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Why LII Stock surged +2.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$353.64 +2.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $354.74

Lennox International Inc. (LII) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lennox International Inc. (NYSE: LII) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $353.64 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $11.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, LII ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LII compare to BWXT and PNR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), LII carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 34.9%. By comparison, BWXT (BWX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 38.4x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $11.97B) and PNR (Pentair plc. Ordinary Share) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LII?
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Per LII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001069202), Lennox International Inc. generated $5.20B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), $805.8M in net income, and $638.8M in free cash flow against $4.08B in total assets and $1.31B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $354.74 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 12.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$617 Bull$355 Base$277 Bear
📬 FREE LII RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LII SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.3% FCF Margin ($638.8M FCF) & 33.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$348.84+5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$366.37-9.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$332.64+6.3% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$353.64+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LII Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LII faces multiple-compression risk if 14.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($365.27) or 200D SMA ($469.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($355.23) toward Bear Floor ($277.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LII Stock surged +2.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lennox International Inc. (LII) surged +2.78% to $353.64, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($322 – $587.27). Solid 33.4% gross margin (35% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($322 – $587.27) with RSI-14 at 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.2% around $353.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 33.4% gross margin and $638.8M annual free cash flow.
Live LII Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Lennox’s Q3 earnings call: our top 5 analyst questions

Lennox’s Q3 performance was marked by notable revenue growth, but profitability fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, prompting a significant market sell-off. Management cited the need to defend residential market sh

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LII Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.31%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $348.1H $353.6L $344.1C $353.6VOL 825.3K
RES: $359.7SUP: $277.2SMA50: $365.3SMA200: $469.4
$605.8$528.9$452.0$375.1$298.1RES $359.7SUP $277.2$353.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LII)

Industrials Rank #128 of 486 ⚔️ BWXT vs LII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (LII vs. BWXT, PNR, RRX, MKSI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lennox International Inc. (LII) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #90 by equity capitalization ($11.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LII leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while LII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.9% ROIC and 33.4% gross margin. PNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LII at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LII ACTIVE
Lennox International Inc.
C- 59/100 14.8x 33.4% 34.9% +2.78% $11.77B Benchmark Subject
BWXT
BWX Technologies Inc.
D+ 54/100 38.4x 22.9% 11.6% -0.18% $11.97B /bwxt-vs-lii →
PNR
Pentair plc. Ordinary Share
C+ 69/100 16.1x 40.5% 12.5% +6.49% $10.58B /pnr-vs-lii →
RRX
Regal Rexnord Corporation
D+ 55/100 39.0x 37.4% 4.9% +2.35% $10.47B /rrx-vs-lii →
MKSI
MKS Inc.
D 49/100 49.5x 46.7% 8.6% -2.72% $13.66B /mksi-vs-lii →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001069202 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lennox International Inc. (LII) reported GAAP revenue of $5.20B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.34B , and +4.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $805.8M, operating cash flow of $757.6M, and free cash flow of $638.8M (-18.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LII closed FY2025 with $4.08B in total assets against $1.31B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.20B $805.8M $757.6M $638.8M $4.08B $1.31B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.34B $811.1M $945.7M $782.1M $3.62B $1.20B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.98B $591.2M $736.2M $512.0M $6.55B $1.53B

3. LII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lennox International Inc. (NYSE: LII) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $353.64 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $11.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, LII ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LII compare to BWXT and PNR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), LII carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 34.9%. By comparison, BWXT (BWX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 38.4x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $11.97B) and PNR (Pentair plc. Ordinary Share) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LII?

Per LII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001069202), Lennox International Inc. generated $5.20B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), $805.8M in net income, and $638.8M in free cash flow against $4.08B in total assets and $1.31B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LII last traded at $353.64 (+2.78% on volume of 959,049 shares), positioning the stock -3.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($365.27) and -24.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($469.37). Across its 52-week range of $322.00 to $587.27, LII sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($324.64 to $382.64).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LII — Lennox International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lennox International Inc. (LII) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $353.64 (+2.78% 1D, market capitalization $11.77B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 34.9%, gross margin of 33.4%, operating margin of 20.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.36%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.45, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lennox International Inc. (LII) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. It carries a market capitalization of $11.9B. Per the financial data, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $5.20B, with gross margin of 33.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lennox International Inc. (LII) reported $5.20B in annual revenue (up from $5.34B in FY2024, -2.7% YoY) and $805.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.98B revenue, $591.2M net income) through FY2025, LII scaled operating cash flow to $757.6M and free cash flow to $638.8M, backed by $4.08B in total assets against $1.31B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (33.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $322.00 – $587.27 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.8x trailing P/E and 11.5x EV/EBITDA against 20.0% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context is the Industrials classification and Industrial Machinery/Components industry, with the RQD macro pillar noting sector sensitivity at a 0.96 beta.

  • Key Question #1: Can LII sustain or expand its 20.0% operating margin and 34.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.20B and free cash flow of $638.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.31B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LII's 13.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

LII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lennox International Inc. (LII) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LII Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $353.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LII 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LII:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $440.42 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash economics with a 34.9% ROIC and 5.36% FCF yield, plus insider conviction scored at 17/20, trading at 13.8x forward earnings

Picked up a starter position in LII in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $344.08. Strong cash economics with a 34.9% ROIC and 5.36% FCF yield, plus insider conviction scored at 17/20, trading at 13.8x forward earnings.. Trading inside a $322.00–$587.27 52-week range with 5.36% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 14.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (33.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $292.47 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $344.08

Earnings miss drove an 11% drop to a new 52-week low, with institutional flow weak at 6/20 and Mizuho cutting its price target.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LII: Earnings miss drove an 11% drop to a new 52-week low, with institutional flow weak at 6/20 and Mizuho cutting its price target.. At 14.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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