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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LCII / forecast
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LCI Industries (LCII) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$102.09 +3.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.47

LCI Industries (LCII) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LCII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LCI Industries (NYSE: LCII) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $102.09 (+3.14% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCII ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LCII compare to DAN and PATK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LCII carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.8x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCII?
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Per LCII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763744), LCI Industries generated $4.12B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $188.3M in net income, and $278.3M in free cash flow against $3.18B in total assets and $941.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $102.48 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$168 Bull$104 Base$81 Bear
📬 FREE LCII RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LCII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LCII SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (72.1) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$78.16+6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$83.15+17.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$97.59+4.6% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$102.09+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LCII Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, LCII faces multiple-compression risk if 12.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.54) or 200D SMA ($110.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($104.39) toward Bear Floor ($81.42).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LCII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LCII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LCII Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $102.09: 98.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $81.42
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $104.39
$10,225
+$225 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $167.64
$16,421
+$6,421 (+64.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$10974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$15869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$9358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LCII Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LCII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $98.97H $102.1L $98.97C $102.1VOL 639.6K
RES: $102.2SUP: $75.15SMA50: $89.54SMA200: $110.8
$127.9$114.2$100.6$86.98$73.35RES $102.2SUP $75.15$102.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LCII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LCII Butterfly Map → + Track LCII →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LCII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LCII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LCII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LCII)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #266 of 1011 ⚔️ DAN vs LCII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LCII vs. DAN, PATK, PHIN, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LCI Industries (LCII) ranks #266 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #393 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. LCII currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LCII ACTIVE
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +3.14% $2.41B Benchmark Subject
DAN
Dana Incorporated
D 47/100 31.5x 8.0% 29.6% -0.95% $2.49B /dan-vs-lcii →
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc.
C 63/100 17.9x 23.1% 8.9% +5.24% $2.49B /patk-vs-lcii →
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
C- 59/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +12.51% $2.26B /phin-vs-lcii →
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 — — — -0.19% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-lcii →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000763744

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LCI Industries (LCII) reported GAAP revenue of $4.12B (+10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.74B , and +8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $188.3M, operating cash flow of $331.0M, and free cash flow of $278.3M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LCII closed FY2025 with $3.18B in total assets against $941.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.12B $188.3M $331.0M $278.3M $3.18B $941.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.74B $142.9M $370.3M $328.0M $2.89B $756.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.78B $64.2M $527.2M $356.9M $4.54B $1.06B

3. LCII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LCII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, LCI Industries (NYSE: LCII) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $102.09 (+3.14% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCII ranks #266 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LCII compare to DAN and PATK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LCII carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.8x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, DAN (Dana Incorporated) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 29.6%, cap $2.49B) and PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCII?

Per LCII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763744), LCI Industries generated $4.12B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $188.3M in net income, and $278.3M in free cash flow against $3.18B in total assets and $941.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LCII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LCII last traded at $102.09 (+3.14% on volume of 875,267 shares), positioning the stock +14.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.54) and -7.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.79). Across its 52-week range of $77.58 to $159.66, LCII sits at the 29.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.1 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($94.94 to $109.24).

Direct Sub-Reports: LCII RQD Cockpit LCII 12M Forecast LCII Earnings & Move LCII Dividends & DRIP LCII Insiders & 13F LCII Whale Options LCII Profit Sankey LCII News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LCII — LCI Industries: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LCI Industries (LCII) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $102.09 (+3.14% 1D, market capitalization $2.41B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.6%, gross margin of 23.8%, operating margin of 6.8%, and free cash flow yield of 11.57%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (17/20): Incorporates a 1.15x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.28, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.69x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LCI Industries is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. The reported financial figures (revenue of $4.12B for FY 2025) are presented in the financials section without segment or product breakdown.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LCI Industries (LCII) reported $4.12B in annual revenue (up from $3.74B in FY2024, +10.2% YoY) and $188.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.78B revenue, $64.2M net income) through FY2025, LCII scaled operating cash flow to $331.0M and free cash flow to $278.3M, backed by $3.18B in total assets against $941.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $77.58 – $159.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 12.8x trailing P/E and 9.6x EV/EBITDA against 6.8% operating margins and a 1.15x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation pathways for LCII. Within the sector and industry classification alone (Consumer Discretionary; Auto Parts: O.E.M.), no specific dependencies can be attributed without outside information, which this brief does not use. A prospective investor should note that the takeover proposal in the news feed is the most material 2nd-order event in the data, since a change in ownership control would alter the company's strategic and capital-allocation path, but the source does not describe those effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can LCII sustain or expand its 6.8% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.12B and free cash flow of $278.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $941.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LCII's 11.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.15x)?

LCII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LCI Industries (LCII) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LCII Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LCII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $102.09?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LCII 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LCII:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.66 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (17/20) and a forensic balance sheet (Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 3.28) sit alongside an unsolicited $101-per-share cash

Don't sleep on LCII's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Insider conviction (17/20) and a forensic balance sheet (Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 3.28) sit alongside an unsolicited $101-per-share cash takeover proposal that is driving the stock higher.. Beta of 1.15 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (63/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.15 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $98.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $92.05.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $83.14 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $98.98

A beta of 1.15 and a macro regime fit score of only 8/20 leave the stock exposed to broad market swings, while FCF declined from $356.9

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short LCII above $98.98. A beta of 1.15 and a macro regime fit score of only 8/20 leave the stock exposed to broad market swings, while FCF declined from $356.9M to $278.3M over FY 2023–FY 2025.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (11.57%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $159.66.

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