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STAG (59) FR (58) ARE (46) VNO (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Macerich Company (MAC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$24.74 -0.28% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.68

Macerich Company (MAC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.04B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Macerich Company (NYSE: MAC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $24.74 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $7.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MAC ranks #409 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAC compare to STAG and FR in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), MAC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, STAG (Stag Industrial Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 26.3x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $7.23B) and FR (First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 29.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $7.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VNO leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while VNO leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAC?
β–Ό

Per MAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912242), Macerich Company generated $1.01B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), -$197.1M in net income, and $276.0M in free cash flow against $8.37B in total assets and $2.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.68 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 27.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$29 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MAC SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$23.09+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$23.95+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$24.31+1.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$24.74+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (51) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MAC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MAC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.14) or 200D SMA ($22.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.85) toward Bear Floor ($19.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MACβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How MAC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$276.0M (27.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.01BGross Profit $527.3M (52%)Cost of Sales $486.7MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $527.3MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $884.1M
FY24
Rev $918.2M
FY25
Rev $1.01B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.01B52%-22.9%-$197.1M$276.0M-3.8%
FY 2024$918.2M52%-25.1%-$195.0M$242.1M-3.5%
FY 2023$884.1M52%-36.6%-$274.1M$255.7M-11.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.07%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $24.34H $24.81L $24.34C $24.74VOL 1.87M
RES: $29.03SUP: $20.32SMA50: $23.14SMA200: $22.35
$27.26$24.87$22.48$20.09$17.70RES $29.03SUP $20.32$24.742026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MAC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MAC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAC)

Financials Rank #409 of 1097 βš”οΈ STAG vs MAC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MAC vs. STAG, FR, ARE, VNO)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Macerich Company (MAC) ranks #409 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #228 by equity capitalization ($7.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VNO leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while VNO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. VNO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with MAC at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAC ACTIVE
Macerich Company
C- 59/100 β€” β€” -4.1% -0.28% $7.04B Benchmark Subject
STAG
Stag Industrial Inc.
C- 59/100 26.3x β€” 5.2% -0.29% $7.23B /stag-vs-mac β†’
FR
First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.
D+ 58/100 29.5x β€” 6.2% +0.18% $7.27B /fr-vs-mac β†’
ARE
Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” -6.5% -0.68% $7.41B /are-vs-mac β†’
VNO
Vornado Realty Trust
B- 70/100 7.0x β€” 10.3% -3.15% $6.53B /vno-vs-mac β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000912242 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Macerich Company (MAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.01B (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $918.2M , and +14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$197.1M, operating cash flow of $321.6M, and free cash flow of $276.0M (+14.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAC closed FY2025 with $8.37B in total assets against $2.63B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.01B -$197.1M $321.6M $276.0M $8.37B $2.63B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $918.2M -$195.0M $283.4M $242.1M $8.57B $2.58B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $884.1M -$274.1M $295.5M $255.7M $3.79B $887.2M

3. MAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Macerich Company (NYSE: MAC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $24.74 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $7.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MAC ranks #409 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAC compare to STAG and FR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), MAC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, STAG (Stag Industrial Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 26.3x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $7.23B) and FR (First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 29.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $7.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VNO leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while VNO leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAC?

Per MAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000912242), Macerich Company generated $1.01B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), -$197.1M in net income, and $276.0M in free cash flow against $8.37B in total assets and $2.63B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAC last traded at $24.74 (-0.28% on volume of 3,129,810 shares), positioning the stock +6.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.14) and +10.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.35). Across its 52-week range of $16.03 to $26.68, MAC sits at the 81.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.5% ($23.63 to $25.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: MAC RQD Cockpit MAC 12M Forecast MAC Earnings & Move MAC Dividends & DRIP MAC Insiders & 13F MAC Whale Options MAC Profit Sankey MAC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MAC β€” Macerich Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Macerich Company (MAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $24.74 (-0.28% 1D, market capitalization $7.04B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.1%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -23.7%, and free cash flow yield of 4.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Macerich Company (The), ticker MAC, is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Market capitalization is $6.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Macerich Company (MAC) reported $1.01B in annual revenue (up from $918.2M in FY2024, +10.4% YoY) and -$197.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($884.1M revenue, -$274.1M net income) through FY2025, MAC scaled operating cash flow to $321.6M and free cash flow to $276.0M, backed by $8.37B in total assets against $2.63B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 59/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 4.00% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.03 – $26.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -23.7% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), MAC carries a macro regime beta of 1.05 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can MAC sustain or expand its -23.7% operating margin and -4.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.01B and free cash flow of $276.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.63B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MAC's 26.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

MAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Macerich Company (MAC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $24.74?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $32.13 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow scores 15 of 20 and free cash flow was $276.0M in FY 2025 with a 4% FCF yield, indicating professional accumul

Long MAC at $24.34 targeting $32.13. Institutional whale flow scores 15 of 20 and free cash flow was $276.0M in FY 2025 with a 4% FCF yield, indicating professional accumulation and cash generation despite losses.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $16.03 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 26.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.93 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $24.34

Reported ROIC of -4.1%, negative trailing EPS of -0.7, and a net margin of -19.4% show the company is not yet earning returns, while de

Fading this rally in MAC at $24.34. Reported ROIC of -4.1%, negative trailing EPS of -0.7, and a net margin of -19.4% show the company is not yet earning returns, while debt rose from $887.2M to $2.63B between FY 2023 and FY 2025.. With a beta of 1.05 and the stock sitting at $24.34 (52-wk range $16.03–$26.68), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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