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Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$23.58 +2.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.64

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $830.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Manitowoc Company Inc. (NYSE: MTW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $23.58 (+2.39% 1D, market cap $830.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MTW ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTW compare to ASTE and PLOW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MTW carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 119.2x, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $911.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTW?
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Per MTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000061986), Manitowoc Company Inc. generated $2.24B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.64 (+0.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$26 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE MTW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MTW SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$22.55-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$22.22+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$22.51+4.8% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$23.58-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MTW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MTW currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.71) and Max Pain ($24.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MTW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MTW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $23.58: 424.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $17.40
$7,379
$-2,621 (-26.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $22.31
$9,461
$-539 (-5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $26.33
$11,166
+$1,166 (+11.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MTW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MTW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +83.50%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $23.80H $23.80L $23.03C $23.58VOL 351.6K
RES: $25.48SUP: $22.27SMA50: $21.71SMA200: $15.65
$24.89$21.20$17.51$13.82$10.14RES $25.48SUP $22.27$23.582026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTW)

Industrials Rank #269 of 486 ⚔️ ASTE vs MTW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTW vs. ASTE, PLOW, HY, WNC)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) ranks #269 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #266 by equity capitalization ($830.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PLOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MTW at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTW ACTIVE
Manitowoc Company Inc.
D 46/100 119.2x 18.1% 6.9% +2.39% $830.5M Benchmark Subject
ASTE
Astec Industries Inc.
D 48/100 23.7x 26.5% 5.6% +2.09% $904.2M /aste-vs-mtw →
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics Inc.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 26.6% 20.7% +0.96% $911.3M /plow-vs-mtw →
HY
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — 16.8% -3.7% +2.25% $510.8M /hy-vs-mtw →
WNC
Wabash National Corporation
D 49/100 — — 31.2% -0.08% $478.3M /wnc-vs-mtw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000061986 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.24B (+2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.18B , and +0.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $22.2M, and free cash flow of -$15.3M (-537.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTW closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.24B $7.2M $22.2M -$15.3M $1.82B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.18B $55.8M $49.2M $3.5M $1.66B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.23B $39.2M $63.0M $63.0M — —

3. MTW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Manitowoc Company Inc. (NYSE: MTW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $23.58 (+2.39% 1D, market cap $830.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, MTW ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTW compare to ASTE and PLOW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), MTW carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 119.2x, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $904.2M) and PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $911.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTW?

Per MTW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000061986), Manitowoc Company Inc. generated $2.24B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTW last traded at $23.58 (+2.39% on volume of 473,416 shares), positioning the stock +8.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.71) and +50.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.65). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $24.00, MTW sits at the 97.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($21.50 to $25.66).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MTW — Manitowoc Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $23.58 (+2.39% 1D, market capitalization $830.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of 18.1%, operating margin of 2.4%, and free cash flow yield of -1.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) is a NYSE-listed company in the Industrials sector, Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks industry..9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) reported $2.24B in annual revenue (up from $2.18B in FY2024, +2.9% YoY) and $7.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.23B revenue, $39.2M net income) through FY2025, MTW scaled operating cash flow to $22.2M and free cash flow to -$15.3M, backed by $1.82B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -1.78% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.93 – $24.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 119.2x trailing P/E and 9.1x EV/EBITDA against 2.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — Investors should note that the absence of recorded links means the source data cannot establish second-order dependencies; any assessment of such ripples would require information outside this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can MTW sustain or expand its 2.4% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.24B and free cash flow of -$15.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MTW's 110.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MTW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MTW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $23.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MTW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.56 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, alongside a 2.5 Altman Z-Score.

Here is why I am bullish on MTW here at $23.03: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, alongside a 2.5 Altman Z-Score.. Compare MTW's 2.4% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against the rest of Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $21.88 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MTW's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.96 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $23.03

Free cash flow turned negative to -$15.3M in FY 2025 and FCF yield is -1.78% against a P/E of 119.2 TTM.

Careful chasing MTW at $23.03. Free cash flow turned negative to -$15.3M in FY 2025 and FCF yield is -1.78% against a P/E of 119.2 TTM.. Gross margin is 18.1%, but operating margin is 2.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $17.96 on multiple compression.

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