The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$109.74 +0.57% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $109.64

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.99B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $109.74 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?
β–Ό

Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $109.64 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 10.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$185 Bull$113 Base$88 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MZTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MZTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MZTI SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($203.5M FCF) & 23.9% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$100.95+5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$106.01+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$107.81+1.8% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$109.74+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (57) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MZTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MZTI faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 21.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($104.93) or 200D SMA ($124.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($113.20) toward Bear Floor ($88.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MZTIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMZTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MZTI)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MZTI.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MZTI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MZTI
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MZTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.58%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $109.1H $109.7L $109.1C $109.7VOL 391.6K
RES: $125.0SUP: $94.64SMA50: $104.9SMA200: $124.1
$168.9$149.4$129.9$110.4$90.95RES $125.0SUP $94.64$109.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MZTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MZTI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MZTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MZTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MZTI)

Consumer Staples Rank #30 of 146 βš”οΈ FRPT vs MZTI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MZTI vs. FRPT, POST, UTZ, NOMD)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marzetti Company (MZTI) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #49 by equity capitalization ($2.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POST leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with MZTI at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MZTI ACTIVE
The Marzetti Company
C 65/100 17.8x 23.9% 20.9% +0.57% $2.99B Benchmark Subject
FRPT
Freshpet Inc.
B- 71/100 22.8x 40.8% 6.4% +2.09% $3.24B /frpt-vs-mzti β†’
POST
Post Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 10.7x 28.7% 5.9% +1.92% $3.66B /post-vs-mzti β†’
UTZ
Utz Brands Inc (Class A)
D+ 55/100 β€” 24.9% 1.1% -0.07% $2.05B /utz-vs-mzti β†’
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
C- 61/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.01% $1.71B /nomd-vs-mzti β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000057515

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marzetti Company (MZTI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.87B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.3M, operating cash flow of $261.5M, and free cash flow of $203.5M (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MZTI closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $1.91B $167.3M $261.5M $203.5M $1.33B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.87B $158.6M $251.6M $184.0M $1.24B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.82B $111.3M $225.9M $225.9M β€” β€”

3. MZTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $109.74 (+0.57% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?

Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MZTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MZTI last traded at $109.74 (+0.57% on volume of 391,560 shares), positioning the stock +4.58% above its 50-day simple moving average ($104.93) and -11.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($124.10). Across its 52-week range of $97.00 to $176.26, MZTI sits at the 16.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.3% ($103.92 to $115.56).

MZTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MZTI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MZTI.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 65/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MZTI β€” The Marzetti Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MZTI scores 65 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Supported by ROIC of 20.9% and an FCF yield of 6.83%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business generates meaningful returns on capital relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. A below-midpoint score indicates institutional conviction is present but not strongly skewed toward accumulation.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a relatively supportive pillar, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A midpoint score implies market-matched volatility with no strong defensive or cyclical tilt identified in the source.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Reflects Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This indicates a balance sheet that is reasonably sound but not exceptionally strong.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a balanced setup: cash-generation and insider signals are supportive, while institutional flow and macro fit are only moderate. Valuation (P/E TTM of 17.8, EV/EBITDA of 10.3) sits in a middle range against the 52-week span of $97 to $176.26, with the current price of 109.12 near the lower portion of that range. Upside drivers would center on sustained cash-flow conversion and institutional accumulation; the main valuation tradeoff is that a 20.9% ROIC is offset by a Beta of 1.0 and a moderate rating on flow and macro alignment. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
109.12$2.98B17.816.610.36.133.48%1.0$97 - $176.2620.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1909.1M$220.3M$167.3MN/A$203.5M$201.6MN/A
FY 2024$1871.8M$199.4M$158.6MN/A$184.0M$203.1MN/A
FY 2023$1822.5M$141.5M$111.3MN/A$225.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1822.5M in FY 2023 to $1909.1M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $111.3M to $167.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.9%, operating margin 11.5%, and net margin 8.8%, with ROIC of 20.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt figures are Not available in source data for any reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines are:

  • Yahoo Finance coverage on the company's dividend yield and its dependence on factors beyond dividend history (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Yahoo Finance coverage previewing earnings expectations (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Investing.com reporting a StoneX price target maintained at $160 (YELLOW, Market Wire).
  • Stock Titan reporting leadership appointments across retail sales, brands, and customer strategy (RED, Risk Watch).
  • FinancialContent listing MZTI among Russell 2000 stocks that "fall short" (RED, Risk Watch).
  • StockStory discussing MZTI as a value stock with solid fundamentals (YELLOW, Market Wire).

The feed carries two RED Risk Watch items, both tied to the executive reshuffle and a Russell 2000 underperformance framing, and four YELLOW Market Wire items. The proprietary signals list in the Butterfly graph is empty, so no supply-chain-linked signal is available.

Open Questions

  • What are the debt and EPS figures for each reported period, given that these fields are N/A or absent in the SEC financials?
  • What drove the RED Risk Watch classification on the executive appointments and Russell 2000 underperformance headlines?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and dispersion of price targets beyond the single StoneX reference?
  • Which specific Form 4 insider trades and 13F institutional positions make up the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillars?
  • What are the upstream input and downstream customer dependencies that would define any second-order supply-chain exposure?

MZTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Marzetti Company (MZTI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MZTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MZTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $109.74?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MZTI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MZTI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $117.85 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MZTI (C β€’ RQD 65/100) a Buy at $109.12?

Welcome to the MZTI (The Marzetti Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $91.66 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $109.12

Pump the brakes on MZTI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MZTI, but look at what you are paying: 17.8x trailing P/E with 23.9% gross margins. Unless The Marzetti Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.85 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $109.12

MZTI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MZTI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $109.12 (52-wk range $97.00 - $176.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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