Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$45.10 -0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.97

Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LTH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $45.10 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $10.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTH ranks #492 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LTH compare to WYNN and MGM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), LTH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.1x, gross margin of 47.6%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.64B) and MGM (MGM Resorts International) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $7.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTHT leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTH?
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Per LTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001869198), Life Time Group Holdings Inc. generated $3.00B in revenue (+14.3% YoY), $373.7M in net income, and -$21.0M in free cash flow against $8.01B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.97 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (18)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE LTH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LTH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.78 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 16.1% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$39.66+3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$41.17+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$44.08+2.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$45.10-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LTH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.67) and Max Pain ($47.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $52.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LTH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LTH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$3.52 Expected Swing
$41.58 (-7.8%)Spot $45.10$48.62 (+7.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LTH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $1.67 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.3%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.00B$373.7M-$21.0M47.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.62B$156.2M$50.6M46.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.22B$76.1M$363.3M47.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +71.61%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $43.14H $45.35L $43.14C $45.10VOL 4.26M
RES: $47.32SUP: $38.59SMA50: $41.67SMA200: $35.42
$48.81$42.64$36.48$30.32$24.16RES $47.32SUP $38.59$45.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #492 of 1011 ⚔️ WYNN vs LTH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LTH vs. WYNN, MGM, HTHT, CZR)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH) ranks #492 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #171 by equity capitalization ($10.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTHT leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while HTHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 66.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HTHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with LTH at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LTH ACTIVE
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 27.1x 47.6% 8.6% -0.55% $10.13B Benchmark Subject
WYNN
Wynn Resorts Limited
D+ 54/100 23.3x — 10.0% +0.61% $7.64B /wynn-vs-lth →
MGM
MGM Resorts International
D 45/100 35.4x — 12.0% +3.92% $7.29B /mgm-vs-lth →
HTHT
H World Group Limited
B- 71/100 19.9x — 66.8% +1.66% $14.42B /htht-vs-lth →
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — 10.3% -0.14% $5.94B /czr-vs-lth →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001869198

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH) reported GAAP revenue of $3.00B (+14.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.62B , and +35.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $373.7M, operating cash flow of $870.5M, and free cash flow of -$21.0M (-141.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LTH closed FY2025 with $8.01B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.00B $373.7M $870.5M -$21.0M $8.01B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.62B $156.2M $575.1M $50.6M $7.15B $1.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.22B $76.1M $463.0M $363.3M $5.57B $1.30B

3. LTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LTH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $45.10 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $10.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTH ranks #492 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LTH compare to WYNN and MGM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), LTH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.1x, gross margin of 47.6%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.64B) and MGM (MGM Resorts International) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $7.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTHT leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTH?

Per LTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001869198), Life Time Group Holdings Inc. generated $3.00B in revenue (+14.3% YoY), $373.7M in net income, and -$21.0M in free cash flow against $8.01B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LTH last traded at $45.10 (-0.55% on volume of 5,267,041 shares), positioning the stock +8.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.67) and +27.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.42). Across its 52-week range of $24.14 to $47.32, LTH sits at the 90.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($41.58 to $48.62).

LTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LTH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LTH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for LTH, spanning a range between $41.58 and $48.62.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LTH — Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LTH scores 53 out of 100, grading D+ and carrying the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5 / 20): This is the weakest pillar. The rating cites ROIC of 8.6% and an FCF yield of -0.21%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is currently not converting earnings into free cash available to shareholders, which weakens the valuation case independent of price momentum.
  • Whale 13F Flow (18 / 20): This is the strongest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. It indicates that large holders are building exposure, a supportive signal that partially offsets the fundamental weakness in the short term.
  • Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow sits at a moderate level, providing limited insider-side confirmation of the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): The rating cites a beta of 1.1 and sector sensitivity. This implies the stock tends to move somewhat more than the broad market, amplifying both upside and downside in shifting macro conditions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.78, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.48. The F-Score is relatively solid, while the Z-Score sits in a range that warrants monitoring.

Net implication: the strongest support comes from institutional flow, while the weakest component is cash generation. Valuation tradeoffs are notable: the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 27.1 and a forward P/E of 22.8, against an EV/EBITDA of 9.2. The recent price move (+5.12%) and 52-week range position do not by themselves resolve whether the fundamental weakness is priced in. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$45.35$10.13B27.122.89.21.670%1.1$24.14 - $47.328.6%

Business

Life Time Group Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Hotels/Resorts industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $10.1B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Gross margin is 47.6% and operating margin is 16.1% per the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, five items reference LTH:

  • Market-wire coverage from Yahoo Finance UK, Yahoo! Finance Canada, and TradingView (YELLOW, neutral signal).
  • A Seeking Alpha upgrade titled around growth and sector diversification (GREEN, catalyst).
  • A Globe and Mail item reporting an RBC Capital buy rating (YELLOW).
  • A GuruFocus item reporting a 5.1% share move alongside a GF Score of 78 (GREEN, catalyst).

Risk watch: the free cash flow decline in FY 2025 is the key item to monitor. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals or supply-chain links recorded.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst consensus, price targets, and Congressional or 13F holder data are not available in source data. Note: the news feed references an RBC Capital buy rating, but no analyst data record accompanies it.

Open Questions

  • What is the reason for the swing from $363.3M of FCF in FY 2023 to negative FCF in FY 2025, and is it driven by capital expenditure or working capital?
  • What EPS figures were reported per period, since the financials list EPS as unavailable?
  • What is the composition and maturity schedule of the $1485.9M debt load?
  • What is the cash position in FY 2023, which the financials list as unavailable?
  • What specific business lines, customers, and revenue mix drive the company's reported revenue?

LTH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Life Time Group Holdings Inc. (LTH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LTH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LTH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.10?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LTH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LTH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $48.98 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LTH (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $45.35?

Welcome to the LTH (Life Time Group Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.47 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $45.35

Pump the brakes on LTH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LTH, but look at what you are paying: 27.1x trailing P/E with 47.6% gross margins. Unless Life Time Group Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.06 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $45.35

LTH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LTH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.35 (52-wk range $24.14 - $47.32), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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