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Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$81.22 -4.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.47

Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.42B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE: NBR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $81.22 (-4.09% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NBR ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NBR compare to PBT and KOS in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NBR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.1%. By comparison, PBT (Permian Basin Royalty Trust) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.42B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBR?
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Per NBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001163739), Nabors Industries Ltd. generated $3.18B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $286.6M in net income, and -$22.7M in free cash flow against $4.79B in total assets and $2.12B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.46 (-0.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$119 Bull$76 Base$59 Bear
📬 FREE NBR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NBR SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$78.20+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$81.02+10.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$89.87-9.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$81.22-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NBR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NBR currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($84.80) and Max Pain ($85.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $118.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NBR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.85%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $90.78H $90.78L $81.22C $81.22VOL 330.2K
RES: $90.91SUP: $74.57SMA50: $84.80SMA200: $84.99
$116.8$100.7$84.68$68.64$52.59RES $90.91SUP $74.57$81.222026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NBR Butterfly Map → + Track NBR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NBR)

Energy Rank #162 of 211 ⚔️ PBT vs NBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NBR vs. PBT, KOS, GFR, PDS)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) ranks #162 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #129 by equity capitalization ($1.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with NBR at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NBR ACTIVE
Nabors Industries Ltd.
D 44/100 5.2x — 21.1% -4.09% $1.42B Benchmark Subject
PBT
Permian Basin Royalty Trust
D+ 57/100 — — — -8.10% $1.42B /pbt-vs-nbr →
KOS
Kosmos Energy Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% +4.86% $1.47B /kos-vs-nbr →
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
C- 59/100 — — — +0.33% $1.48B /gfr-vs-nbr →
PDS
Precision Drilling Corporation
C 63/100 — — — -1.25% $1.22B /pds-vs-nbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001163739 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) reported GAAP revenue of $3.18B (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.93B , and +5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $286.6M, operating cash flow of $693.3M, and free cash flow of -$22.7M (-267.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NBR closed FY2025 with $4.79B in total assets against $2.12B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.86, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.18B $286.6M $693.3M -$22.7M $4.79B $2.12B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.93B -$176.1M $581.4M $13.5M $4.50B $2.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.01B -$11.8M $637.9M $637.9M — —

3. NBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE: NBR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $81.22 (-4.09% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NBR ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NBR compare to PBT and KOS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NBR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.1%. By comparison, PBT (Permian Basin Royalty Trust) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.42B) and KOS (Kosmos Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NBR?

Per NBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001163739), Nabors Industries Ltd. generated $3.18B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $286.6M in net income, and -$22.7M in free cash flow against $4.79B in total assets and $2.12B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NBR last traded at $81.22 (-4.09% on volume of 205,059 shares), positioning the stock -4.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($84.80) and -4.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($84.99). Across its 52-week range of $44.04 to $112.90, NBR sits at the 54.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($74.07 to $88.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: NBR RQD Cockpit NBR 12M Forecast NBR Earnings & Move NBR Dividends & DRIP NBR Insiders & 13F NBR Whale Options NBR Profit Sankey NBR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NBR — Nabors Industries Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $81.22 (-4.09% 1D, market capitalization $1.42B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 21.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 14.8%, and free cash flow yield of -1.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.86, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.58x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified within Oil & Gas Production. The profile identifies its market capitalization as $1.5B. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) reported $3.18B in annual revenue (up from $2.93B in FY2024, +8.7% YoY) and $286.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.01B revenue, -$11.8M net income) through FY2025, NBR scaled operating cash flow to $693.3M and free cash flow to -$22.7M, backed by $4.79B in total assets against $2.12B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.53% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $44.04 – $112.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 5.2x trailing P/E against 14.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources. Sector context is limited to the Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification and beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can NBR sustain or expand its 14.8% operating margin and 21.1% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.18B and free cash flow of -$22.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.12B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NBR's 4.8x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NBR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NBR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NBR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NBR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NBR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $117.11 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong 21.1% ROIC and 5.2x trailing P/E, with FY 2025 net income rising to $286.6M from a prior loss.

The street is overcomplicating Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR). Strong 21.1% ROIC and 5.2x trailing P/E, with FY 2025 net income rising to $286.6M from a prior loss.. With an RQD score of 44/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $98.04.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 5.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $69.90 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $90.78

Distress-range 0.86 Altman Z-Score, 3.58 Debt/Equity, and negative -1.53% FCF yield against a D-grade RQD verdict.

I respect the product at Nabors Industries Ltd., but the stock at $90.78 is a different story. Distress-range 0.86 Altman Z-Score, 3.58 Debt/Equity, and negative -1.53% FCF yield against a D-grade RQD verdict.. FCF yield is -1.53% and RQD sits at 44/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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