Moomoo report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NAUT Stock dropped -13.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NAUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NASDAQ: NAUT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.73 (-13.06% 1D, market cap $347.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAUT ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NAUT compare to LAB and CTKB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), NAUT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LAB (Standard BioTools Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.7%, cap $240.7M) and CTKB (Cytek Biosciences Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.7%, cap $796.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAUT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTKB leads on capital efficiency (-12.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAUT?
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Per NAUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001808805), Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$59.0M in net income, and -$52.0M in free cash flow against $191.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NAUT Turnaround Squeeze
While NAUT currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.67) and Max Pain ($2.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.53.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NAUT Stock dropped -13.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) dropped -13.06% to $2.73, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $4.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $4.31) with RSI-14 at 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moby summary of Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Cash reserves extend runway into early 2028 as proteoform assay pipeline accelerates.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NAUT)
- ✓Walkthrough of NAUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NAUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NAUT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NAUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NAUT)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NAUT vs. LAB, CTKB, PACB, QTRX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments (21 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) ranks #408 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #499 by equity capitalization ($347.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NAUT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CTKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.7% ROIC and 51.8% gross margin. CTKB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with NAUT at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAUT
ACTIVE
Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -13.06% | $347.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| LAB Standard BioTools Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | 49.9% | -28.7% | -1.61% | $240.7M | /lab-vs-naut → |
| CTKB Cytek Biosciences Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 51.8% | -12.7% | -2.70% | $796.8M | /ctkb-vs-naut → |
| PACB Pacific Biosciences of California Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | 28.6% | -35.0% | -10.17% | $809.7M | /pacb-vs-naut → |
| QTRX Quanterix Corporation | E | 22/100 | — | 46.8% | -35.0% | -7.63% | $137.4M | /qtrx-vs-naut → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001808805In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$59.0M, operating cash flow of -$50.7M, and free cash flow of -$52.0M (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NAUT closed FY2025 with $191.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$59.0M | -$50.7M | -$52.0M | $191.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$70.8M | -$59.1M | -$61.3M | $242.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$63.7M | -$51.7M | -$51.7M | — | — |
3. NAUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NAUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NASDAQ: NAUT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.73 (-13.06% 1D, market cap $347.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NAUT ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NAUT compare to LAB and CTKB in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), NAUT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LAB (Standard BioTools Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.7%, cap $240.7M) and CTKB (Cytek Biosciences Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.7%, cap $796.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NAUT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CTKB leads on capital efficiency (-12.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NAUT?
Per NAUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001808805), Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$59.0M in net income, and -$52.0M in free cash flow against $191.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NAUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NAUT last traded at $2.73 (-13.06% on volume of 8,069,149 shares), positioning the stock +63.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.67) and +28.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.13). Across its 52-week range of $0.84 to $4.31, NAUT sits at the 54.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.39 to $3.07).
NAUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NAUT stock moving today?
Why NAUT Stock dropped -13.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NAUT — Nautilus Biotechnology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NAUT scores 43 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -12.99%. For a prospective investor, this pillar signals that the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it, which weighs heavily on the score.
- Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is one of the stronger pillars, indicating some institutional interest even though fundamentals are weak.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates limited insider-driven conviction signals in the data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. This pillar suggests the stock tracks the broader market without a distinct macro tailwind.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is a mid-range reading that points to balance-sheet strain rather than acute distress.
Practically, the investor implication is that upside depends on a turn in cash generation, which the current data does not show. The valuation tradeoff is that the market cap of $399.9M sits against negative cash flow, so any path to upside rests on future execution rather than current earnings power. Whale and news-driven interest may support near-term trading activity, but the weak cash engine and forensic pillars argue for caution.
Business
Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments industry. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $0.4B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is $0.0M in each period provided.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $-59.0M | N/A | $-52.0M | $12.4M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $-70.8M | N/A | $-61.3M | $27.6M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $-63.7M | N/A | $-51.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M in each period, and net losses are present in all three years. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data section. Per the market data, ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9. Cash declined from $27.6M in FY 2024 to $12.4M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, and debt is listed as N/A in the source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference NAUT. Headlines include a Roth price target of $3.50 reported as bullish, a Seeking Alpha piece described as bullish on an upcoming "Voyager" launch, and a Stock Titan item about a 5:30 a.m. Pacific webcast covering results and outlook. Items are tagged with signal lights (GREEN or YELLOW) and impact labels (CATALYST or MARKET WIRE). Risk watch items are not separately identified in the source data. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, no proprietary signals are present.
Open Questions
- What are NAUT's products, customers, and revenue model, given that reported revenue is $0.0M in every period?
- What is the company's cash runway given cash of $12.4M against FY 2025 free cash flow of $-52.0M?
- What is the debt position, since debt is listed as N/A across all periods?
- What does the "Voyager" launch referenced in the news involve, and what is its timing?
- What are the forward earnings and valuation metrics, given that P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
NAUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Moomoo report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. (NAUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NAUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.73?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NAUT (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $3.14?
Welcome to the NAUT (Nautilus Biotechnology Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NAUT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NAUT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nautilus Biotechnology Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NAUT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NAUT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.14 (52-wk range $0.84 - $4.31), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.