Should I buy, hold, or sell GENC stock right now?

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 16x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GENC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GENC's 12-month base price target is $16.93 (range $13.21 to $21.2), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GENC

CMCO (26) WNC (49) HY (37) MTW (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.16 +0.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.14

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $250.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GENC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Gencor Industries Inc. (NYSE: GENC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $17.16 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $250.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GENC ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GENC compare to CMCO and WNC in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), GENC carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 27.5%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $432.1M) and WNC (Wabash National Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 31.2%, cap $478.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GENC leads on earnings multiple (16.2x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GENC?

▼

Per GENC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000064472), Gencor Industries Inc. generated $115.4M in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $15.7M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $228.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.14 (-0.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 2.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GENC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GENC SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 14.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 62% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 12.1% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$18.20-3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$17.64-2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.22-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.16-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GENC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, GENC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.77) or 200D SMA ($15.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.93) toward Bear Floor ($13.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GENC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GENC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

14.16>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE62% OF RANGE

L: $12$17.16H: $20

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GENC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

6.2% ROIC with 27.5% gross margin and 1.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 14.16 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (53)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GENC

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GENC)

✓Walkthrough of GENC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GENC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $17.36H $17.36L $17.10C $17.16VOL 24.1K

RES: $20.85SUP: $14.37SMA50: $17.77SMA200: $15.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GENC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GENC Butterfly Map → + Track GENC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GENC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GENC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GENC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GENC)

Industrials Rank #180 of 486 ⚔️ CMCO vs GENC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GENC vs. CMCO, WNC, HY, MTW)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #338 by equity capitalization ($250.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GENC leads on earnings valuation at 16.2x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. GENC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GENC ACTIVE Gencor Industries Inc.	D+	55/100	16.2x	27.5%	6.2%	+0.35%	$250.6M	Benchmark Subject
CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation	E	26/100	—	30.1%	-10.6%	+5.28%	$432.1M	/cmco-vs-genc →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	31.2%	-0.08%	$478.3M	/wnc-vs-genc →
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	+2.25%	$510.8M	/hy-vs-genc →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D	46/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.39%	$830.5M	/mtw-vs-genc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000064472 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) reported GAAP revenue of $115.4M (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $113.2M , and +207.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.7M, operating cash flow of $3.1M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (-67.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GENC closed FY2025 with $228.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 14.16, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$115.4M	$15.7M	$3.1M	$3.1M	$228.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$113.2M	$14.6M	$9.3M	$9.3M	$218.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$37.6M	$14.7M	$10.2M	$10.2M	—	—

3. GENC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GENC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GENC compare to CMCO and WNC in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GENC?

Where is GENC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GENC last traded at $17.16 (+0.35% on volume of 34,561 shares), positioning the stock -3.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.77) and +8.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.79). Across its 52-week range of $12.22 to $20.19, GENC sits at the 62.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($16.11 to $18.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: GENC RQD Cockpit GENC 12M Forecast GENC Earnings & Move GENC Dividends & DRIP GENC Insiders & 13F GENC Whale Options GENC Profit Sankey GENC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GENC — Gencor Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.16 (+0.35% 1D, market capitalization $250.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of 27.5%, operating margin of 12.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.21%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 14.16, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gencor Industries Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks industry (and profile). The profile identifies it as a NYSE-listed Industrials issuer with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) reported $115.4M in annual revenue (up from $113.2M in FY2024, +2.0% YoY) and $15.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($37.6M revenue, $14.7M net income) through FY2025, GENC scaled operating cash flow to $3.1M and free cash flow to $3.1M, backed by $228.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.21% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.22 – $20.19 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.2x trailing P/E and 15.5x EV/EBITDA against 12.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — Sector and industry classification (Industrials; Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks) are the only available context.

Key Question #1: Can GENC sustain or expand its 12.1% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $115.4M and free cash flow of $3.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GENC's 15.1x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GENC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GENC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Price-Driven Insight from (GENC) for Rule-Based Strategy

Stock Traders Daily report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Gencor Industries stock: Backlog surges as reporting risks persist

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Gencor (GENC) Stock Today: Drops -1.01% — Critical Support Levels 2026-10-15 - IV Percentile

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

Most Active Stocks Today: U.S. Market

TradingKey report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

GreenPower Motor Company (GP) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Stock Titan report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Responsive Playbooks and the GENC Inflection

Stock Traders Daily report covering Gencor Industries Inc. (GENC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GENC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GENC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.89 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 14.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 6 of 9, anchoring the stock's financial

Picked up a starter position in GENC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $17.10. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 14.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 6 of 9, anchoring the stock's financial stability.. Trading inside a $12.22–$20.19 52-week range with 1.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 55/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $17.10 and keeping dry powder in case we test $15.90.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.00 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $17.10

A 1.21% FCF yield and FCF falling from $9.3M to $3.1M leave the price with little cash-based support.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on GENC: A 1.21% FCF yield and FCF falling from $9.3M to $3.1M leave the price with little cash-based support.. At 16.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks triggers a 12-15% air pocket.