Yahoo Finance report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MTH Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is MTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE: MTH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $64.47 (-0.03% 1D, market cap $4.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MTH ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does MTH compare to SKY and GEO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), MTH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, SKY (Champion Homes Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 20.8%, cap $4.60B) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTH?
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Per MTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000833079), Meritage Homes Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $453.0M in net income, and $92.6M in free cash flow against $7.62B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.70 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.4) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, MTH faces multiple-compression risk if 9.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($63.80) or 200D SMA ($68.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.76) toward Bear Floor ($50.51).
Why MTH Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) slipped -0.03% to $64.47, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($56.66 – $85.38). Solid steady margins (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($56.66 – $85.38) with RSI-14 at 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $64.47 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $92.6M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Meritage Homes has delivered a 26.7% gain over the past five years, while more recent returns have been far more muted. This puts fresh focus on whether the current US$64.49 share price is still in line with what its ear
Not all profitable companies are built to last - some rely on outdated models or unsustainable advantages. Just because a business is in the green today doesn’t mean it will thrive tomorrow.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MTH Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
MTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTH)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MTH vs. SKY, GEO, CVCO, ECG)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #300 by equity capitalization ($4.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while ECG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.4% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SKY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with MTH at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTH
ACTIVE
Meritage Homes Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 9.3x | — | 8.0% | -0.03% | $4.20B | Benchmark Subject |
| SKY Champion Homes Inc. | B | 72/100 | 21.3x | 26.4% | 20.8% | +4.50% | $4.60B | /sky-vs-mth → |
| GEO Geo Group Inc | D | 48/100 | 14.8x | — | 6.6% | -0.07% | $3.75B | /geo-vs-mth → |
| CVCO Cavco Industries Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 22.0x | 23.5% | 17.6% | +13.11% | $4.76B | /cvco-vs-mth → |
| ECG Everus Construction Group Inc. | D | 48/100 | 27.3x | 12.1% | 30.4% | -5.03% | $5.24B | /ecg-vs-mth → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000833079In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $453.0M, operating cash flow of $118.3M, and free cash flow of $92.6M (+136.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTH closed FY2025 with $7.62B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.70, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $453.0M | $118.3M | $92.6M | $7.62B | $1.09B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $786.2M | -$227.6M | -$256.2M | $7.16B | $909.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $738.7M | $355.6M | $355.6M | $2.31B | $540.9M |
3. MTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE: MTH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $64.47 (-0.03% 1D, market cap $4.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MTH ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MTH compare to SKY and GEO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), MTH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, SKY (Champion Homes Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 20.8%, cap $4.60B) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTH?
Per MTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000833079), Meritage Homes Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $453.0M in net income, and $92.6M in free cash flow against $7.62B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MTH last traded at $64.47 (-0.03% on volume of 1,330,698 shares), positioning the stock +1.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($63.80) and -6.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($68.72). Across its 52-week range of $56.66 to $85.38, MTH sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($59.70 to $69.24).
MTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MTH stock moving today?
Why MTH Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
MTH — Meritage Homes Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, MTH scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 8% and an FCF yield of 2.2%. For a prospective investor, these are modest return and cash-generation figures; the pillar score signals that the business earns its capital at a moderate rate rather than a high one.
- Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. The RQD rating scores institutional accumulation and options positioning at the midpoint. No underlying 13F detail is provided in the holders section, so the score cannot be traced to specific filings.
- Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow per the RQD rating. A higher score here suggests insider activity leans constructive, though the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.05 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. For an investor, this implies the stock tends to move roughly in line with the broader market, with the score indicating limited tailwind from the current macro regime.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.7, Piotroski F is 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.2. This is the second-strongest pillar and points to a financially sound balance sheet, which lowers distress risk even where growth returns are modest.
Taken together, the rating frames MTH as a financially stable homebuilder with constructive insider signals, held back by thin cash yield, moderate capital returns, and limited macro tailwind. Valuation multiples in the market data (P/E of 9.3 TTM, EV/EBITDA of 7.7) are low, which can represent upside if earnings hold, but the lower RQD cash and macro pillars suggest that the discount is not without tradeoffs. This is an educational summary of the scoring, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $534.6M | $453.0M | N/A | $92.6M | $775.2M | $1092.0M |
| FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31) | $0.0M | $927.7M | $786.2M | N/A | $-256.2M | $651.6M | $909.5M |
| FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31) | $0.0M | $871.7M | $738.7M | N/A | $355.6M | N/A | $540.9M |
Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025, while debt rose from $909.5M to $1092.0M. Per the market data, operating margin is 47%, net margin is 38.5%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.7 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.2. Revenue figures are reported as $0.0M in every period, and EPS is N/A, so top-line and per-share trends cannot be assessed from the source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Earnings release (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Q3 earnings report reports adjusted EPS of $1.11 per share against a FactSet estimate of $1.16 per share, per the MarketScreener item.
- Earnings call coverage (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item covers management commentary from the Q3 earnings call.
- Valuation commentary (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha item characterizes the stock as cheaper on book value than any year-end in a decade.
- Price target cut (RISK WATCH, RED): A TradingView item reports a 12-month price target cut to $76.44, implying 22% upside, per the item headline.
- Revenue decline (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Stock Titan item reports revenue from completed home sales fell 17% to $1.2 billion.
- Forecasts (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo! Finance Canada forecast item is listed without detail.
The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no links and no proprietary signals (supply chain: NONE).
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Per the analyst data, no analyst consensus, ratings, or price targets are provided (NONE). The only price-target reference comes from a TradingView news item citing a cut to $76.44. Per the holders data, no institutional 13F, insider Form 4, or Congressional trade detail is provided (NONE). The RQD rating's insider and whale pillars score 16 and 10 respectively, but the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data. Not available in source data for individual trade records.
Open Questions
- What are the reported revenue figures? Every period shows $0.0M, so the top-line trend and the reconciliation to the cited 17% decline in completed home sales revenue are unresolved.
- Why is EPS listed as N/A for all reported periods, and how does that square with the trailing EPS of 6.95?
- Who are the specific insiders and institutions behind the insider-conviction and whale-flow scores?
- What supply-chain, customer, or sector dependencies drive exposure, given that the butterfly graph is empty?
- What is the basis for the cash balance missing in FY 2023 and the 0% gross margin reported alongside a 47% operating margin?
MTH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MTH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $64.47?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MTH (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $64.49?
Welcome to the MTH (Meritage Homes Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on MTH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MTH, but look at what you are paying: 9.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Meritage Homes Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MTH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MTH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $64.49 (52-wk range $56.66 - $85.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.