Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MGM / earnings

WYNN (54) CZR (56) WH (56) LTH (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

MGM Resorts International (MGM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$29.96 +3.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.11

MGM Resorts International (MGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.29B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MGM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+3.92% 1D, market cap $7.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MGM ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MGM carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, WYNN (Wynn Resorts Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $7.64B) and CZR (Caesars Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.3%, cap $5.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WYNN leads on earnings multiple (23.3x) while WH leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?

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Per MGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789570), MGM Resorts International generated $17.54B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $205.9M in net income, and $1.46B in free cash flow against $41.37B in total assets and $6.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.12 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MGM SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.3% FCF Margin ($1.46B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.1) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$29.40-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$28.90-3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$27.99+7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$29.96-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MGM currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.21) and Max Pain ($31.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $54.17.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MGM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$2.58 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MGM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $0.81 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.7%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$17.54B	$205.9M	$1.46B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$17.24B	$746.6M	$1.21B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$16.16B	$1.14B	$1.96B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGM)

✓Walkthrough of MGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MGM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.65%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $27.27H $29.96L $27.27C $29.96VOL 11.14M

RES: $29.50SUP: $26.48SMA50: $34.21SMA200: $38.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MGM Butterfly Map → + Track MGM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #659 of 1011 ⚔️ WYNN vs MGM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MGM vs. WYNN, CZR, WH, LTH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MGM Resorts International (MGM) ranks #659 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #212 by equity capitalization ($7.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WYNN leads on earnings valuation at 23.3x trailing P/E, while WH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CZR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with MGM at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MGM ACTIVE MGM Resorts International	D	45/100	35.4x	—	12.0%	+3.92%	$7.29B	Benchmark Subject
WYNN Wynn Resorts Limited	D+	54/100	23.3x	—	10.0%	+0.61%	$7.64B	/wynn-vs-mgm →
CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	10.3%	-0.14%	$5.94B	/czr-vs-mgm →
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	56/100	29.1x	—	16.2%	-2.25%	$5.61B	/wh-vs-mgm →
LTH Life Time Group Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	27.1x	47.6%	8.6%	-0.55%	$10.13B	/lth-vs-mgm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000789570

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MGM Resorts International (MGM) reported GAAP revenue of $17.54B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.24B , and +8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $205.9M, operating cash flow of $2.53B, and free cash flow of $1.46B (+20.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGM closed FY2025 with $41.37B in total assets against $6.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.71, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.54B	$205.9M	$2.53B	$1.46B	$41.37B	$6.23B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.24B	$746.6M	$2.36B	$1.21B	$42.23B	$6.36B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$16.16B	$1.14B	$2.69B	$1.96B	$19.40B	$4.54B

3. MGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MGM compare to WYNN and CZR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGM?

Where is MGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGM last traded at $29.96 (+3.92% on volume of 9,936,260 shares), positioning the stock -12.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.21) and -23.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.98). Across its 52-week range of $26.71 to $51.59, MGM sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($27.38 to $32.54).

MGM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MGM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MGM Resorts International (MGM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MGM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for MGM, spanning a range between $27.38 and $32.54.

Direct Sub-Reports: MGM RQD Cockpit MGM 12M Forecast MGM Earnings & Move MGM Dividends & DRIP MGM Insiders & 13F MGM Whale Options MGM Profit Sankey MGM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGM — MGM Resorts International: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MGM scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 12%; FCF yield 20.02%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.11; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20 (Altman Z 0.71; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 2.56).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a split picture. The cash-generation pillar and insider-flow pillar are the strongest components, reflecting a reported ROIC of 12% and a 20.02% FCF yield, plus insider and Congressional activity that the rating weights more favorably. The weakest pillars are macro regime fit and forensic balance sheet. A Beta of 1.11 implies above-market sensitivity to broad moves, and the forensic metrics (Altman Z 0.71, Debt/Equity 2.56) describe a leveraged balance sheet. The 20.02% FCF yield is an upside driver on paper, but it sits alongside a trailing P/E of 35.4 and a Forward P/E of 32.9, so the valuation tradeoff is that cash-flow yield and earnings multiple tell different stories. Institutional accumulation scoring only 6/20 suggests limited smart-money conviction. Overall, the rating frames MGM as a distribution-warning name where the investor should weigh the cash-generation strength against leverage and weak institutional support.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
28.83	$7.29B	35.4	32.9	6	0.81	0%	1.11	$26.71 - $51.59	12%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$17537.7M	$1001.8M	$205.9M	N/A	$1460.5M	$2063.0M	$6230.1M
FY 2024	$17240.5M	$1490.5M	$746.6M	N/A	$1211.9M	$2415.5M	$6362.1M
FY 2023	$16164.2M	$1891.5M	$1142.2M	N/A	$1963.4M	N/A	$4538.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $16164.2M (FY 2023) to $17537.7M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $1142.2M to $205.9M over the same span. Market data reports an operating margin of 5.7%, a net margin of 1.2%, and a gross margin of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.71 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 2.56. Reported debt rose from $4538.9M (FY 2023) to $6230.1M (FY 2025), while cash fell from $2415.5M (FY 2024) to $2063.0M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Diller deal collapse (RISK WATCH, RED): A Yahoo Finance headline reports MGM stock sinking after a deal collapse, framed as either overreaction or warning.
Price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $49.28, implying 61% upside.
Gaming sector weakness (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Las Vegas Review-Journal report describes MGM, Wynn, and betting firms hit hard as gaming stocks struggle.
Relative underperformance (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A MarketWatch report notes MGM underperformed competitors on a Friday.
Voting agreement amendment (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Reuters report states MGM amended a voting agreement after People Inc withdrew a takeover proposal.
Buyer walked away (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha analysis argues the buyer walked away rather than the business.

Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data for supply-chain links; the graph lists no links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What were the terms and reasons behind the collapsed deal, and what is the financial impact on MGM?
What drove the decline in net income from $1142.2M (FY 2023) to $205.9M (FY 2025) despite rising revenue?
What is the basis for the reported 20.02% FCF yield relative to the 35.4 trailing P/E?
Who holds the reported stake changes, and what is the timing of insider and Congressional trades?
What are MGM's debt maturities and refinancing terms given reported debt of $6230.1M and Altman Z of 0.71?

MGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MGM Resorts International (MGM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MGM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 10h ago

MGM Resorts Stock Sinks After Diller Deal Collapse: Overreaction or Warning?

Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 13h ago

MGM Resorts International Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $49.28, Implies 61% Upside

TradingView report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Las Vegas Review-Journal • 16h ago

Inside Gaming: MGM Resorts, Wynn and betting giants hit hard as gaming stocks struggle

Las Vegas Review-Journal report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketWatch • 19h ago

MGM Resorts International stock underperforms Friday when compared to competitors

MarketWatch report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Reuters • 22h ago

MGM Resorts amends voting agreement after People Inc withdraws takeover proposal

Reuters report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

MGM Resorts: The Buyer Walked Away, Not The Business (NYSE:MGM)

Seeking Alpha report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Hotel Dive • 1d ago

MGM Resorts amends deal with People Inc., shares Q3 results

Hotel Dive report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

MGM Resorts (MGM) Stock Sees Fair Value Cut After Mixed Analyst Target Changes

Yahoo Finance report covering MGM Resorts International (MGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.96?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGM 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.37 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MGM (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $28.83?

Welcome to the MGM (MGM Resorts International) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.06 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $28.83

Pump the brakes on MGM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MGM, but look at what you are paying: 35.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MGM Resorts International expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.02 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $28.83

MGM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MGM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.83 (52-wk range $26.71 - $51.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.