Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MTG Stock advanced +1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE: MTG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $28.94 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $5.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MTG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MTG compare to SIGI and RLI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), MTG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, SIGI (Selective Insurance Group Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $5.83B) and RLI (RLI Corp.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 13.5%, cap $5.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while MCY leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTG?
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Per MTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876437), MGIC Investment Corporation generated $1.21B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $738.3M in net income, and $851.8M in free cash flow against $6.64B in total assets and $671.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 70.2% FCF Margin ($851.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, MTG faces multiple-compression risk if 8.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.89) or 200D SMA ($27.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.76) toward Bear Floor ($23.73).
Why MTG Stock advanced +1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) advanced +1.87% to $28.94, trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($24.69 – $31.89). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($24.69 – $31.89) with RSI-14 at 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $28.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $851.8M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Goosehead (GSHD) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
MGIC (MTG) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MTG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
MTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTG)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MTG vs. SIGI, RLI, MCY, ESNT)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #249 by equity capitalization ($5.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTG leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while MCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RLI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with MTG at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTG
ACTIVE
MGIC Investment Corporation | B | 72/100 | 8.0x | — | 13.2% | +1.87% | $5.83B | Benchmark Subject |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc. | B | 74/100 | 12.6x | — | 6.8% | +1.95% | $5.83B | /sigi-vs-mtg → |
| RLI RLI Corp. | B+ | 80/100 | 14.7x | — | 13.5% | +3.08% | $5.98B | /rli-vs-mtg → |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | B | 72/100 | 10.5x | — | 22.4% | +1.28% | $5.67B | /mcy-vs-mtg → |
| ESNT Essent Group Ltd. | B+ | 77/100 | 8.8x | — | 11.9% | +1.82% | $6.02B | /esnt-vs-mtg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000876437 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.21B , and +5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $738.3M, operating cash flow of $852.8M, and free cash flow of $851.8M (+17.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTG closed FY2025 with $6.64B in total assets against $671.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.21B | $738.3M | $852.8M | $851.8M | $6.64B | $671.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.21B | $763.0M | $725.0M | $723.9M | $6.55B | $618.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.16B | $712.9M | $713.0M | $661.0M | $3.25B | $761.6M |
3. MTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE: MTG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $28.94 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $5.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MTG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MTG compare to SIGI and RLI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), MTG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, SIGI (Selective Insurance Group Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $5.83B) and RLI (RLI Corp.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.7x, ROIC 13.5%, cap $5.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while MCY leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTG?
Per MTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876437), MGIC Investment Corporation generated $1.21B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $738.3M in net income, and $851.8M in free cash flow against $6.64B in total assets and $671.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MTG last traded at $28.94 (+1.87% on volume of 2,096,626 shares), positioning the stock +0.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.89) and +4.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.78). Across its 52-week range of $24.69 to $31.89, MTG sits at the 59.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($27.52 to $30.36).
MTG — MGIC Investment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $28.94 (+1.87% 1D, market capitalization $5.83B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 74.2%, and free cash flow yield of 14.39%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
MGIC Investment Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Property-Casualty Insurers industry, and profile. The profile describes the company as a Financials issuer operating in Property-Casualty Insurers with a market capitalization of $5.9B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) reported $1.21B in annual revenue (up from $1.21B in FY2024, +0.5% YoY) and $738.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.16B revenue, $712.9M net income) through FY2025, MTG scaled operating cash flow to $852.8M and free cash flow to $851.8M, backed by $6.64B in total assets against $671.4M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.69 – $31.89 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 8.0x trailing P/E and 6.8x EV/EBITDA against 74.2% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector-level context is that the issuer sits in Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers,.
- Key Question #1: Can MTG sustain or expand its 74.2% operating margin and 13.2% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.21B and free cash flow of $851.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $671.4M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is MTG's 7.4x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?
MTG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MTG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $28.94?
Per the RQD rating, the stock trades at a P/E of 8 with an FCF yield of 14.39% and ROIC of 13.2%, with insider conviction scored 18/20.
Don't sleep on MTG's setup in Financials. Per the RQD rating, the stock trades at a P/E of 8 with an FCF yield of 14.39% and ROIC of 13.2%, with insider conviction scored 18/20.. Beta of 1.14 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (72/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 72/100 quality, though with 1.14 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $28.41 and keeping dry powder in case we test $26.42.
Per the news feed, a price target was cut to $30.33 and a headline flags 80% margins on falling revenue, while the beta of 1.14 implies
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MTG: Per the news feed, a price target was cut to $30.33 and a headline flags 80% margins on falling revenue, while the beta of 1.14 implies above-market volatility.. At 8.0x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Property-Casualty Insurers triggers a 12-15% air pocket.