MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (40.8% gross margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-03, MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (NYSE: MSM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $119.62 (-1.16% 1D, market cap $6.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MSM ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MSM carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while MSM leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
Per MSM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0001003078), MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. generated $3.77B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), $199.3M in net income, and $240.9M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $496.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($240.9M FCF) & 40.8% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, MSM faces multiple-compression risk if 34.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($123.38) or 200D SMA ($109.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($128.77) toward Bear Floor ($98.09).
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) slipped -1.16% to $119.62, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($78.8 – $133.95). High-quality cash engine (40.8% gross margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barchart.com report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Whether you see them or not, industrials businesses play a crucial part in our daily activities. Unfortunately, this role also comes with a demand profile tethered to the ebbs and flows of the broader economy, and invest
Whether MSC can sustain margin gains hinges on execution of pricing discipline and cost controls, not just operational restructuring.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #123 by equity capitalization ($6.76B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while MSM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 40.8% gross margin. MSM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM
ACTIVE
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. | B | 75/100 | 34.4x | 40.8% | 13.2% | -1.16% | $6.76B | Benchmark Subject |
| ZWS Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 37.3x | 45.1% | 12.3% | -0.29% | $7.40B | /zws-vs-msm → |
| RAL Ralliant Corporation | D | 49/100 | — | 50.3% | -35.0% | -1.34% | $7.44B | /ral-vs-msm → |
| GTES Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. | D+ | 57/100 | 26.4x | 39.8% | 7.8% | +0.76% | $6.03B | /gtes-vs-msm → |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 10.4x | 25.5% | 8.2% | +2.26% | $7.65B | /agco-vs-msm → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30), MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) reported GAAP revenue of $3.77B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.82B , and -6.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $199.3M, operating cash flow of $333.7M, and free cash flow of $240.9M (-22.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSM closed FY2025 with $2.49B in total assets against $496.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.14, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-30 | $3.77B | $199.3M | $333.7M | $240.9M | $2.49B | $496.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $3.82B | $258.6M | $410.7M | $311.3M | $2.47B | $490.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-02 | $4.01B | $343.2M | $699.6M | $519.2M | $4.81B | $1.13B |
As of 2026-11-03, MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (NYSE: MSM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $119.62 (-1.16% 1D, market cap $6.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MSM ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MSM carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while MSM leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
Per MSM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-30, CIK 0001003078), MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. generated $3.77B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), $199.3M in net income, and $240.9M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $496.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MSM last traded at $119.62 (-1.16% on volume of 707,039 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($123.38) and +8.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($109.95). Across its 52-week range of $78.80 to $133.95, MSM sits at the 74.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($112.20 to $127.04).
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 75/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $119.62 (-1.16% 1D, market capitalization $6.76B).
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company as an industrial distributor with a $6.9B market capitalization. Gross margin is 40.8%, operating margin 8%, and net margin 5.3%, per the market data.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-30), MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) reported $3.77B in annual revenue (up from $3.82B in FY2024, -1.3% YoY) and $199.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.01B revenue, $343.2M net income) through FY2025, MSM scaled operating cash flow to $333.7M and free cash flow to $240.9M, backed by $2.49B in total assets against $496.9M in total debt.
Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification are — Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means 2nd-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from these sources.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barchart.com report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc. (MSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Picked up a starter position in MSM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $121.02. Forensic balance sheet is strong (Altman Z 6.14, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.34) with ROIC of 13.2%, supporting a Roarable Buy grade of 75.. Trading inside a $78.80–$133.95 52-week range with 3.51% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.
Both sides have a point here — MSM's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Fading this rally in MSM at $121.02. Revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF have all declined across FY 2023–FY 2025 while the stock trades at 34.4x TTM earnings and 19.2x EV/EBITDA.. With a beta of 1.05 and the stock sitting at $121.02 (52-wk range $78.80–$133.95), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.
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