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Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.47 +2.49% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.48

Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $94.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: MX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.47 (+2.49% 1D, market cap $94.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MX ranks #627 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MX compare to GCTS and ATOM in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MX carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.6%, and ROIC of -15.0%. By comparison, GCTS (GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $93.8M) and ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MX leads on capital efficiency (-15.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MX?
β–Ό

Per MX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001325702), Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation generated $178.9M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$29.7M in net income, and -$54.2M in free cash flow against $351.5M in total assets and $44.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.48 (+0.26%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MX SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.06 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 4% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$2.67-3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$2.59+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$2.63-6.1% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$2.47-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MX currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.98) and Max Pain ($2.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.35.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MXβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MX.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.46%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $2.41H $2.47L $2.41C $2.47VOL 545.2K
RES: $4.50SUP: $2.28SMA50: $2.98SMA200: $3.65
$10.39$8.21$6.02$3.84$1.66RES $4.50SUP $2.28$2.472026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ MX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track MX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MX)

Technology Rank #627 of 715 βš”οΈ GCTS vs MX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MX vs. GCTS, ATOM, TYGO, ALMU)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) ranks #627 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #520 by equity capitalization ($94.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.0% ROIC and 17.6% gross margin. TYGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with MX at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MX ACTIVE
Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation
E 28/100 β€” 17.6% -15.0% +2.49% $94.0M Benchmark Subject
GCTS
GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.
E 25/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -8.93% $93.8M /gcts-vs-mx β†’
ATOM
Atomera Incorporated
E 28/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.73% $126.0M /atom-vs-mx β†’
TYGO
Tigo Energy Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” 0.0% -17.8% -0.71% $67.3M /tygo-vs-mx β†’
ALMU
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M /almu-vs-mx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001325702 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) reported GAAP revenue of $178.9M (-8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $196.4M , and -22.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$29.7M, operating cash flow of -$24.2M, and free cash flow of -$54.2M (-205.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MX closed FY2025 with $351.5M in total assets against $44.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.06, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $178.9M -$29.7M -$24.2M -$54.2M $351.5M $44.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $196.4M -$54.3M -$6.1M -$17.7M $379.3M $27.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $230.1M -$36.6M -$3.0M -$3.0M β€” β€”

3. MX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: MX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.47 (+2.49% 1D, market cap $94.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, MX ranks #627 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MX compare to GCTS and ATOM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MX carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.6%, and ROIC of -15.0%. By comparison, GCTS (GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $93.8M) and ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $126.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MX leads on capital efficiency (-15.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MX?

Per MX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001325702), Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation generated $178.9M in revenue (-8.9% YoY), -$29.7M in net income, and -$54.2M in free cash flow against $351.5M in total assets and $44.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MX last traded at $2.47 (+2.49% on volume of 545,172 shares), positioning the stock -17.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.98) and -32.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.65). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $9.86, MX sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.9% ($2.20 to $2.74).

Direct Sub-Reports: MX RQD Cockpit MX 12M Forecast MX Earnings & Move MX Dividends & DRIP MX Insiders & 13F MX Whale Options MX Profit Sankey MX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MX β€” Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.47 (+2.49% 1D, market capitalization $94.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -15.0%, gross margin of 17.6%, operating margin of -20.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.06, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.18x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Semiconductors industry. The profile identifies the company as having a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) reported $178.9M in annual revenue (up from $196.4M in FY2024, -8.9% YoY) and -$29.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($230.1M revenue, -$36.6M net income) through FY2025, MX scaled operating cash flow to -$24.2M and free cash flow to -$54.2M, backed by $351.5M in total assets against $44.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.18 – $9.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -20.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is β€” Sector correlation data beyond the Technology/Semiconductors classification and Beta of 1.0 is β€” Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can MX sustain or expand its -20.0% operating margin and -15.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $178.9M and free cash flow of -$54.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $44.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MX's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation (MX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.47?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.89 (+19.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.18, indicating leverage that is not stretched relative to the n

Long MX at $2.41 targeting $2.89. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 10 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.18, indicating leverage that is not stretched relative to the negative cash flow.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.18 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (17.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.98 (-17.8%)
Spot @ $2.41

Per the SEC financials, FCF of -$54.2M in FY 2025 and an operating margin of -20% show the business is consuming cash rather than gener

Fading this rally in MX at $2.41. Per the SEC financials, FCF of -$54.2M in FY 2025 and an operating margin of -20% show the business is consuming cash rather than generating it.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.41 (52-wk range $2.18–$9.86), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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