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Why NE Stock dropped -7.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$45.46 -7.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.78

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.82B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Noble Corporation plc A (NYSE: NE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $45.46 (-7.22% 1D, market cap $7.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NE ranks #46 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NE compare to VIST and RIG in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NE?
▼

Per NE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895262), Noble Corporation plc A generated $3.29B in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $216.7M in net income, and $803.8M in free cash flow against $7.53B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.78 (-1.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 24.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$58 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE NE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NE SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.3) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$42.90+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$44.01+6.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$47.06-3.4% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$45.46+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, NE faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.68) or 200D SMA ($44.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.71) toward Bear Floor ($37.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NE Stock dropped -7.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) dropped -7.22% to $45.46, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($27.67 – $54.98). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($27.67 – $54.98) with RSI-14 at 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $45.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $803.8M annual free cash flow.
Live NE Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.74%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $47.45H $49.00L $45.46C $45.46VOL 1.20M
RES: $49.34SUP: $40.80SMA50: $44.68SMA200: $44.80
$56.38$50.57$44.75$38.94$33.13RES $49.34SUP $40.80$45.462026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NE vs. VIST, RIG, MTDR, VAL)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Noble Corporation plc A (NE) ranks #46 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #66 by equity capitalization ($7.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and 94.3% gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with NE at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NE ACTIVE
Noble Corporation plc A
C+ 69/100 35.0x — 5.4% -7.22% $7.82B Benchmark Subject
VIST
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American
C 64/100 32.8x — 9.9% -5.05% $7.84B /vist-vs-ne →
RIG
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)
C- 59/100 — 39.3% -17.3% -10.23% $7.75B /rig-vs-ne →
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
B+ 77/100 9.8x 94.3% 12.1% -8.41% $7.53B /mtdr-vs-ne →
VAL
Valaris Limited
B 73/100 7.2x — 10.3% -10.09% $7.31B /val-vs-ne →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001895262 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Noble Corporation plc A (NE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.29B (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.06B , and +26.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.7M, operating cash flow of $951.7M, and free cash flow of $803.8M (+55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NE closed FY2025 with $7.53B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.29B $216.7M $951.7M $803.8M $7.53B $1.98B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.06B $448.4M $655.5M $517.9M $7.96B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.59B $481.9M $574.3M $457.8M $4.17B $975.0M

3. NE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Noble Corporation plc A (NYSE: NE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $45.46 (-7.22% 1D, market cap $7.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NE ranks #46 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NE compare to VIST and RIG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.84B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NE?

Per NE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895262), Noble Corporation plc A generated $3.29B in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $216.7M in net income, and $803.8M in free cash flow against $7.53B in total assets and $1.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NE last traded at $45.46 (-7.22% on volume of 1,387,586 shares), positioning the stock +1.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.68) and +1.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.80). Across its 52-week range of $27.67 to $54.98, NE sits at the 65.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($42.01 to $48.91).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NE — Noble Corporation plc A: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Noble Corporation plc A (NE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $45.46 (-7.22% 1D, market capitalization $7.82B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.6%, and free cash flow yield of 10.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.28, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.43x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Noble Corporation plc A is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry. — for products sold, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Noble Corporation plc A (NE) reported $3.29B in annual revenue (up from $3.06B in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and $216.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.59B revenue, $481.9M net income) through FY2025, NE scaled operating cash flow to $951.7M and free cash flow to $803.8M, backed by $7.53B in total assets against $1.98B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 10.61% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.67 – $54.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 35.0x trailing P/E and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 12.6% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals recorded. — for specific upstream or downstream dependencies or 2nd-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can NE sustain or expand its 12.6% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.29B and free cash flow of $803.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.98B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NE's 32.6x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

NE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Noble Corporation plc A (NE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.19 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, Insider Conviction scores 15/20, the highest pillar, and the Forensic Balance Sheet supports a Piotroski F-Score of

Don't sleep on NE's setup in Energy. Per the RQD rating, Insider Conviction scores 15/20, the highest pillar, and the Forensic Balance Sheet supports a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 with Debt/Equity of 0.43.. Beta of 0.87 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (69/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $49.00 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.24 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $49.00

Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 35 and ROIC of 5.4% leave the valuation resting heavily on a 10.61% FCF yield while net income d

Fading this rally in NE at $49.00. Per the market data, a trailing P/E of 35 and ROIC of 5.4% leave the valuation resting heavily on a 10.61% FCF yield while net income declined from $481.9M to $216.7M.. With a beta of 0.87 and the stock sitting at $49.00 (52-wk range $27.67–$54.98), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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