Stock Titan report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MTR Stock surged +6.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Mesa Royalty Trust (NYSE: MTR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (+6.84% 1D, market cap $3.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MTR ranks #148 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MTR compare to GBR and TPET in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MTR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GBR (New Concept Energy Inc) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $4.6M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTR?
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For Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #148 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where to Enter $MTR, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($99.1K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTR Turnaround Squeeze
While MTR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.25) and Max Pain ($2.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.12.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MTR Stock surged +6.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) surged +6.84% to $2.03, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.85 – $5.83). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.85 – $5.83) with RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $99143 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sure Dividend report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HOUSTON, October 20, 2026--Mesa Royalty Trust (the "Trust") (NYSE symbol-MTR) announced today that there will be no distribution paid for the month of October 2026, as costs, charges and expenses attributable to the Trus
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTR)
- ✓Walkthrough of MTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTR)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (MTR vs. GBR, TPET, BRN, EONR)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) ranks #148 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #211 by equity capitalization ($3.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTR
ACTIVE
Mesa Royalty Trust | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +6.84% | $3.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| GBR New Concept Energy Inc | D | 44/100 | — | — | -5.1% | -3.18% | $4.6M | /gbr-vs-mtr → |
| TPET Trio Petroleum Corp. | D- | 36/100 | — | 55.9% | -34.2% | +0.59% | $9.0M | /tpet-vs-mtr → |
| BRN Barnwell Industries Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | — | 0.5% | -1.24% | $12.9M | /brn-vs-mtr → |
| EONR EON Resources Inc. (Class A) | E | 27/100 | — | — | -14.8% | -12.40% | $16.9M | /eonr-vs-mtr → |
2. MTR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTMesa Royalty Trust (MTR) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $3.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. MTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Mesa Royalty Trust (NYSE: MTR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $2.03 (+6.84% 1D, market cap $3.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MTR ranks #148 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MTR compare to GBR and TPET in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), MTR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GBR (New Concept Energy Inc) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $4.6M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTR?
For Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #148 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MTR last traded at $2.03 (+6.84% on volume of 13,446 shares), positioning the stock -9.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.25) and -44.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.64). Across its 52-week range of $1.85 to $5.83, MTR sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.78 to $2.28).
MTR — Mesa Royalty Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.03 (+6.84% 1D, market capitalization $3.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile describes the issuer as an Energy company with a market capitalization of $0.0B.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.85 – $5.83 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are recorded. The graph lists the sector as Energy and the industry as Oil & Gas Production but provides no links.
- Key Question #1: Can MTR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $5.83 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is MTR's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
MTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stock Titan report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sure Dividend report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.03?
The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating a comparatively st
Long MTR at $1.95 targeting $2.34. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.5, indicating a comparatively steadier balance sheet than the other pillars.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.85 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Whale 13F Flow scores just 3/20 and the trust reports 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield alongside a news flow citing no October 2026 distributio
I respect the product at Mesa Royalty Trust, but the stock at $1.95 is a different story. Whale 13F Flow scores just 3/20 and the trust reports 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield alongside a news flow citing no October 2026 distribution.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 47/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?