How profitable is Lennox International Inc. (LII)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), LII converted $5.2B of revenue into a 33.4% gross margin, 20% operating margin, and $638.8M in free cash flow (12.3% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Industrials / LII / financials

BWXT (54) PNR (69) RRX (55) MKSI (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Lennox International Inc. (LII) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$353.64 +2.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $354.74

Lennox International Inc. (LII) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.77B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LII Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Lennox International Inc. (NYSE: LII) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $353.64 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $11.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, LII ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LII compare to BWXT and PNR in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), LII carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 34.9%. By comparison, BWXT (BWX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 38.4x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $11.97B) and PNR (Pentair plc. Ordinary Share) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LII?

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Per LII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001069202), Lennox International Inc. generated $5.20B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), $805.8M in net income, and $638.8M in free cash flow against $4.08B in total assets and $1.31B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $354.74 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 12.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LII SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.3% FCF Margin ($638.8M FCF) & 33.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$348.84+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$366.37-9.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$332.64+6.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$353.64+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LII Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LII faces multiple-compression risk if 14.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($365.27) or 200D SMA ($469.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($355.23) toward Bear Floor ($277.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How LII Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$638.8M (12.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $4.98B

FY24

Rev $5.34B

FY25

Rev $5.20B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$5.20B	33.4%	20%	$805.8M	$638.8M	33.7%
FY 2024	$5.34B	33.3%	19.5%	$811.1M	$782.1M	47.2%
FY 2023	$4.98B	33.4%	15.9%	$591.2M	$512.0M	15.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LII)

✓Walkthrough of LII's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.31%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $348.1H $353.6L $344.1C $353.6VOL 825.3K

RES: $359.7SUP: $277.2SMA50: $365.3SMA200: $469.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LII Butterfly Map → + Track LII →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

6.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LII)

Industrials Rank #128 of 486 ⚔️ BWXT vs LII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (LII vs. BWXT, PNR, RRX, MKSI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lennox International Inc. (LII) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #90 by equity capitalization ($11.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LII leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while LII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.9% ROIC and 33.4% gross margin. PNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LII at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LII ACTIVE Lennox International Inc.	C-	59/100	14.8x	33.4%	34.9%	+2.78%	$11.77B	Benchmark Subject
BWXT BWX Technologies Inc.	D+	54/100	38.4x	22.9%	11.6%	-0.18%	$11.97B	/bwxt-vs-lii →
PNR Pentair plc. Ordinary Share	C+	69/100	16.1x	40.5%	12.5%	+6.49%	$10.58B	/pnr-vs-lii →
RRX Regal Rexnord Corporation	D+	55/100	39.0x	37.4%	4.9%	+2.35%	$10.47B	/rrx-vs-lii →
MKSI MKS Inc.	D	49/100	49.5x	46.7%	8.6%	-2.72%	$13.66B	/mksi-vs-lii →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001069202 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lennox International Inc. (LII) reported GAAP revenue of $5.20B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.34B , and +4.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $805.8M, operating cash flow of $757.6M, and free cash flow of $638.8M (-18.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LII closed FY2025 with $4.08B in total assets against $1.31B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.20B	$805.8M	$757.6M	$638.8M	$4.08B	$1.31B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.34B	$811.1M	$945.7M	$782.1M	$3.62B	$1.20B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.98B	$591.2M	$736.2M	$512.0M	$6.55B	$1.53B

3. LII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LII compare to BWXT and PNR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LII?

Where is LII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LII last traded at $353.64 (+2.78% on volume of 959,049 shares), positioning the stock -3.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($365.27) and -24.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($469.37). Across its 52-week range of $322.00 to $587.27, LII sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($324.64 to $382.64).

Direct Sub-Reports: LII RQD Cockpit LII 12M Forecast LII Earnings & Move LII Dividends & DRIP LII Insiders & 13F LII Whale Options LII Profit Sankey LII News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LII — Lennox International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lennox International Inc. (LII) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $353.64 (+2.78% 1D, market capitalization $11.77B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 34.9%, gross margin of 33.4%, operating margin of 20.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.36%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.45, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lennox International Inc. (LII) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. It carries a market capitalization of $11.9B. Per the financial data, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $5.20B, with gross margin of 33.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lennox International Inc. (LII) reported $5.20B in annual revenue (up from $5.34B in FY2024, -2.7% YoY) and $805.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.98B revenue, $591.2M net income) through FY2025, LII scaled operating cash flow to $757.6M and free cash flow to $638.8M, backed by $4.08B in total assets against $1.31B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (33.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $322.00 – $587.27 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.8x trailing P/E and 11.5x EV/EBITDA against 20.0% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context is the Industrials classification and Industrial Machinery/Components industry, with the RQD macro pillar noting sector sensitivity at a 0.96 beta.

Key Question #1: Can LII sustain or expand its 20.0% operating margin and 34.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.20B and free cash flow of $638.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.31B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is LII's 13.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

LII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lennox International Inc. (LII) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LII Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Lennox (LII) Stock May Be 44% Undervalued After Margin Pressure

Yahoo Finance report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Lennox International falls 11% to new 52-week low after earnings miss (LII:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH ChartMill • 1d ago

Lennox International (NYSE:LII) Q3 2026 Earnings: In-Line Revenue, EPS Miss Pressure Shares

ChartMill report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago

Mizuho cuts Lennox International stock price target on earnings miss

Investing.com report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Lennox International (LII) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Yahoo Finance report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

Is Lennox International Inc (LII) a Bargain After 10.6% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued

GuruFocus report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Simply Wall Street • 1d ago

Lennox International (LII) Stock Dropped, What Is Drawing Attention Now?

Simply Wall Street report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Lennox International (LII) A Bargain Following Mixed Q3 Results And Lower Guidance?

Yahoo Finance report covering Lennox International Inc. (LII) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $353.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LII 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $440.42 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash economics with a 34.9% ROIC and 5.36% FCF yield, plus insider conviction scored at 17/20, trading at 13.8x forward earnings

Picked up a starter position in LII in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $344.08. Strong cash economics with a 34.9% ROIC and 5.36% FCF yield, plus insider conviction scored at 17/20, trading at 13.8x forward earnings.. Trading inside a $322.00–$587.27 52-week range with 5.36% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 14.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (33.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $292.47 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $344.08

Earnings miss drove an 11% drop to a new 52-week low, with institutional flow weak at 6/20 and Mizuho cutting its price target.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LII: Earnings miss drove an 11% drop to a new 52-week low, with institutional flow weak at 6/20 and Mizuho cutting its price target.. At 14.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.