Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-03, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE: MGY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $25.05 (-5.47% 1D, market cap $7.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MGY ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MGY carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.2%. By comparison, VAL (Valaris Limited) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $7.31B) and SWX (Southwest Gas Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $6.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MGY leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).
Per MGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698990), Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation generated $1.31B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $325.3M in net income, and $819.6M in free cash flow against $2.90B in total assets and $393.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 62.5% FCF Margin ($819.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, MGY faces multiple-compression risk if 21.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.67) or 200D SMA ($27.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($26.97) toward Bear Floor ($20.54).
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) dropped -5.47% to $25.05, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($21.07 – $32.76). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.tokenpost.com report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) screens as a decent value stock, pairing a deep valuation discount with strong health, solid profitability and positive growth.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) ranks #13 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #72 by equity capitalization ($7.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with MGY at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY
ACTIVE
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | B | 75/100 | 21.6x | — | 21.2% | -5.47% | $7.10B | Benchmark Subject |
| VAL Valaris Limited | B | 73/100 | 7.2x | — | 10.3% | -10.09% | $7.31B | /val-vs-mgy → |
| SWX Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. | D | 50/100 | 15.3x | — | 5.5% | +0.70% | $6.74B | /swx-vs-mgy → |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | B+ | 77/100 | 9.8x | 94.3% | 12.1% | -8.41% | $7.53B | /mtdr-vs-mgy → |
| RIG Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) | C- | 59/100 | — | 39.3% | -17.3% | -10.23% | $7.75B | /rig-vs-mgy → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.31B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.32B , and +6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $325.3M, operating cash flow of $878.6M, and free cash flow of $819.6M (-4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGY closed FY2025 with $2.90B in total assets against $393.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.51, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.31B | $325.3M | $878.6M | $819.6M | $2.90B | $393.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.32B | $366.0M | $920.9M | $861.6M | $2.82B | $392.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.23B | $388.3M | $855.8M | $800.6M | $3.86B | $904.4M |
As of 2026-11-03, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE: MGY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $25.05 (-5.47% 1D, market cap $7.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MGY ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MGY carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.2%. By comparison, VAL (Valaris Limited) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $7.31B) and SWX (Southwest Gas Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $6.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MGY leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).
Per MGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698990), Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation generated $1.31B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $325.3M in net income, and $819.6M in free cash flow against $2.90B in total assets and $393.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MGY last traded at $25.05 (-5.47% on volume of 3,070,573 shares), positioning the stock -2.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.67) and -7.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.14). Across its 52-week range of $21.07 to $32.76, MGY sits at the 34.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($23.70 to $26.40).
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 75/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $25.05 (-5.47% 1D, market capitalization $7.10B).
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. It has a market capitalization of $7.0B.5% and 24.8%) indicate profitability but do not explain the mechanics behind them.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) reported $1.31B in annual revenue (up from $1.32B in FY2024, -0.3% YoY) and $325.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.23B revenue, $388.3M net income) through FY2025, MGY scaled operating cash flow to $878.6M and free cash flow to $819.6M, backed by $2.90B in total assets against $393.3M in total debt.
Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), MGY carries a macro regime beta of 0.91 and gross margin of —.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.tokenpost.com report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The street is overcomplicating Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY). Per the RQD rating, a 11.66% FCF yield, 21.2% ROIC, and 17/20 insider-conviction score point to strong cash generation and smart-money confidence.. With an RQD score of 75/100 (B) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $28.62.
@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 75/100 quality, though with 0.91 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $26.50 and keeping dry powder in case we test $24.64.
I respect the product at Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, but the stock at $26.50 is a different story. Net income fell from $388.3M in FY 2023 to $325.3M in FY 2025 and whale-flow scored only 11/20, indicating weakening earnings and limited institutional conviction.. FCF yield is 11.66% and RQD sits at 75/100 (B) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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