Stock Ratings / Energy / NC / forecast

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NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$35.04 -1.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.85

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $269.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, NACCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: NC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $35.04 (-1.93% 1D, market cap $269.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NC ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NC compare to METCB and METC in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M) and METC (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $468.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NC?

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Per NC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789933), NACCO Industries Inc. generated $277.2M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $17.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $661.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.85 (-0.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.30 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$35.01-6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$32.64+4.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$34.12+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$35.04-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.42) and Max Pain ($36.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $62.39.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $35.04: 285.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $25.98

$7,414

$-2,586 (-25.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $33.31

$9,506

$-494 (-4.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $62.39

$17,805

+$7,805 (+78.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$35	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$59	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$30	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NC)

✓Walkthrough of NC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $35.01H $35.73L $35.01C $35.04VOL 24.9K

RES: $38.39SUP: $30.85SMA50: $37.42SMA200: $46.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NC Butterfly Map → + Track NC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NC)

Energy Rank #152 of 211 ⚔️ METCB vs NC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NC vs. METCB, METC, AREC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #169 by equity capitalization ($269.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NC ACTIVE NACCO Industries Inc.	D	47/100	15.3x	13.9%	4.6%	-1.93%	$269.6M	Benchmark Subject
METCB Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.82%	$270.7M	/metcb-vs-nc →
METC Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.08%	$468.1M	/metc-vs-nc →
AREC American Resources Corporation (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-14.0%	-4.31%	$136.4M	/arec-vs-nc →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	B-	70/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.75%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-nc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000789933

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) reported GAAP revenue of $277.2M (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.7M , and +29.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6M, operating cash flow of $50.9M, and free cash flow of $2.3M (+107.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NC closed FY2025 with $661.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.30, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$277.2M	$17.6M	$50.9M	$2.3M	$661.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$237.7M	$33.7M	$22.3M	-$32.4M	$631.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$214.8M	-$39.6M	$54.5M	$54.5M	—	—

3. NC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NC compare to METCB and METC in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NC?

Where is NC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NC last traded at $35.04 (-1.93% on volume of 31,336 shares), positioning the stock -6.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.42) and -25.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.78). Across its 52-week range of $32.32 to $59.42, NC sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($32.83 to $37.25).

NC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NC's 12-month stock price target?

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $33.31 (-4.9% from $35.04), with a bull-case target of $62.39 and a bear-case floor of $25.98.

Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 47/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NC RQD Cockpit NC 12M Forecast NC Earnings & Move NC Dividends & DRIP NC Insiders & 13F NC Whale Options NC Profit Sankey NC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NC — NACCO Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NC scores 47 out of 100, grade D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20 (ROIC 4.6%; FCF yield 0.85%). This is the weakest economic signal: returns on invested capital and free cash yield are both low, meaning the business currently generates limited cash relative to the capital deployed and the price paid.
Whale / 13F Flow: 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Institutional signal is the lowest-scoring pillar; the source data contains no holder detail, so the score is not explained further.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is a relative strength within the rating, though the underlying trade detail is not provided.
Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the market, and the low score reflects sector sensitivity rather than a stock-specific edge.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20 (Altman Z 2.3; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, indicating a balance sheet that is more stable than the cash-generation and flow signals.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a valuation that looks inexpensive on earnings multiples (P/E TTM 15.3, forward P/E 12.9, EV/EBITDA 3.5) but a business whose cash returns are thin (ROIC 4.6%, FCF yield 0.85%). The upside case rests on earnings-based valuation and the 2.72% dividend yield; the downside case rests on weak free-cash conversion, low institutional support, and a rating that signals distribution risk. The forensic balance sheet provides some offset but does not overcome the cash-engine and flow weaknesses.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$35.73	$269.6M	15.3	12.9	3.5	2.33	2.72%	1.0	$32.32 - $59.42	4.6%

Business

NACCO Industries Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector and Coal Mining industry, per the company profile. Its market capitalization is $0.3B per the profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Gross margin is 13.9%, operating margin 7.9%, and net margin 6.3%, per the market data section.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, five items reference NC:

A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW light, Market Wire).
A MarketBeat report that the stock crossed below its 200-day moving average (YELLOW, Market Wire).
A Stock Titan notice that a live call will discuss third-quarter results on Nov. 5 (YELLOW, Market Wire).
An Investing.com Australia Form 4 filing referencing director Alfred M. Rankin (YELLOW, Market Wire).
A Stock Traders Daily setup article (RED light, Risk Watch), the only item flagged as risk.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What products and customers generate NACCO's revenue, and what drove the swing from the FY 2023 operating loss to FY 2025 operating income?
Why are EPS and total debt marked N/A across all reported periods, and what is the actual debt load?
What did the Form 4 filing by director Alfred M. Rankin involve, and does the insider cluster signal reflect buying or selling?
What specifically caused the FY 2024 negative free cash flow of $-32.4M, and is the FY 2025 FCF of $2.3M a sustainable run rate?
What do the third-quarter results expected on Nov. 5 need to show to address the low ROIC and FCF yield?

NC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 10h ago

NACCO Industries, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:NC

TradingView report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 13h ago

NACCO Industries (NYSE:NC) Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 16h ago

A live call will discuss NACCO’s third-quarter results on Nov. 5.

Stock Titan report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com Australia • 19h ago

Form 4 NACCO Industries Inc: Alfred M. ET AL Rankin (Director, Group Member) For: 1 October

Investing.com Australia report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 22h ago

NACCO Industries (NYSE:NC) Stock Crosses Below 200 Day Moving Average - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Understanding the Setup: (NC) and Scalable Risk

Stock Traders Daily report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH www.dars.gov.et • 1d ago

NC Q2 2026 Earnings: Per-Share Loss of $0.13 as Shares Slip 2.77% - Special Dividend Alert

www.dars.gov.et report covering NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 6d ago

NACCO INDUSTRIES ANNOUNCES DATES OF 2026 THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS RELEASE AND CONFERENCE CALL

NACCO Industries® (NYSE:NC) will release its 2026 Third Quarter financial results after the close of the market on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $35.04?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $38.59 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NC (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $35.73?

Welcome to the NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.58 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $35.73

Pump the brakes on NC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NC, but look at what you are paying: 15.3x trailing P/E with 13.9% gross margins. Unless NACCO Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.16 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $35.73

NC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $35.73 (52-wk range $32.32 - $59.42), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.