KMB, but look at what you are paying: 18.1x trailing P/E with 36.0% gross margins. Unless Kimberly-Clark Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $138.63 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $110.02

KMB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KMB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Containers/Packaging and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $110.02 (52-wk range $92.42 - $116.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.