Yahoo Finance report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LINC Stock dropped -2.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.13 (-2.68% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LINC ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LINC compare to APEI and GOTU in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LINC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 60.4%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, APEI (American Public Education Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $742.5M) and GOTU (Gaotu Techedu Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APEI leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while APEI leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LINC?
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Per LINC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001286613), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation generated $518.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $493.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 2.94 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 60.4% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LINC Turnaround Squeeze
While LINC currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.38) and Max Pain ($21.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $59.16.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why LINC Stock dropped -2.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) dropped -2.68% to $20.13, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($17.29 – $56.34). Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($17.29 – $56.34) with RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $20.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 60.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Morningstar report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
WBOC TV report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
South Plainfield campus now offering Electrical/Electronics career training program.Parsippany, NJ, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- On Friday, October 30th, Lincoln Tech’s South Plainfield, NJ campus will celebrate its
B. Riley Securities analyst Raj Sharma maintains Lincoln Educational Servs (NASDAQ:LINC) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $56 to $52.
Technical colleges are betting a surge in demand for skilled workers will lift profits, though the payoff may take time as they expand campuses and programs to accommodate more students.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LINC)
- ✓Walkthrough of LINC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
LINC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LINC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LINC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LINC)
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (LINC vs. APEI, GOTU, PXED, AFYA)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) ranks #34 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #20 by equity capitalization ($656.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APEI leads on earnings valuation at 25.7x trailing P/E, while APEI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.6% ROIC and 54.2% gross margin. APEI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with LINC at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINC
ACTIVE
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | D- | 42/100 | 35.1x | 60.4% | 14.0% | -2.68% | $656.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| APEI American Public Education Inc. | C | 63/100 | 25.7x | 54.2% | 17.6% | +2.51% | $742.5M | /apei-vs-linc → |
| GOTU Gaotu Techedu Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | 67.4% | -35.0% | -3.54% | $538.9M | /gotu-vs-linc → |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -0.08% | $862.6M | /pxed-vs-linc → |
| AFYA Afya Limited (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | +1.82% | $979.4M | /afya-vs-linc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001286613 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) reported GAAP revenue of $518.2M (+17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $440.1M , and +37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.0M, operating cash flow of $59.3M, and free cash flow of -$27.3M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LINC closed FY2025 with $493.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $518.2M | $20.0M | $59.3M | -$27.3M | $493.2M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $440.1M | $9.9M | $29.3M | -$27.6M | $436.6M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $378.1M | $26.0M | $25.6M | $25.6M | — | — |
3. LINC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.13 (-2.68% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LINC ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LINC compare to APEI and GOTU in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LINC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 60.4%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, APEI (American Public Education Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $742.5M) and GOTU (Gaotu Techedu Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APEI leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while APEI leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LINC?
Per LINC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001286613), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation generated $518.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $493.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LINC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LINC last traded at $20.13 (-2.68% on volume of 1,889,069 shares), positioning the stock -13.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.38) and -43.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.85). Across its 52-week range of $17.29 to $56.34, LINC sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($18.32 to $21.94).
LINC — Lincoln Educational Services Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $20.13 (-2.68% 1D, market capitalization $656.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.0%, gross margin of 60.4%, operating margin of 5.8%, and free cash flow yield of -3.89%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.94, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and Other Consumer Services industry,. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $518.2M and FY 2024 revenue of $440.1M. — for the specific products, customer segments, or revenue model details.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) reported $518.2M in annual revenue (up from $440.1M in FY2024, +17.8% YoY) and $20.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($378.1M revenue, $26.0M net income) through FY2025, LINC scaled operating cash flow to $59.3M and free cash flow to -$27.3M, backed by $493.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.89% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.29 – $56.34 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 35.1x trailing P/E and 6.5x EV/EBITDA against 5.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The investor should monitor the pending securities class action items and the scheduled Third Quarter earnings release as the most identifiable near-term sources of ripple effects in the source material.
- Key Question #1: Can LINC sustain or expand its 5.8% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $518.2M and free cash flow of -$27.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LINC's 29.5x forward P/E multiple to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
LINC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
WBOC TV report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
South Plainfield campus now offering Electrical/Electronics career training program.Parsippany, NJ, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- On Friday, October 30th, Lincoln Tech’s South Plainfield, NJ campus will celebrate its
LINC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.13?
High ROIC of 14% and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.94, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) support the business's financial
Picked up a starter position in LINC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $20.68. High ROIC of 14% and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.94, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) support the business's financial resilience.. Trading inside a $17.29–$56.34 52-week range with -3.89% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Other Consumer Services multiples expand this quarter.
Both sides have a point here — LINC's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Negative FCF yield of -3.89% and a securities class action lawsuit highlighted in the news wire point to weak cash conversion and legal
Fading this rally in LINC at $20.68. Negative FCF yield of -3.89% and a securities class action lawsuit highlighted in the news wire point to weak cash conversion and legal overhang.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $20.68 (52-wk range $17.29–$56.34), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.